Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Birmingham City FC vs Newcastle United FC, FA Cup 2024-25 ROUND 4

FA Cup · 2024-25
Sat 8 Feb 2025 · 17:45 UTC St Andrew's Ground 27,994 HT 45' · FT 45'
Ethan Laird 1' 1–0
1–1 21' Joe Willock
1–2 26' Callum Wilson
Tomoki Iwata 40' 2–2
2–3 82' Joe Willock

Overview

Match Preview

Birmingham City FC vs Newcastle United FC — FA Cup at St Andrew's Ground.

Head-to-Head

1
Birmingham City FC 1 games · Avg 5.0 goals Newcastle United FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Feb Newcastle United FC H 2–3 L
01 Feb Rotherham United FC H 2–1 W
28 Jan Huddersfield Town AFC A 1–0 W
23 Jan Wrexham AFC A 1–1 D
18 Jan Exeter City FC H 1–0 W
11 Jan Lincoln City FC H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Feb Birmingham City FC A 3–2 W
01 Feb Fulham FC H 1–2 L
25 Jan Southampton FC A 3–1 W
18 Jan AFC Bournemouth H 1–4 L
15 Jan Wolverhampton Wanderers FC H 3–0 W
12 Jan Bromley FC H 3–1 W

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (1 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Birmingham City FC this season
0% Clean Sheets
Newcastle United FC this season

Top Scorers (This Season)

Newcastle United FC
Harvey Barnes 3 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.59 Birmingham City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.85 Newcastle United FC xG
I would bet for: Birmingham City FC or Newcastle United FC 74% + Both teams to score 67%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Birmingham City FC34% Draw26% Newcastle United FC40%
Actual: Newcastle United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes67% 0% No33%
Avg goals/match: 3.44
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 86%
14%
± 2.5 66%
34%
± 3.5 45%
55%
± 4.5 27%
73%

Double Chance

Birmingham City FC or Draw
60%
Draw or Newcastle United FC
66%
Birmingham City FC or Newcastle United FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Birmingham City FC26% Draw41% Newcastle United FC33%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.3%
1 – 2
8.4%
2 – 1
7.2%
2 – 2
6.6%
0 – 2
5.5%
0 – 1
5.3%
1 – 3
5.2%
0 – 0
4.7%
1 – 0
4.5%
2 – 3
Actual
2 – 0
4.1%
3 – 1
3.8%

Asian Handicap — Birmingham City FC

Handicap Birmingham City FC covers Push Newcastle United FC covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 10% 84%
-1.5 16% — 84%
-1 16% 16% 67%
-0.5 33% — 67%
+0.5 57% — 43%
+1 57% 19% 24%
+1.5 76% — 24%
+2 76% 13% 11%
+2.5 89% — 11%

Clean Sheet

Birmingham City FC keeps clean sheet
17% ✓
Newcastle United FC keeps clean sheet
21% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.