Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Blackburn Rovers FC vs Birmingham City FC, FA Cup 2022-23 ROUND 4

FA Cup · 2022-23
Sat 28 Jan 2023 · 15:00 UTC Ewood Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Blackburn Rovers FC vs Birmingham City FC — FA Cup at Ewood Park.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Jan Birmingham City FC H 2–2 D
21 Jan Bristol City FC A 1–1 D
14 Jan Rotherham United FC A 0–4 L
08 Jan Norwich City FC A 1–0 W
01 Jan Cardiff City FC H 1–0 W
29 Dec Middlesbrough FC H 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Jan Blackburn Rovers FC A 2–2 D
21 Jan Preston North End FC H 1–2 L
17 Jan Forest Green Rovers FC A 2–1 W
14 Jan Bristol City FC A 2–4 L
02 Jan Middlesbrough FC H 1–3 L
30 Dec Hull City AFC H 0–1 L

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Blackburn Rovers FC this season
0% Clean Sheets
Birmingham City FC this season

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Ewood Park!
  • 3' The deadlock is broken! Reda Khadra gets on the scoresheet on 3 minutes.
  • 8' Over 8 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 13' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 18' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 22' Joe Rankin-Costello has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 22.
  • 27' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 32' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 33' What an equalizer from Bradley Dack!
  • 38' It looks like no one’s ball. Birmingham City FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 40' Tahith Chong was booked on 40.
  • 45' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 46' GOAL! Joe Rankin-Costello fires home to make it 2-1!
  • 46' The supporters are chanting for Tyrhys Dolan. He replaces Ryan Hedges on 46 minute.
  • 47' What a strike from Joe Rankin-Costello! The score is 3-1.
  • 52' The energy levels are beginning to show. John Eustace might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 57' Blackburn Rovers FC is showing some good football. However, Blackburn Rovers FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 62' Scott Hogan has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 64' The supporters are chanting for Hannibal Mejbri. He replaces Reda Khadra on 64 minute.
  • 65' The crowd applauds Krystian Bielik as he leaves the pitch. Alfie Chang steps in for Birmingham City FC.
  • 69' Poor challenge from Tyler Morton. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
  • 74' It looks surprising Birmingham City FC does not make any changes. George Friend has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 75' Another change for Birmingham City FC made on 75 minute. Kevin Long leaves to be changed by Juninho Bacuna.
  • 80' A moment of madness from Scott Wharton on 80 minutes earns him a Yellow card. Blackburn Rovers FC will be frustrated.
  • 85' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 86' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Ben Brereton.
  • 87' The crowd applauds Bradley Dack as he leaves the pitch. Samuel Szmodics steps in for Blackburn Rovers FC.
  • 89' Jordan James gets the nod from Birmingham City FC. He replaces Tahith Chong and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 90' Time for substitution for Blackburn Rovers FC. Sam Gallagher is replaced by Jack Vale.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 2-2 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.84 Blackburn Rovers FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.32 Birmingham City FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 62% + Over 2.5 goals 60%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Blackburn Rovers FC51% Draw24% Birmingham City FC25%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes62% 0% No38%
Avg goals/match: 3.16
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 82%
18%
± 2.5 60%
40%
± 3.5 39%
61%
± 4.5 22%
78%

Double Chance

Blackburn Rovers FC or Draw
75%
Draw or Birmingham City FC
49%
Blackburn Rovers FC or Birmingham City FC
76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Blackburn Rovers FC36% Draw43% Birmingham City FC21%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.2%
2 – 1
9.1%
2 – 0
7.1%
1 – 0
7.1%
1 – 2
6.6%
2 – 2
Actual
0 – 0
5.8%
3 – 1
5.6%
0 – 1
4.8%
3 – 0
4.3%
3 – 2
3.7%
0 – 2
3.7%

Asian Handicap — Blackburn Rovers FC

Handicap Blackburn Rovers FC covers Push Birmingham City FC covers
-2.5 13% — 87%
-2 13% 15% 73%
-1.5 27% — 73%
-1 27% 21% 52%
-0.5 48% — 52%
+0.5 73% — 27%
+1 73% 15% 12%
+1.5 88% — 12%
+2 88% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Blackburn Rovers FC keeps clean sheet
27% ✓
Birmingham City FC keeps clean sheet
17% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.