Austin FC vs Real Salt Lake, MLS 2022 PLAYOFFS

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MLS · 2022

Austin FC

5 – 3

3 – 1 pen

Full Time

Real Salt Lake

Sun 16 Oct 2022 · 19:00 UTC Q2 Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 17' Rubio Rubin

Alexander Ring 41' Y

Y 45' Justen Glad

R 52' Rubio Rubin

R 53' Rubio Rubin

Y 90' Scott Caldwell

Overview

Match Preview

Austin FC vs Real Salt Lake — MLS at Q2 Stadium.

Austin FC 27 games · 31 pts (2026/26)
Real Salt Lake 27 games · 32 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	27	60
2	Internacional CF Miami	27	46
3	New England Revolution	27	46
4	Charlotte FC	27	43
5	Chicago Fire FC	26	42
6	Philadelphia Union	27	39
7	Orlando City SC	27	34
8	New York City FC	27	33
9	FC Cincinnati	26	33
10	New York Red Bulls	26	33
11	D.C. United SC	26	30
12	Columbus Crew SC	27	29
13	Toronto FC	27	29
14	Atlanta United FC	27	27
15	Montreal Impact FC	27	24
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	26	50
17	FC Dallas	27	47
18	San Jose Earthquakes	27	45
19	St. Louis City	26	44
20	Houston Dynamo	27	44
21	Los Angeles FC	28	41
22	Colorado Rapids SC	27	36
23	Los Angeles Galaxy	28	36
24	Seattle Sounders FC	26	35
25	San Diego FC	27	32
26	Portland Timbers	27	32
27	Real Salt Lake	27	32
28	Austin FC	27	31
29	Minnesota United FC	27	29
30	Sporting Kansas City	26	21

Head-to-Head

Austin FC 12 games · Avg 3.6 goals Real Salt Lake

Last 5 meetings

2022-10-16 Austin FC 5–3 Real Salt Lake 2022-09-15 Austin FC 3–0 Real Salt Lake 2022-05-15 Real Salt Lake 2–1 Austin FC 2021-10-02 Austin FC 2–1 Real Salt Lake 2021-08-15 Real Salt Lake 1–0 Austin FC

Recent Form

Austin FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
16 Oct	Real Salt Lake	H	5–3	W
09 Oct	Colorado Rapids SC	H	1–1	D
02 Oct	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	A	0–2	L
18 Sep	Nashville SC	H	1–1	D
15 Sep	Real Salt Lake	H	3–0	W
11 Sep	Seattle Sounders FC	A	0–3	L

Real Salt Lake

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
16 Oct	Austin FC	A	3–5	L
09 Oct	Portland Timbers	H	3–1	W
02 Oct	Los Angeles Galaxy	A	1–1	D
18 Sep	FC Cincinnati	H	1–2	L
15 Sep	Austin FC	A	0–3	L
11 Sep	D.C. United SC	H	0–0	D

Season Stats

Austin FC		Real Salt Lake
#28	Position	#27
31	Points	32
27	Played	27
7 / 10 / 10	W / D / L	9 / 5 / 13
35	Scored	40
47	Conceded	44
-12	GD	-4
1.15	PPG	1.19
26%	Win %	33%

Key Stats

83% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)

83% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

22% Clean Sheets
Austin FC this season

11% Clean Sheets
Real Salt Lake this season

Austin FC are 28th (31 pts). Real Salt Lake are 27th (32 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Austin FC

0-15

5/4

16-30

4/5

31-45

2/4

46-60

3/6

61-75

3/3

76+

12/15

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Real Salt Lake

0-15

5/6

16-30

4/5

31-45

5/5

46-60

5/6

61-75

5/7

76+

6/9

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Austin FC

Christian Ramirez	9 G	2 A
Myrto Uzuni	6 G

Real Salt Lake

Sergi Solans	11 G	3 A
Zavier Gozo	6 G	3 A

Events

Match Events

0' What a night it is going to be! Austin FC welcome Real Salt Lake for this crunch clash at Q2 Stadium.
3' The Venezuela Sergio Cordova breaks the deadlock on 3 minutes. 0-1!
8' Austin FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 8.
13' It is a cagey affair so far. Austin FC in their trying to find a way past Real Salt Lake's compact .
14' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Sergio Cordova makes no mistake. 0-2!
15' What composure from Sergio Cordova! The Venezuela international strokes it home. 0-3.
17' The referee shows Real Salt Lake player a Yellow card on 17.
22' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Real Salt Lake needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
27' Ruiz is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Austin FC so far.
31' Sebastian Driussi is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 4 goals this season for the .
36' Real Salt Lake fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
41' It’s a booking for Austin FC player. Alexander Ring gets a Yellow card.
45' The referee calls foul for Justen Glad. He receives a Yellow card.
46' Austin FC make a change. Maximiliano Urruti trudges off to be replaced by Moussa Djitte on 46 minutes.
51' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Josh Wolff will be considering his options from the bench.
52' Rubio Rubin has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Red card on 52.
53' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Red card for Rubio Rubin.
58' Real Salt Lake looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker scoring 0 goals.
60' Another change for Real Salt Lake made on 60 minute. Sergio Cordova leaves to be changed by Jasper Loeffelsend.
61' A tactical swap from Real Salt Lake — Nick Besler on, Maikel Chang Ramirez off on 61 minutes.
64' Austin FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Zan Kolmanic is hanging Jon Gallagher on the field on 64 minute.
69' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Austin FC and Real Salt Lake are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
73' Tate Schmitt has so much to prove this time. He replaces Bryan Oviedo on 73 minute.
74' The whistle greets Jefferson Savarino as he departs to be replaced by Bode Davis.
79' Austin FC is showing some good football. However, Austin FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
82' Felipe Martins gets the nod from Austin FC. He replaces Alexander Ring and will look to change the dynamic.
84' Real Salt Lake manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Scott Caldwell is hanging Ruiz on the field on 84 minute.
89' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 89 minutes.
90' Real Salt Lake player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
Full Time. Austin FC beats Real Salt Lake

