Birmingham City FC vs Newcastle United FC, FA Cup 2024-25 ROUND 4
Overview
Match Preview
Birmingham City FC vs Newcastle United FC — FA Cup at St Andrew's Ground.
- Birmingham City FC 0 games · 0 pts (2025/26)
- Newcastle United FC 0 games · 0 pts (2025/26)
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb | Newcastle United FC | H | 2–3 | L |
| 01 Feb | Rotherham United FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 28 Jan | Huddersfield Town AFC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 23 Jan | Wrexham AFC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 18 Jan | Exeter City FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 11 Jan | Lincoln City FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb | Birmingham City FC | A | 3–2 | W |
| 01 Feb | Fulham FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 25 Jan | Southampton FC | A | 3–1 | W |
| 18 Jan | AFC Bournemouth | H | 1–4 | L |
| 15 Jan | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 12 Jan | Bromley FC | H | 3–1 | W |
Key Stats
100%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (1 games)
H2H (1 games)
100%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Birmingham City FC this season
Birmingham City FC this season
0%
Clean Sheets
Newcastle United FC this season
Newcastle United FC this season
Top Scorers (This Season)
Newcastle United FC
| Harvey Barnes | 3 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Birmingham City FC is hosting Newcastle United FC for another epic battle.
- 1' What a strike from Ethan Laird! The score is 1-0.
- 6' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 11' The travelling Newcastle United FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 14' The referee calls foul for Dan Burn. He receives a card.
- 19' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Birmingham City FC that had 383 games and scored 417 goals.
- 21' GOAL! Joe Willock scores on 21. Assisted by William Osula
- 26' What a strike from Callum Wilson! The score is 1-2.
- 31' Newcastle United FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 36' It looks surprising Birmingham City FC does not make any changes. Christoph Klarer has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 40' What an equalizer from Tomoki Iwata!
- 45' Keshi Anderson was booked on 45.
- 46' The Newcastle United FC manager makes a substitution. Bruno Guimaraes departs to be replaced by Sandro Tonali.
- 51' Newcastle United FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 55' The Newcastle United FC manager makes a substitution. Dan Burn departs to be replaced by Fabian Schar.
- 60' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 62' Willum Thor Willumsson has so much to prove this time. He replaces Marc Leonard on 62 minute.
- 66' Birmingham City FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 66.
- 68' Joe Willock is having his name booked by the referee on 68.
- 71' It’s gonna be a card for Christoph Klarer.
- 75' Willum Thor Willumsson was booked on 75.
- 76' The supporters are chanting for Alfie May. He replaces Keshi Anderson on 76 minute.
- 77' The supporters are chanting for Lyndon Dykes. He replaces Jay Stansfield on 77 minute.
- 82' What a strike from Joe Willock! The score is 2-3.
- 84' Another change for Birmingham City FC made on 84 minute. Tomoki Iwata leaves to be changed by Grant Hanley.
- 89' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 90' Another substitution for Newcastle United FC to replace William Osula by Alexander Isak on 90 minute.
- With this win, Newcastle United FC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
Birmingham City FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 30
- 25
- 45
-
14
Keshi Anderson ↓ Alfie May 76'
-
11
Scott Wright ↓ Krystian Bielik 77'
-
24
Tomoki Iwata ↓ Grant Hanley 84'
- 20
-
28
Jay Stansfield ↓ Lyndon Dykes 77'
- 2
- 4
- 12
Bench
-
31
Grant Hanley ↑ 84'
- 10
-
9
Alfie May ↑ 76'
-
6
Krystian Bielik ↑ 77'
- 21
- 23
-
17
Lyndon Dykes ↑ 77'
-
18
Willum Thor Willumsson ↑ 62'
- 26
Coach
Chris Davies
Newcastle United FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
39
Bruno Guimaraes ↓ Sandro Tonali 46'
-
9
Callum Wilson ↓ Jacob Murphy 55'
- 22
- 13
- 36
-
33
Dan Burn ↓ Fabian Schar 55'
- 17
- 28
-
18
William Osula ↓ Alexander Isak 90'
- 21
- 67
Bench
-
5
Fabian Schar ↑ 55'
- 1
-
23
Jacob Murphy ↑ 55'
- 2
- 26
-
14
Alexander Isak ↑ 90'
-
8
Sandro Tonali ↑ 46'
- 20
- 99
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Joe Willock | 2 |
| Tomoki Iwata | 1 |
| Ethan Laird | 1 |
| Callum Wilson | 1 |
Birmingham City FC Form
2025-02-08
Birmingham City FC
2–3
Newcastle United FC
L
2025-02-01
Birmingham City FC
2–1
Rotherham United FC
W
2025-01-28
Huddersfield Town AFC
0–1
Birmingham City FC
W
2025-01-23
Wrexham AFC
1–1
Birmingham City FC
D
2025-01-18
Birmingham City FC
1–0
Exeter City FC
W
2025-01-11
Birmingham City FC
2–1
Lincoln City FC
W
Newcastle United FC Form
2025-02-08
Birmingham City FC
2–3
Newcastle United FC
W
2025-02-01
Newcastle United FC
1–2
Fulham FC
L
2025-01-25
Southampton FC
1–3
Newcastle United FC
W
2025-01-18
Newcastle United FC
1–4
AFC Bournemouth
L
2025-01-15
Newcastle United FC
3–0
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC
W
2025-01-12
Newcastle United FC
3–1
Bromley FC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.59
Birmingham City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.85
Newcastle United FC xG
I would bet for:
Birmingham City FC or Newcastle United FC 74% + Both teams to score 67%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Newcastle United FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.44
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 86% |
|
14% |
| ± 2.5 | 66% |
|
34% |
| ± 3.5 | 45% |
|
55% |
| ± 4.5 | 27% |
|
73% |
Double Chance
Birmingham City FC or Draw
60%
Draw or Newcastle United FC
66%
Birmingham City FC or Newcastle United FC
74%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.3%
1 – 2
8.4%
2 – 1
7.2%
2 – 2
6.6%
0 – 2
5.5%
0 – 1
5.3%
1 – 3
5.2%
0 – 0
4.7%
1 – 0
4.5%
2 – 3
Actual
2 – 0
4.1%
3 – 1
3.8%
Asian Handicap — Birmingham City FC
| Handicap | Birmingham City FC covers | Push | Newcastle United FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -2 | 6% | 10% | 84% |
| -1.5 | 16% | — | 84% |
| -1 | 16% | 16% | 67% |
| -0.5 | 33% | — | 67% |
| +0.5 | 57% | — | 43% |
| +1 | 57% | 19% | 24% |
| +1.5 | 76% | — | 24% |
| +2 | 76% | 13% | 11% |
| +2.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
Clean Sheet
Birmingham City FC keeps clean sheet
17%
✓
Newcastle United FC keeps clean sheet
21%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.