Austin FC vs Real Salt Lake, MLS 2022 PLAYOFFS

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MLS · 2022

Austin FC

5 – 3

3 – 1 pen

Full Time

Real Salt Lake

Sun 16 Oct 2022 · 19:00 UTC Q2 Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 17' Rubio Rubin

Alexander Ring 41' Y

Y 45' Justen Glad

R 52' Rubio Rubin

R 53' Rubio Rubin

Y 90' Scott Caldwell

Overview

Match Preview

Austin FC vs Real Salt Lake — MLS at Q2 Stadium.

Austin FC 34 games · 34 pts (2026/26)
Real Salt Lake 34 games · 45 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	34	77
2	Internacional CF Miami	34	60
3	New England Revolution	34	58
4	Chicago Fire FC	34	55
5	Charlotte FC	34	54
6	Philadelphia Union	34	50
7	Columbus Crew SC	34	47
8	FC Cincinnati	34	46
9	Orlando City SC	34	46
10	New York City FC	34	42
11	New York Red Bulls	34	42
12	Toronto FC	34	39
13	Atlanta United FC	34	33
14	D.C. United SC	34	33
15	Montreal Impact FC	34	26
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	34	64
17	FC Dallas	34	58
18	St. Louis City	34	54
19	San Jose Earthquakes	34	52
20	Houston Dynamo	34	51
21	Los Angeles FC	34	47
22	Portland Timbers	34	46
23	Seattle Sounders FC	34	46
24	Real Salt Lake	34	45
25	Minnesota United FC	34	44
26	Los Angeles Galaxy	34	44
27	Colorado Rapids SC	34	43
28	San Diego FC	34	38
29	Austin FC	34	34
30	Sporting Kansas City	34	26

Head-to-Head

Austin FC 13 games · Avg 3.5 goals Real Salt Lake

Last 5 meetings

2022-10-16 Austin FC 5–3 Real Salt Lake 2022-09-15 Austin FC 3–0 Real Salt Lake 2022-05-15 Real Salt Lake 2–1 Austin FC 2021-10-02 Austin FC 2–1 Real Salt Lake 2021-08-15 Real Salt Lake 1–0 Austin FC

Recent Form

Austin FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
16 Oct	Real Salt Lake	H	5–3	W
09 Oct	Colorado Rapids SC	H	1–1	D
02 Oct	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	A	0–2	L
18 Sep	Nashville SC	H	1–1	D
15 Sep	Real Salt Lake	H	3–0	W
11 Sep	Seattle Sounders FC	A	0–3	L

Real Salt Lake

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
16 Oct	Austin FC	A	3–5	L
09 Oct	Portland Timbers	H	3–1	W
02 Oct	Los Angeles Galaxy	A	1–1	D
18 Sep	FC Cincinnati	H	1–2	L
15 Sep	Austin FC	A	0–3	L
11 Sep	D.C. United SC	H	0–0	D

Season Stats

Austin FC		Real Salt Lake
#29	Position	#24
34	Points	45
34	Played	34
8 / 10 / 16	W / D / L	13 / 6 / 15
42	Scored	53
65	Conceded	52
-23	GD	+1
1.00	PPG	1.32
24%	Win %	38%

Key Stats

85% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)

85% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

18% Clean Sheets
Austin FC this season

12% Clean Sheets
Real Salt Lake this season

Austin FC are 29th (34 pts). Real Salt Lake are 24th (45 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Austin FC

0-15

5/6

16-30

4/6

31-45

3/5

46-60

5/11

61-75

5/10

76+

14/17

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Real Salt Lake

0-15

9/7

16-30

5/7

31-45

6/6

46-60

8/7

61-75

7/7

76+

8/11

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Austin FC

Christian Ramirez	9 G	2 A
Myrto Uzuni	9 G	1 A

Real Salt Lake

Sergi Solans	15 G	4 A
Zavier Gozo	6 G	3 A

Events

Match Events

0' And we are off! Austin FC vs Real Salt Lake — let the football do the talking.
3' Sergio Cordova puts Real Salt Lake on the lead.
8' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Josh Wolff will be considering his options from the bench.
13' Nick Lima has been relatively quiet despite scoring 9 goals in his last 298 appearances.
14' Sergio Cordova adds to his 1 season tally! Real Salt Lake lead 0-2 — and this changes everything.
15' Sergio Cordova makes a hat-trick on 15.
17' Real Salt Lake player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
22' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
27' Over 27 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
31' Brilliant from the ! Sebastian Driussi makes it 1-3 with a superb finish on 31.
36' Ruben Gabrielsen has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
41' The referee calls foul for Alexander Ring. He receives a Yellow card.
45' A moment of madness from Justen Glad on 45 minutes earns him a Yellow card. Real Salt Lake will be frustrated.
46' The Austin FC bench stirs into life. Maximiliano Urruti is withdrawn and Moussa Djitte gets his opportunity.
51' Jhojan Valencia, a Colombia , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
52' Real Salt Lake player sees a Red card in front of him.
53' Rubio Rubin has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Red card on 53.
58' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 58 minutes.
60' A tactical swap from Real Salt Lake — Jasper Loeffelsend on, Sergio Cordova off on 60 minutes.
61' It is a substitution in Real Salt Lake team. Maikel Chang Ramirez is replaced by Nick Besler on 61 minute.
64' Austin FC make a change. Jon Gallagher trudges off to be replaced by Zan Kolmanic on 64 minutes.
69' USA international Nick Besler has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
73' The crowd applauds Bryan Oviedo as he leaves the pitch. Tate Schmitt steps in for Real Salt Lake.
74' A change in the Real Salt Lake ranks — Jefferson Savarino exits the field as Bode Davis enters on 74.
79' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with Real Salt Lake winning 100% of all matches.
82' Austin FC ring the changes. Alexander Ring has done his job and it is now time for Felipe Martins to step up.
84' Scott Caldwell is ready to make an impact after coming on for Ruiz at the 84 minute mark.
89' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
90' Poor challenge from Scott Caldwell. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
Austin FC celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

