Birmingham City FC vs Newcastle United FC, FA Cup 2024-25 ROUND 4
Overview
Match Preview
Birmingham City FC vs Newcastle United FC — FA Cup at St Andrew's Ground.
- Birmingham City FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)
- Newcastle United FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb | Newcastle United FC | H | 2–3 | L |
| 01 Feb | Rotherham United FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 28 Jan | Huddersfield Town AFC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 23 Jan | Wrexham AFC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 18 Jan | Exeter City FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 11 Jan | Lincoln City FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb | Birmingham City FC | A | 3–2 | W |
| 01 Feb | Fulham FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 25 Jan | Southampton FC | A | 3–1 | W |
| 18 Jan | AFC Bournemouth | H | 1–4 | L |
| 15 Jan | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 12 Jan | Bromley FC | H | 3–1 | W |
Key Stats
100%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (1 games)
H2H (1 games)
100%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' And we are off! Birmingham City FC vs Newcastle United FC — let the football do the talking.
- 1' Ethan Laird makes no mistake. The score reads 1-0 and Birmingham City FC are in front.
- 6' England international Dan Burn has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 11' Newcastle United FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 14' Dan Burn has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 14.
- 19' Birmingham City FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 21' Against the run of play, Joe Willock has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 26' Callum Wilson makes no mistake. The score reads 1-2 and Newcastle United FC are in front.
- 31' The home supporters are growing impatient. Birmingham City FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 36' Ben Davies has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 40' Tomoki Iwata doubles the advantage! 2-2 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 45' That is a card for Birmingham City FC. Keshi Anderson will be fuming at that decision.
- 46' Sandro Tonali has so much to prove this time. He replaces Bruno Guimaraes on 46 minute.
- 51' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 55' Fabian Schar gets the nod from Newcastle United FC. He replaces Dan Burn and will look to change the dynamic.
- 60' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Chris Davies will be considering his options from the bench.
- 62' Willum Thor Willumsson is replacing Marc Leonard for the Birmingham City FC side.
- 66' The referee calls foul for Jay Stansfield. He receives a card.
- 68' Joe Willock picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 71' Christoph Klarer is having his name booked by the referee on 71.
- 75' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Willum Thor Willumsson on 75 minutes.
- 76' It is a substitution in Birmingham City FC team. Keshi Anderson is replaced by Alfie May on 76 minute.
- 77' It is a substitution in Birmingham City FC team. Jay Stansfield is replaced by Lyndon Dykes on 77 minute.
- 82' A stunning finish from Joe Willock — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 84' It is a substitution in Birmingham City FC team. Tomoki Iwata is replaced by Grant Hanley on 84 minute.
- 89' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 90' Newcastle United FC make a change. William Osula trudges off to be replaced by Alexander Isak on 90 minutes.
- Another three points for Newcastle United FC.
Lineups
Birmingham City FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 30
- 25
- 45
-
14
Keshi Anderson ↓ Alfie May 76'
-
11
Scott Wright ↓ Krystian Bielik 77'
-
24
Tomoki Iwata ↓ Grant Hanley 84'
- 20
-
28
Jay Stansfield ↓ Lyndon Dykes 77'
- 2
- 4
- 12
Bench
-
31
Grant Hanley ↑ 84'
- 10
-
9
Alfie May ↑ 76'
-
6
Krystian Bielik ↑ 77'
- 21
- 23
-
17
Lyndon Dykes ↑ 77'
-
18
Willum Thor Willumsson ↑ 62'
- 26
Coach
Chris Davies
Newcastle United FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
39
Bruno Guimaraes ↓ Sandro Tonali 46'
-
9
Callum Wilson ↓ Jacob Murphy 55'
- 22
- 13
- 36
-
33
Dan Burn ↓ Fabian Schar 55'
- 17
- 28
-
18
William Osula ↓ Alexander Isak 90'
- 21
- 67
Bench
-
5
Fabian Schar ↑ 55'
- 1
-
23
Jacob Murphy ↑ 55'
- 2
- 26
-
14
Alexander Isak ↑ 90'
-
8
Sandro Tonali ↑ 46'
- 20
- 99
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Joe Willock | 2 |
| Tomoki Iwata | 1 |
| Ethan Laird | 1 |
| Callum Wilson | 1 |
Birmingham City FC Form
2025-02-08
Birmingham City FC
2–3
Newcastle United FC
L
2025-02-01
Birmingham City FC
2–1
Rotherham United FC
W
2025-01-28
Huddersfield Town AFC
0–1
Birmingham City FC
W
2025-01-23
Wrexham AFC
1–1
Birmingham City FC
D
2025-01-18
Birmingham City FC
1–0
Exeter City FC
W
2025-01-11
Birmingham City FC
2–1
Lincoln City FC
W
Newcastle United FC Form
2025-02-08
Birmingham City FC
2–3
Newcastle United FC
W
2025-02-01
Newcastle United FC
1–2
Fulham FC
L
2025-01-25
Southampton FC
1–3
Newcastle United FC
W
2025-01-18
Newcastle United FC
1–4
AFC Bournemouth
L
2025-01-15
Newcastle United FC
3–0
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC
W
2025-01-12
Newcastle United FC
3–1
Bromley FC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.59
Birmingham City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.85
Newcastle United FC xG
I would bet for:
Birmingham City FC or Newcastle United FC 74% + Both teams to score 67%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Newcastle United FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.44
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 86% |
|
14% |
| ± 2.5 | 66% |
|
34% |
| ± 3.5 | 45% |
|
55% |
| ± 4.5 | 27% |
|
73% |
Double Chance
Birmingham City FC or Draw
60%
Draw or Newcastle United FC
66%
Birmingham City FC or Newcastle United FC
74%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.3%
1 – 2
8.4%
2 – 1
7.2%
2 – 2
6.6%
0 – 2
5.5%
0 – 1
5.3%
1 – 3
5.2%
0 – 0
4.7%
1 – 0
4.5%
2 – 3
Actual
2 – 0
4.1%
3 – 1
3.8%
Asian Handicap — Birmingham City FC
| Handicap | Birmingham City FC covers | Push | Newcastle United FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -2 | 6% | 10% | 84% |
| -1.5 | 16% | — | 84% |
| -1 | 16% | 16% | 67% |
| -0.5 | 33% | — | 67% |
| +0.5 | 57% | — | 43% |
| +1 | 57% | 19% | 24% |
| +1.5 | 76% | — | 24% |
| +2 | 76% | 13% | 11% |
| +2.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
Clean Sheet
Birmingham City FC keeps clean sheet
17%
✓
Newcastle United FC keeps clean sheet
21%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.