Lineups

Austin FC Lineups

Starting XI

24
Nick Lima
14
Diego Fagundez
37
Maximiliano Urruti ↓ Moussa Djitte 46'
18
Julio Cascante
13
Ethan Finlay ↓ Emiliano Rigoni 46'
1
Brad Stuver
8
Alexander Ring ↓ Felipe Martins 82'
7
Sebastian Driussi
4
Ruben Gabrielsen
17
Jon Gallagher ↓ Zan Kolmanic 64'
5
Jhojan Valencia ↓ Daniel Pereira 46'

Bench

77
Emiliano Rigoni ↑ 46'
31
Andrew Tarbell
16
Hector Jimenez
22
Felipe Martins ↑ 82'
23
Zan Kolmanic ↑ 64'
2
Moussa Djitte ↑ 46'
3
Jhohan Romana
6
Daniel Pereira ↑ 46'
33
Gavin Wolff

Coach Josh Wolff

Real Salt Lake Lineups

Starting XI

36
Bryan Oviedo ↓ Tate Schmitt 73'
10
Sergio Cordova ↓ Jasper Loeffelsend 61'
15
Justen Glad
30
Marcelo Silva
11
Jefferson Savarino ↓ Bode Davis 73'
2
Andrew Brody
18
Zac MacMath
88
Braian Ojeda
14
Rubio Rubin
6
Ruiz ↓ Scott Caldwell 84'
16
Maikel Chang Ramirez ↓ Nick Besler 61'

Bench

13
Nick Besler ↑ 61'
12
Scott Caldwell ↑ 84'
9
Justin Meram
21
Tate Schmitt ↑ 73'
39
Daniel Musovski
29
Anderson Julio
19
Bode Davis ↑ 73'
28
Jasper Loeffelsend ↑ 61'
81
Tomas Gomez

Coach Pablo Mastroeni

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Cristian Arango	3
Moussa Djitte	3
Sergio Cordova	3
Cecilio Dominguez	3
Anderson Julio	2
Alexander Ring	2
Sebastian Driussi	2
Rubio Rubin	2

Head to Head

Austin FC Form

2022-10-16 Austin FC 5–3 Real Salt Lake W 2022-10-09 Austin FC 1–1 Colorado Rapids SC D 2022-10-02 Vancouver Whitecaps FC 2–0 Austin FC L 2022-09-18 Austin FC 1–1 Nashville SC D 2022-09-15 Austin FC 3–0 Real Salt Lake W 2022-09-11 Seattle Sounders FC 3–0 Austin FC L

Real Salt Lake Form

2022-10-16 Austin FC 5–3 Real Salt Lake L 2022-10-09 Real Salt Lake 3–1 Portland Timbers W 2022-10-02 Los Angeles Galaxy 1–1 Real Salt Lake D 2022-09-18 Real Salt Lake 1–2 FC Cincinnati L 2022-09-15 Austin FC 3–0 Real Salt Lake L 2022-09-11 Real Salt Lake 0–0 D.C. United SC D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

2.14 Austin FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.55 Real Salt Lake xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 70% + Both teams to score 69%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Austin FC52% Draw22% Real Salt Lake26%

Actual: Austin FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes69% 0% No31%

Avg goals/match: 3.69

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	96%	4%
± 1.5	88%	12%
± 2.5	70%	30%
± 3.5	50%	50%
± 4.5	31%	69%

Double Chance

Austin FC or Draw

75%

Draw or Real Salt Lake

48%

Austin FC or Real Salt Lake

78%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Austin FC38% Draw39% Real Salt Lake23%

Actual: Real Salt Lake win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–3 not predicted

5 – 3

Actual

1 – 1

9.1%

2 – 1

8.6%

2 – 2

6.5%

1 – 2

6.2%

3 – 1

6.1%

2 – 0

5.8%

1 – 0

4.9%

3 – 2

4.7%

3 – 0

0 – 0

3.8%

2 – 3

3.4%

0 – 1

3.3%

Asian Handicap — Austin FC

Handicap	Austin FC covers	Push	Real Salt Lake covers
-2.5	15%	—	85%
-2	15%	15%	70%
-1.5	30%	—	70%
-1	30%	20%	50%
-0.5	50%	—	50%
+0.5	73%	—	27%
+1	73%	14%	13%
+1.5	87%	—	13%
+2	87%	8%	5%
+2.5	95%	—	5%

Clean Sheet

Austin FC keeps clean sheet

22% ✓

Real Salt Lake keeps clean sheet

13% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.