Atlanta United FC vs Portland Timbers, MLS 2023 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2023

Atlanta United FC

5 – 1

Full Time

Portland Timbers

Sat 18 Mar 2023 · 23:30 UTC Mercedes-Benz Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 45' Larrys Mabiala

Y 61' Claudio Bravo

Y 67' Eryk Williamson

Y 68' Zac McGraw

Santiago Sosa 81' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Atlanta United FC vs Portland Timbers — MLS at Mercedes-Benz Stadium.

Atlanta United FC 34 games · 33 pts (2026/26)
Portland Timbers 34 games · 46 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	34	77
2	Internacional CF Miami	34	60
3	New England Revolution	34	58
4	Chicago Fire FC	34	55
5	Charlotte FC	34	54
6	Philadelphia Union	34	50
7	Columbus Crew SC	34	47
8	FC Cincinnati	34	46
9	Orlando City SC	34	46
10	New York City FC	34	42
11	New York Red Bulls	34	42
12	Toronto FC	34	39
13	Atlanta United FC	34	33
14	D.C. United SC	34	33
15	Montreal Impact FC	34	26
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	34	64
17	FC Dallas	34	58
18	St. Louis City	34	54
19	San Jose Earthquakes	34	52
20	Houston Dynamo	34	51
21	Los Angeles FC	34	47
22	Portland Timbers	34	46
23	Seattle Sounders FC	34	46
24	Real Salt Lake	34	45
25	Minnesota United FC	34	44
26	Los Angeles Galaxy	34	44
27	Colorado Rapids SC	34	43
28	San Diego FC	34	38
29	Austin FC	34	34
30	Sporting Kansas City	34	26

Head-to-Head

Atlanta United FC 6 games · Avg 2.7 goals Portland Timbers

Last 5 meetings

2023-03-18 Atlanta United FC 5–1 Portland Timbers 2022-09-04 Portland Timbers 2–1 Atlanta United FC 2019-08-19 Portland Timbers 0–2 Atlanta United FC 2018-12-09 Atlanta United FC 2–0 Portland Timbers 2018-06-24 Atlanta United FC 1–1 Portland Timbers

Recent Form

Atlanta United FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
18 Mar	Portland Timbers	H	5–1	W
11 Mar	Charlotte FC	A	3–0	W
05 Mar	Toronto FC	H	1–1	D
26 Feb	San Jose Earthquakes	H	2–1	W
09 Oct	New York City FC	H	1–2	L
01 Oct	New England Revolution	A	1–2	L

Portland Timbers

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
18 Mar	Atlanta United FC	A	1–5	L
12 Mar	St. Louis City	H	1–2	L
04 Mar	Los Angeles FC	A	2–3	L
28 Feb	Sporting Kansas City	H	1–0	W
09 Oct	Real Salt Lake	A	1–3	L
02 Oct	Los Angeles FC	H	1–2	L

Season Stats

Atlanta United FC		Portland Timbers
#13	Position	#22
33	Points	46
34	Played	34
9 / 6 / 19	W / D / L	13 / 7 / 14
43	Scored	62
60	Conceded	61
-17	GD	+1
0.97	PPG	1.35
26%	Win %	38%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)

33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

15% Clean Sheets
Atlanta United FC this season

9% Clean Sheets
Portland Timbers this season

Atlanta United FC are 13th (33 pts). Portland Timbers are 22nd (46 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Atlanta United FC

0-15

3/4

16-30

5/6

31-45

4/7

46-60

5/12

61-75

6/8

76+

7/11

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Portland Timbers

0-15

7/10

16-30

8/10

31-45

9/9

46-60

6/5

61-75

10/4

76+

12/10

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Atlanta United FC

Aleksei Miranchuk

6 G

6 A

Portland Timbers

Kristoffer Velde	12 G	6 A
Ariel Lassiter	9 G	4 A
Kevin Kelsy	9 G	2 A

Events

Match Events

0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Atlanta United FC and Portland Timbers get this one started.
2' A goal from the USA international Eryk Williamson! He fires home on 2 to make it 0-1!
7' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Nathan Fogaca suffering a number of foals already.
12' Atlanta United FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
17' Atlanta United FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
22' The 27-year-old Diego Gutierrez has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
25' What an equalizer from Caleb Wiley!
30' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
35' Pablo Bonilla has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
40' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Gonzalo Pineda will be considering his options from the bench.
45' Larrys Mabiala was booked on 45.
50' Thiago Almada adds to his 3 season tally! Atlanta United FC lead 2-1 — and this changes everything.
55' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
58' Against the run of play, Giorgos Giakoumakis has scored! This game has turned on its head.
59' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Giorgos Giakoumakis makes it 4-1.
61' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Claudio Bravo.
66' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 5-3-2 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
67' Poor challenge from Eryk Williamson. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
68' Zac McGraw picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
69' The whistle greets Santiago Moreno as he departs to be replaced by Marvin Loria.
73' Atlanta United FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Santiago Sosa is hanging Franco Ibarra on the field on 73 minute.
74' What a moment for Luiz Araujo! That strike on 74 puts his side firmly in control.
75' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Luiz Araujo makes it 6-1.
76' Jaroslaw Niezgoda makes way for Diego Gutierrez at the 76 minute mark. A tactical switch from Portland Timbers.
77' Another substitution for Atlanta United FC to replace Amar Sejdic by Ajani Fortune on 77 minute.
81' The referee calls foul for Santiago Sosa. He receives a Yellow card.
82' Pablo Bonilla gets the nod from Portland Timbers. He replaces Juan Mosquera and will look to change the dynamic.
83' What a strike from Tega Ikoba! The score is 6-2.
86' The deadlock is broken! Thiago Almada gets on the scoresheet on 86 minutes.
89' Miles Robinson makes way for Luis Abram at the 89 minute mark. A tactical switch from Atlanta United FC.
The points are shared — Atlanta United FC 5-1 Portland Timbers. Honours even.

