Atlanta United FC vs Portland Timbers, MLS 2023 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2023

Atlanta United FC

5 – 1

Full Time

Portland Timbers

Sat 18 Mar 2023 · 23:30 UTC Mercedes-Benz Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 45' Larrys Mabiala

Y 61' Claudio Bravo

Y 67' Eryk Williamson

Y 68' Zac McGraw

Santiago Sosa 81' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Atlanta United FC vs Portland Timbers — MLS at Mercedes-Benz Stadium.

Atlanta United FC 18 games · 12 pts (2026/26)
Portland Timbers 18 games · 24 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	18	40
2	Internacional CF Miami	18	38
3	New England Revolution	18	30
4	Chicago Fire FC	17	29
5	New York City FC	18	26
6	FC Cincinnati	18	26
7	Charlotte FC	18	25
8	New York Red Bulls	18	25
9	D.C. United SC	18	23
10	Columbus Crew SC	18	20
11	Orlando City SC	18	20
12	Toronto FC	18	17
13	Philadelphia Union	18	16
14	Montreal Impact FC	18	16
15	Atlanta United FC	18	12
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	17	34
17	Los Angeles FC	19	34
18	San Jose Earthquakes	18	33
19	Houston Dynamo	18	32
20	FC Dallas	18	27
21	Real Salt Lake	17	27
22	St. Louis City	18	26
23	Portland Timbers	18	24
24	Seattle Sounders FC	17	24
25	Minnesota United FC	18	24
26	Colorado Rapids SC	18	22
27	Los Angeles Galaxy	19	22
28	San Diego FC	18	21
29	Austin FC	18	17
30	Sporting Kansas City	18	14

Head-to-Head

Atlanta United FC 5 games · Avg 3.0 goals Portland Timbers

Last 5 meetings

2023-03-18 Atlanta United FC 5–1 Portland Timbers 2022-09-04 Portland Timbers 2–1 Atlanta United FC 2019-08-19 Portland Timbers 0–2 Atlanta United FC 2018-12-09 Atlanta United FC 2–0 Portland Timbers 2018-06-24 Atlanta United FC 1–1 Portland Timbers

Recent Form

Atlanta United FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
18 Mar	Portland Timbers	H	5–1	W
11 Mar	Charlotte FC	A	3–0	W
05 Mar	Toronto FC	H	1–1	D
26 Feb	San Jose Earthquakes	H	2–1	W
09 Oct	New York City FC	H	1–2	L
01 Oct	New England Revolution	A	1–2	L

Portland Timbers

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
18 Mar	Atlanta United FC	A	1–5	L
12 Mar	St. Louis City	H	1–2	L
04 Mar	Los Angeles FC	A	2–3	L
28 Feb	Sporting Kansas City	H	1–0	W
09 Oct	Real Salt Lake	A	1–3	L
02 Oct	Los Angeles FC	H	1–2	L

Season Stats

Atlanta United FC		Portland Timbers
#15	Position	#23
12	Points	24
18	Played	18
3 / 3 / 12	W / D / L	7 / 3 / 8
19	Scored	33
33	Conceded	33
-14	GD	+0
0.67	PPG	1.33
17%	Win %	39%

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)

40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

11% Clean Sheets
Atlanta United FC this season

6% Clean Sheets
Portland Timbers this season

Atlanta United FC are 15th (12 pts). Portland Timbers are 23rd (24 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Atlanta United FC

0-15

–/4

16-30

1/3

31-45

1/3

46-60

3/3

61-75

3/6

76+

4/5

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Portland Timbers

0-15

2/5

16-30

4/5

31-45

4/4

46-60

3/2

61-75

5/–

76+

5/4

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Atlanta United FC

Aleksei Miranchuk

5 G

2 A

Portland Timbers

Kevin Kelsy

8 G

2 A

Events

Match Events

0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Mercedes-Benz Stadium!
2' Eryk Williamson puts Portland Timbers on the lead.
7' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Portland Timbers that had 288 games and scored 463 goals.
12' Caleb Wiley is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Atlanta United FC so far.
17' Luiz Araujo has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 31 cards already picked up this season.
22' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
25' What an equalizer from Caleb Wiley!
30' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
35' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
40' Atlanta United FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
45' Larrys Mabiala picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
50' The Argentina Thiago Almada breaks the deadlock on 45 minutes. 2-1!
55' Both keepers have barely been tested. Atlanta United FC and Portland Timbers are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
58' A stunning finish from Giorgos Giakoumakis — that came from absolutely nowhere!
59' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Giorgos Giakoumakis makes it 4-1.
61' Claudio Bravo catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 61.
66' The energy levels are beginning to show. Gonzalo Pineda might look to freshen things up shortly.
67' Poor challenge from Eryk Williamson. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
68' That is a Yellow card for Portland Timbers. Zac McGraw will be fuming at that decision.
69' The whistle greets Santiago Moreno as he departs to be replaced by Marvin Loria.
73' Fresh legs for Atlanta United FC! Santiago Sosa comes on to replace Franco Ibarra.
74' Luiz Araujo does the damage! The net is bulging and Atlanta United FC surge ahead!
75' GOAL! Luiz Araujo scores on 75.
76' Diego Gutierrez has so much to prove this time. He replaces Jaroslaw Niezgoda on 76 minute.
77' The crowd applauds Amar Sejdic as he leaves the pitch. Ajani Fortune steps in for Atlanta United FC.
81' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Santiago Sosa.
82' Pablo Bonilla is replacing Juan Mosquera for the Portland Timbers side.
83' The Tega Ikoba breaks the deadlock on 83 minutes. 6-2!
86' Thiago Almada adds to his 0 season tally! Atlanta United FC lead 7-2 — and this changes everything.
89' Time for substitution for Atlanta United FC. Miles Robinson is replaced by Luis Abram.
Full Time. Atlanta United FC beats Portland Timbers

