Thursday , 2 July 2026

Austin FC vs Sporting Kansas City, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2025
Sun 23 Feb 2025 · 01:30 UTC Q2 Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Feb Sporting Kansas City H 1–0 W
20 Oct Colorado Rapids SC H 3–2 W
06 Oct Los Angeles Galaxy A 1–2 L
03 Oct Portland Timbers A 1–0 W
29 Sep Real Salt Lake H 2–2 D
22 Sep Houston Dynamo H 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Feb Austin FC A 0–1 L
20 Oct FC Dallas A 1–2 L
06 Oct Los Angeles FC H 0–3 L
29 Sep St. Louis City A 1–3 L
22 Sep Minnesota United FC H 0–2 L
19 Sep Colorado Rapids SC H 4–1 W

Season Stats

Austin FC Sporting Kansas City
#29 Position #30
14 Points 11
15 Played 14
3 / 5 / 7 W / D / L 3 / 2 / 9
19 Scored 14
31 Conceded 36
-12 GD -22
0.93 PPG 0.79
20% Win % 21%

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
33% Clean Sheets
Austin FC this season
0% Clean Sheets
Sporting Kansas City this season

Austin FC are 29th (14 pts). Sporting Kansas City are 30th (11 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Austin FC
0-15
4/2
16-30
1/1
31-45
2/2
46-60
1/4
61-75
1/1
76+
4/12
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Sporting Kansas City
0-15
/6
16-30
2/3
31-45
2/3
46-60
1/3
61-75
2/5
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.97 Austin FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.24 Sporting Kansas City xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 61% + Both teams to score 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Austin FC55% Draw23% Sporting Kansas City22%
Actual: Austin FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes61% 0% No39%
Avg goals/match: 3.21
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 83%
17%
± 2.5 61%
39%
± 3.5 40%
60%
± 4.5 23%
77%

Double Chance

Austin FC or Draw
78%
Draw or Sporting Kansas City
45%
Austin FC or Sporting Kansas City
77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Austin FC39% Draw42% Sporting Kansas City19%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.7%
2 – 1
9.4%
2 – 0
7.8%
1 – 0
Actual
3 – 1
6.1%
1 – 2
5.9%
2 – 2
5.8%
0 – 0
5.6%
3 – 0
5%
0 – 1
4.3%
3 – 2
3.9%
0 – 2
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Austin FC

Handicap Austin FC covers Push Sporting Kansas City covers
-2.5 15% 85%
-2 15% 16% 68%
-1.5 32% 68%
-1 32% 21% 47%
-0.5 53% 47%
+0.5 77% 23%
+1 77% 13% 10%
+1.5 90% 10%
+2 90% 6% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Austin FC keeps clean sheet
30%
Sporting Kansas City keeps clean sheet
15%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.