Thursday , 2 July 2026

Forest Green Rovers FC vs Birmingham City FC, FA Cup 2022-23 ROUND 3

FA Cup · 2022-23
Tue 17 Jan 2023 · 19:45 UTC New Lawn Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Forest Green Rovers FC vs Birmingham City FCFA Cup at New Lawn Stadium.

Head-to-Head

1
Forest Green Rovers FC 1 games · Avg 3.0 goals Birmingham City FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Jan Birmingham City FC H 1–2 L
14 Jan Exeter City FC A 1–1 D
01 Jan Port Vale FC H 1–3 L
29 Dec Burton Albion FC H 1–2 L
26 Dec Milton Keynes Dons FC A 0–1 L
17 Dec Derby County FC A 0–4 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Jan Forest Green Rovers FC A 2–1 W
14 Jan Bristol City FC A 2–4 L
02 Jan Middlesbrough FC H 1–3 L
30 Dec Hull City AFC H 0–1 L
27 Dec Burnley FC A 0–3 L
16 Dec Reading FC H 3–2 W

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (1 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Birmingham City FC this season

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to New Lawn Stadium that hosts another battle between Forest Green Rovers FC and Birmingham City FC.
  • 5' Birmingham City FC is showing some good football. However, Birmingham City FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 8' What a strike from Ben Stevenson! The score is 1-0.
  • 13' It looks surprising Forest Green Rovers FC does not make any changes. Krystian Bielik has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 18' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 23' Birmingham City FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 28' Birmingham City FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 28.
  • 33' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 38' A meaty challenge results in booking for Myles Peart-Harris on 38.
  • 43' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 46' The Birmingham City FC manager makes a substitution. Jordan Graham departs to be replaced by Maxime Colin.
  • 49' What an equalizer from Lukas Jutkiewicz!
  • 54' It looks like no one’s ball. Birmingham City FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 57' Krystian Bielik was booked on 57.
  • 59' Hannibal Mejbri was booked on 59.
  • 64' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Forest Green Rovers FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 65' GOAL! Kevin Long scores on 65.
  • 69' Auston Trusty is having his name booked by the referee on 69.
  • 70' The whistle greets Mathew Stevens as he departs to be replaced by Jordan Garrick.
  • 73' The whistle greets Juninho Bacuna as he departs to be replaced by Hannibal Mejbri.
  • 78' Forest Green Rovers FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 83' It’s high time John Eustace made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 84' David Davis has so much to prove this time. He replaces Ben Stevenson on 84 minute.
  • 87' It is a substitution in Birmingham City FC team. Scott Hogan is replaced by Troy Deeney on 87 minute.
  • The final score is 1-2.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.41 Forest Green Rovers FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.54 Birmingham City FC xG
I would bet for: Forest Green Rovers FC or Birmingham City FC 72% + Both teams to score 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Forest Green Rovers FC34% Draw28% Birmingham City FC38%
Actual: Birmingham City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes60% 0% No40%
Avg goals/match: 2.95
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 79%
21%
± 2.5 56%
44%
± 3.5 34%
66%
± 4.5 18%
82%

Double Chance

Forest Green Rovers FC or Draw
61%
Draw or Birmingham City FC
66%
Forest Green Rovers FC or Birmingham City FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Forest Green Rovers FC26% Draw45% Birmingham City FC29%
Actual: Forest Green Rovers FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.3%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 1
7.7%
0 – 1
7.2%
0 – 0
7%
1 – 0
6.5%
0 – 2
6.1%
2 – 2
6%
2 – 0
5.1%
1 – 3
4.3%
3 – 1
3.6%
2 – 3
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Forest Green Rovers FC

Handicap Forest Green Rovers FC covers Push Birmingham City FC covers
-2.5 6% 94%
-2 6% 10% 84%
-1.5 16% 84%
-1 16% 18% 66%
-0.5 34% 66%
+0.5 61% 39%
+1 61% 19% 20%
+1.5 80% 20%
+2 80% 12% 8%
+2.5 92% 8%

Clean Sheet

Forest Green Rovers FC keeps clean sheet
22%
Birmingham City FC keeps clean sheet
25%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.