Austin FC Lineups

Starting XI

24
Nick Lima
14
Diego Fagundez
37
Maximiliano Urruti ↓ Moussa Djitte 46'
18
Julio Cascante
13
Ethan Finlay ↓ Emiliano Rigoni 46'
1
Brad Stuver
8
Alexander Ring ↓ Felipe Martins 82'
7
Sebastian Driussi
4
Ruben Gabrielsen
17
Jon Gallagher ↓ Zan Kolmanic 64'
5
Jhojan Valencia ↓ Daniel Pereira 46'

Bench

77
Emiliano Rigoni ↑ 46'
31
Andrew Tarbell
16
Hector Jimenez
22
Felipe Martins ↑ 82'
23
Zan Kolmanic ↑ 64'
2
Moussa Djitte ↑ 46'
3
Jhohan Romana
6
Daniel Pereira ↑ 46'
33
Gavin Wolff

Coach Josh Wolff

Real Salt Lake Lineups

Starting XI

36
Bryan Oviedo ↓ Tate Schmitt 73'
10
Sergio Cordova ↓ Jasper Loeffelsend 61'
15
Justen Glad
30
Marcelo Silva
11
Jefferson Savarino ↓ Bode Davis 73'
2
Andrew Brody
18
Zac MacMath
88
Braian Ojeda
14
Rubio Rubin
6
Ruiz ↓ Scott Caldwell 84'
16
Maikel Chang Ramirez ↓ Nick Besler 61'

Bench

13
Nick Besler ↑ 61'
12
Scott Caldwell ↑ 84'
9
Justin Meram
21
Tate Schmitt ↑ 73'
39
Daniel Musovski
29
Anderson Julio
19
Bode Davis ↑ 73'
28
Jasper Loeffelsend ↑ 61'
81
Tomas Gomez

Coach Pablo Mastroeni

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Cristian Arango	3
Sergio Cordova	3
Cecilio Dominguez	3
Moussa Djitte	3
Anderson Julio	2
Sebastian Driussi	2
Rubio Rubin	2
Alexander Ring	2

Head to Head

Austin FC Form

2022-10-16 Austin FC 5–3 Real Salt Lake W 2022-10-09 Austin FC 1–1 Colorado Rapids SC D 2022-10-02 Vancouver Whitecaps FC 2–0 Austin FC L 2022-09-18 Austin FC 1–1 Nashville SC D 2022-09-15 Austin FC 3–0 Real Salt Lake W 2022-09-11 Seattle Sounders FC 3–0 Austin FC L

Real Salt Lake Form

2022-10-16 Austin FC 5–3 Real Salt Lake L 2022-10-09 Real Salt Lake 3–1 Portland Timbers W 2022-10-02 Los Angeles Galaxy 1–1 Real Salt Lake D 2022-09-18 Real Salt Lake 1–2 FC Cincinnati L 2022-09-15 Austin FC 3–0 Real Salt Lake L 2022-09-11 Real Salt Lake 0–0 D.C. United SC D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

2.05 Austin FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.66 Real Salt Lake xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 70% + Both teams to score 70%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Austin FC50% Draw23% Real Salt Lake27%

Actual: Austin FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes70% 0% No30%

Avg goals/match: 3.71

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	96%	4%
± 1.5	88%	12%
± 2.5	70%	30%
± 3.5	50%	50%
± 4.5	32%	68%

Double Chance

Austin FC or Draw

72%

Draw or Real Salt Lake

50%

Austin FC or Real Salt Lake

77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Austin FC35% Draw39% Real Salt Lake26%

Actual: Real Salt Lake win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–3 not predicted

5 – 3

Actual

1 – 1

9.2%

2 – 1

8.3%

2 – 2

6.8%

1 – 2

6.7%

3 – 1

5.6%

2 – 0

5.2%

3 – 2

4.6%

1 – 0

4.5%

2 – 3

3.8%

0 – 0

3.7%

1 – 3

3.7%

0 – 1

3.5%

Asian Handicap — Austin FC

Handicap	Austin FC covers	Push	Real Salt Lake covers
-2.5	13%	—	87%
-2	13%	14%	73%
-1.5	27%	—	73%
-1	27%	19%	54%
-0.5	46%	—	54%
+0.5	69%	—	31%
+1	69%	15%	15%
+1.5	85%	—	15%
+2	85%	9%	6%
+2.5	94%	—	6%

Clean Sheet

Austin FC keeps clean sheet

20% ✓

Real Salt Lake keeps clean sheet

14% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.