Lineups

Atlanta United FC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

10
Luiz Araujo
11
Brooks Lennon
7
Giorgos Giakoumakis ↓ Miguel Berry 77'
1
Brad Guzan
12
Miles Robinson ↓ Luis Abram 89'
23
Thiago Almada
13
Amar Sejdic ↓ Ajani Fortune 77'
15
Andrew Gutman
14
Franco Ibarra ↓ Santiago Sosa 73'
26
Caleb Wiley ↓ Derrick Etienne 73'
22
Juan Sanchez

Bench

31
Quentin Westberg
18
Derrick Etienne ↑ 73'
4
Luis Abram ↑ 89'
5
Santiago Sosa ↑ 73'
2
Ronald Hernandez
19
Miguel Berry ↑ 77'
28
Tyler Wolff
30
Machop Chol
35
Ajani Fortune ↑ 77'

Coach Gonzalo Pineda

Portland Timbers Lineups

5-3-2

Starting XI

21
Diego Chara
33
Larrys Mabiala
19
Eryk Williamson
5
Claudio Bravo ↓ Justin Rasmussen 69'
31
Aljaz Ivacic
13
Dario Zuparic
18
Zac McGraw ↓ Tega Ikoba 76'
30
Santiago Moreno ↓ Marvin Loria 69'
11
Jaroslaw Niezgoda ↓ Diego Gutierrez 76'
99
Nathan Fogaca
29
Juan Mosquera ↓ Pablo Bonilla 82'

Bench

1
David Bingham
44
Marvin Loria ↑ 69'
28
Pablo Bonilla ↑ 82'
14
Justin Rasmussen ↑ 69'
16
Diego Gutierrez ↑ 76'
17
Tega Ikoba ↑ 76'

Coach Giovanni Savarese

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Josef Martinez	4
Dairon Asprilla	2
Santiago Moreno	2
Thiago Almada	2
Larrys Mabiala	1
Caleb Wiley	1
Larrys Mabiala	1
Tega Ikoba	1

Head to Head

Atlanta United FC Form

2023-03-18 Atlanta United FC 5–1 Portland Timbers W 2023-03-11 Charlotte FC 0–3 Atlanta United FC W 2023-03-05 Atlanta United FC 1–1 Toronto FC D 2023-02-26 Atlanta United FC 2–1 San Jose Earthquakes W 2022-10-09 Atlanta United FC 1–2 New York City FC L 2022-10-01 New England Revolution 2–1 Atlanta United FC L

Portland Timbers Form

2023-03-18 Atlanta United FC 5–1 Portland Timbers L 2023-03-12 Portland Timbers 1–2 St. Louis City L 2023-03-04 Los Angeles FC 3–2 Portland Timbers L 2023-02-28 Portland Timbers 1–0 Sporting Kansas City W 2022-10-09 Real Salt Lake 3–1 Portland Timbers L 2022-10-02 Portland Timbers 1–2 Los Angeles FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

2.17 Atlanta United FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.56 Portland Timbers xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 71% + Both teams to score 70%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Atlanta United FC54% Draw22% Portland Timbers24%

Actual: Atlanta United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes70% 0% No30%

Avg goals/match: 3.73

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	96%	4%
± 1.5	88%	12%
± 2.5	71%	29%
± 3.5	50%	50%
± 4.5	32%	68%

Double Chance

Atlanta United FC or Draw

76%

Draw or Portland Timbers

46%

Atlanta United FC or Portland Timbers

78%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Atlanta United FC38% Draw39% Portland Timbers23%

Actual: Atlanta United FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–1 not predicted

5 – 1

Actual

1 – 1

2 – 1

8.5%

2 – 2

6.6%

1 – 2

6.2%

3 – 1

6.1%

2 – 0

5.7%

3 – 2

4.8%

1 – 0

4.7%

3 – 0

0 – 0

3.6%

2 – 3

3.4%

4 – 1

3.3%

Asian Handicap — Atlanta United FC

Handicap	Atlanta United FC covers	Push	Portland Timbers covers
-2.5	15%	—	85%
-2	15%	15%	69%
-1.5	31%	—	69%
-1	31%	20%	50%
-0.5	50%	—	50%
+0.5	73%	—	27%
+1	73%	14%	13%
+1.5	87%	—	13%
+2	87%	8%	5%
+2.5	95%	—	5%

Clean Sheet

Atlanta United FC keeps clean sheet

22% ✓

Portland Timbers keeps clean sheet

12% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.