Sunday , 16 August 2026

Atlanta United FC vs Chicago Fire FC, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2025
Wed 16 Jul 2025 · 23:30 UTC Mercedes-Benz Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Jul Chicago Fire FC H 2–2 D
12 Jul Toronto FC A 1–1 D
05 Jul D.C. United SC A 0–0 D
25 Jun Columbus Crew SC A 1–3 L
12 Jun New York City FC A 0–4 L
31 May New York Red Bulls A 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Jul Atlanta United FC A 2–2 D
13 Jul San Diego FC H 1–2 L
05 Jul FC Cincinnati A 1–2 L
29 Jun Charlotte FC H 3–2 W
26 Jun Philadelphia Union H 0–1 L
15 Jun Nashville SC H 0–2 L

Season Stats

Atlanta United FC Chicago Fire FC
#15 Position #4
12 Points 29
18 Played 17
3 / 3 / 12 W / D / L 9 / 2 / 6
19 Scored 32
33 Conceded 23
-14 GD +9
0.67 PPG 1.71
17% Win % 53%

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
69% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
11% Clean Sheets
Atlanta United FC this season
41% Clean Sheets
Chicago Fire FC this season

Atlanta United FC are 15th (12 pts). Chicago Fire FC are 4th (29 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Atlanta United FC
0-15
/4
16-30
1/3
31-45
1/3
46-60
3/3
61-75
3/6
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Chicago Fire FC
0-15
3/1
16-30
7/4
31-45
1/5
46-60
2/2
61-75
6/
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Atlanta United FC
Aleksei Miranchuk 5 G 2 A
Chicago Fire FC
Hugo Cuypers 11 G
Philip Zinckernagel 5 G 4 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.51 Atlanta United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.88 Chicago Fire FC xG
I would bet for: Atlanta United FC or Chicago Fire FC 76% + Both teams to score 66%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Atlanta United FC36% Draw24% Chicago Fire FC40%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes66% 0% No34%
Avg goals/match: 3.39
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 85%
15%
± 2.5 65%
35%
± 3.5 44%
56%
± 4.5 26%
74%

Double Chance

Atlanta United FC or Draw
60%
Draw or Chicago Fire FC
64%
Atlanta United FC or Chicago Fire FC
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Atlanta United FC25% Draw41% Chicago Fire FC34%
Actual: Chicago Fire FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.4%
1 – 2
8.7%
2 – 1
7%
2 – 2
Actual
0 – 2
6%
0 – 1
5.7%
1 – 3
5.4%
0 – 0
4.8%
1 – 0
4.4%
2 – 3
4.1%
2 – 0
3.9%
0 – 3
3.7%

Asian Handicap — Atlanta United FC

Handicap Atlanta United FC covers Push Chicago Fire FC covers
-2.5 6% 94%
-2 6% 9% 85%
-1.5 15% 85%
-1 15% 16% 70%
-0.5 30% 70%
+0.5 55% 45%
+1 55% 20% 26%
+1.5 74% 26%
+2 74% 14% 12%
+2.5 88% 12%

Clean Sheet

Atlanta United FC keeps clean sheet
16%
Chicago Fire FC keeps clean sheet
23%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.