Blackburn Rovers FC vs Birmingham City FC, FA Cup 2022-23 ROUND 4

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FA Cup · 2022-23

Blackburn Rovers FC

2 – 2

Full Time

Birmingham City FC

Sat 28 Jan 2023 · 15:00 UTC Ewood Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Joe Rankin-Costello 22' Y

Y 40' Tahith Chong

Tyler Morton 69' Y

Scott Wharton 80' Y

Ben Brereton 86' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Blackburn Rovers FC vs Birmingham City FC — FA Cup at Ewood Park.

Blackburn Rovers FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)
Birmingham City FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)

Head-to-Head

Blackburn Rovers FC 16 games · Avg 2.9 goals Birmingham City FC

Last 5 meetings

2023-01-28 Blackburn Rovers FC 2–2 Birmingham City FC 2022-10-22 Blackburn Rovers FC 2–1 Birmingham City FC 2022-05-07 Birmingham City FC 1–2 Blackburn Rovers FC 2021-12-18 Blackburn Rovers FC 4–0 Birmingham City FC 2021-05-08 Blackburn Rovers FC 5–2 Birmingham City FC

Recent Form

Blackburn Rovers FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
28 Jan	Birmingham City FC	H	2–2	D
21 Jan	Bristol City FC	A	1–1	D
14 Jan	Rotherham United FC	A	0–4	L
08 Jan	Norwich City FC	A	1–0	W
01 Jan	Cardiff City FC	H	1–0	W
29 Dec	Middlesbrough FC	H	1–2	L

Birmingham City FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
28 Jan	Blackburn Rovers FC	A	2–2	D
21 Jan	Preston North End FC	H	1–2	L
17 Jan	Forest Green Rovers FC	A	2–1	W
14 Jan	Bristol City FC	A	2–4	L
02 Jan	Middlesbrough FC	H	1–3	L
30 Dec	Hull City AFC	H	0–1	L

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)

56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

0' Three points are at stake. Blackburn Rovers FC host Birmingham City FC — let the battle begin!
3' Reda Khadra makes no mistake. The score reads 0-1 and Birmingham City FC are in front.
8' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
13' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
18' A quiet spell here at Ewood Park. Birmingham City FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
22' Joe Rankin-Costello has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 22.
27' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
32' Birmingham City FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
33' Bradley Dack has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 33 minutes.
38' Birmingham City FC have won 442 goals from 398 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
40' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Tahith Chong.
45' Sam Gallagher is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Blackburn Rovers FC so far.
46' Goal! Joe Rankin-Costello scores his 9 goal in 397 matches.
46' The whistle greets Ryan Hedges as he departs to be replaced by Tyrhys Dolan.
47' The deadlock is broken! Joe Rankin-Costello gets on the scoresheet on 47 minutes.
52' Thomas Kaminski has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 10 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
57' Both keepers have barely been tested. Blackburn Rovers FC and Birmingham City FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
62' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
64' Hannibal Mejbri has so much to prove this time. He replaces Reda Khadra on 64 minute.
65' Birmingham City FC make a change. Krystian Bielik trudges off to be replaced by Alfie Chang on 65 minutes.
69' It’s a booking for Blackburn Rovers FC player. Tyler Morton gets a Yellow card.
74' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
75' A change in the Birmingham City FC ranks — Kevin Long exits the field as Juninho Bacuna enters on 75.
80' Controversy at the stadium! Scott Wharton argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
85' It looks like no one’s ball. Blackburn Rovers FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
86' Controversy at the stadium! Ben Brereton argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
87' Blackburn Rovers FC make a change. Bradley Dack trudges off to be replaced by Samuel Szmodics on 87 minutes.
89' Fresh legs for Birmingham City FC! Jordan James comes on to replace Tahith Chong.
90' The Blackburn Rovers FC bench stirs into life. Sam Gallagher is withdrawn and Jack Vale gets his opportunity.
The final score is 2-2.

Lineups

Blackburn Rovers FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Jon Dahl Tomasson

Birmingham City FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

7
Juninho Bacuna ↑ 75'
11
Jordan Graham
21
John Ruddy
9
Scott Hogan ↑ 64'
25
Nico Gordon
6
Hannibal Mejbri ↑ 64'
42
Alfie Chang ↑ 65'
19
Jordan James ↑ 89'
49
Romelle Donovan

Coach John Eustace

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Adam Armstrong	6
Ben Brereton	4
Che Adams	3
Danny Graham	2
John Buckley	2
Samuel Szmodics	2
Bradley Dack	2
Reda Khadra	2

Head to Head

Blackburn Rovers FC Form

2023-01-28 Blackburn Rovers FC 2–2 Birmingham City FC D 2023-01-21 Bristol City FC 1–1 Blackburn Rovers FC D 2023-01-14 Rotherham United FC 4–0 Blackburn Rovers FC L 2023-01-08 Norwich City FC 0–1 Blackburn Rovers FC W 2023-01-01 Blackburn Rovers FC 1–0 Cardiff City FC W 2022-12-29 Blackburn Rovers FC 1–2 Middlesbrough FC L

Birmingham City FC Form

2023-01-28 Blackburn Rovers FC 2–2 Birmingham City FC D 2023-01-21 Birmingham City FC 1–2 Preston North End FC L 2023-01-17 Forest Green Rovers FC 1–2 Birmingham City FC W 2023-01-14 Bristol City FC 4–2 Birmingham City FC L 2023-01-02 Birmingham City FC 1–3 Middlesbrough FC L 2022-12-30 Birmingham City FC 0–1 Hull City AFC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.84 Blackburn Rovers FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.32 Birmingham City FC xG

I would bet for: Both teams to score 62% + Over 2.5 goals 60%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Blackburn Rovers FC51% Draw24% Birmingham City FC25%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes62% 0% No38%

Avg goals/match: 3.16

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	94%	6%
± 1.5	82%	18%
± 2.5	60%	40%
± 3.5	39%	61%
± 4.5	22%	78%

Double Chance

Blackburn Rovers FC or Draw

75%

Draw or Birmingham City FC

49%

Blackburn Rovers FC or Birmingham City FC

76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Blackburn Rovers FC36% Draw43% Birmingham City FC21%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

11.2%

2 – 1

9.1%

2 – 0

7.1%

1 – 0

7.1%

1 – 2

6.6%

2 – 2

Actual

0 – 0

5.8%

3 – 1

5.6%

0 – 1

4.8%

3 – 0

4.3%

3 – 2

3.7%

0 – 2

3.7%

Asian Handicap — Blackburn Rovers FC

Handicap	Blackburn Rovers FC covers	Push	Birmingham City FC covers
-2.5	13%	—	87%
-2	13%	15%	73%
-1.5	27%	—	73%
-1	27%	21%	52%
-0.5	48%	—	52%
+0.5	73%	—	27%
+1	73%	15%	12%
+1.5	88%	—	12%
+2	88%	8%	4%
+2.5	96%	—	4%

Clean Sheet

Blackburn Rovers FC keeps clean sheet

27% ✓

Birmingham City FC keeps clean sheet

17% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.