Lineups

Atlanta United FC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

10
Luiz Araujo
11
Brooks Lennon
7
Giorgos Giakoumakis ↓ Miguel Berry 77'
1
Brad Guzan
12
Miles Robinson ↓ Luis Abram 89'
23
Thiago Almada
13
Amar Sejdic ↓ Ajani Fortune 77'
15
Andrew Gutman
14
Franco Ibarra ↓ Santiago Sosa 73'
26
Caleb Wiley ↓ Derrick Etienne 73'
22
Juan Sanchez

Bench

31
Quentin Westberg
18
Derrick Etienne ↑ 73'
4
Luis Abram ↑ 89'
5
Santiago Sosa ↑ 73'
2
Ronald Hernandez
19
Miguel Berry ↑ 77'
28
Tyler Wolff
30
Machop Chol
35
Ajani Fortune ↑ 77'

Coach Gonzalo Pineda

Portland Timbers Lineups

5-3-2

Starting XI

21
Diego Chara
33
Larrys Mabiala
19
Eryk Williamson
5
Claudio Bravo ↓ Justin Rasmussen 69'
31
Aljaz Ivacic
13
Dario Zuparic
18
Zac McGraw ↓ Tega Ikoba 76'
30
Santiago Moreno ↓ Marvin Loria 69'
11
Jaroslaw Niezgoda ↓ Diego Gutierrez 76'
99
Nathan Fogaca
29
Juan Mosquera ↓ Pablo Bonilla 82'

Bench

1
David Bingham
44
Marvin Loria ↑ 69'
28
Pablo Bonilla ↑ 82'
14
Justin Rasmussen ↑ 69'
16
Diego Gutierrez ↑ 76'
17
Tega Ikoba ↑ 76'

Coach Giovanni Savarese

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Josef Martinez	4
Thiago Almada	2
Dairon Asprilla	2
Santiago Moreno	2
Larrys Mabiala	1
Caleb Wiley	1
Larrys Mabiala	1
Tega Ikoba	1

Head to Head

Atlanta United FC Form

2023-03-18 Atlanta United FC 5–1 Portland Timbers W 2023-03-11 Charlotte FC 0–3 Atlanta United FC W 2023-03-05 Atlanta United FC 1–1 Toronto FC D 2023-02-26 Atlanta United FC 2–1 San Jose Earthquakes W 2022-10-09 Atlanta United FC 1–2 New York City FC L 2022-10-01 New England Revolution 2–1 Atlanta United FC L

Portland Timbers Form

2023-03-18 Atlanta United FC 5–1 Portland Timbers L 2023-03-12 Portland Timbers 1–2 St. Louis City L 2023-03-04 Los Angeles FC 3–2 Portland Timbers L 2023-02-28 Portland Timbers 1–0 Sporting Kansas City W 2022-10-09 Real Salt Lake 3–1 Portland Timbers L 2022-10-02 Portland Timbers 1–2 Los Angeles FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

2.28 Atlanta United FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.51 Portland Timbers xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 72% + Both teams to score 70%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Atlanta United FC56% Draw21% Portland Timbers23%

Actual: Atlanta United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes70% 0% No30%

Avg goals/match: 3.79

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	97%	3%
± 1.5	89%	11%
± 2.5	72%	28%
± 3.5	52%	48%
± 4.5	33%	67%

Double Chance

Atlanta United FC or Draw

77%

Draw or Portland Timbers

44%

Atlanta United FC or Portland Timbers

79%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Atlanta United FC40% Draw38% Portland Timbers22%

Actual: Atlanta United FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–1 not predicted

5 – 1

Actual

1 – 1

8.6%

2 – 1

8.6%

3 – 1

6.4%

2 – 2

6.4%

2 – 0

5.9%

1 – 2

5.7%

3 – 2

4.9%

1 – 0

4.7%

3 – 0

4.4%

4 – 1

3.7%

0 – 0

3.5%

2 – 3

3.2%

Asian Handicap — Atlanta United FC

Handicap	Atlanta United FC covers	Push	Portland Timbers covers
-2.5	18%	—	82%
-2	18%	16%	66%
-1.5	34%	—	66%
-1	34%	20%	46%
-0.5	54%	—	46%
+0.5	75%	—	25%
+1	75%	13%	12%
+1.5	88%	—	12%
+2	88%	7%	4%
+2.5	96%	—	4%

Clean Sheet

Atlanta United FC keeps clean sheet

23% ✓

Portland Timbers keeps clean sheet

11% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.