Atalanta BC vs Udinese Calcio, 2017

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Serie A 2017/18 · 2017

Atalanta BC

0 – 5

Full Time

Udinese Calcio

Sun 18 Mar 2018 · 11:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Atalanta BC vs Udinese Calcio — Serie A .

Atalanta BC 0 games · 0 pts
Udinese Calcio 0 games · 0 pts

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

Atalanta BC 3.75

Draw 3.50

Udinese Calcio 2.00

Head-to-Head

Atalanta BC 24 games · Avg 3.1 goals Udinese Calcio

Last 5 meetings

2018-03-18 Atalanta BC 0–5 Udinese Calcio 2017-10-24 Udinese Calcio 3–2 Atalanta BC 2017-04-03 Udinese Calcio 1–2 Atalanta BC 2016-10-30 Atalanta BC 1–0 Udinese Calcio 2016-02-20 Udinese Calcio 3–1 Atalanta BC

Recent Form

Atalanta BC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
18 Mar	Udinese Calcio	H	0–5	L
11 Mar	Torino FC	A	1–4	L
25 Feb	Genoa CFC	H	2–1	W
18 Feb	Bologna FC 1909	A	0–1	L
11 Feb	NEROCA FC	H	2–0	W
03 Feb	Parma Calcio 1913	H	1–1	D

Udinese Calcio

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
18 Mar	Atalanta BC	A	5–0	W
11 Mar	Churchill Brothers SC	H	0–0	D
24 Feb	Frosinone Calcio	H	2–0	W
17 Feb	ACF Fiorentina	A	0–2	L
11 Feb	SPAL 2013	H	2–1	W
03 Feb	Torino FC	H	1–1	D

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Atalanta BC and Udinese Calcio get this one started.
With this win, Udinese Calcio is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

Atalanta BC Lineups

Udinese Calcio Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Luis Muriel	11
Duvan Zapata	5
Mario Pasalic	4
Kevin Lasagna	3
Beto	2
Ruslan Malinovskyi	2
Josip Ilicic	2
Ademola Lookman	2

Head to Head

Atalanta BC Form

2018-03-18 Atalanta BC 0–5 Udinese Calcio L 2018-03-11 Torino FC 4–1 Atalanta BC L 2018-02-25 Atalanta BC 2–1 Genoa CFC W 2018-02-18 Bologna FC 1909 1–0 Atalanta BC L 2018-02-11 Atalanta BC 2–0 NEROCA FC W 2018-02-03 Atalanta BC 1–1 Parma Calcio 1913 D

Udinese Calcio Form

2018-03-18 Atalanta BC 0–5 Udinese Calcio W 2018-03-11 Udinese Calcio 0–0 Churchill Brothers SC D 2018-02-24 Udinese Calcio 2–0 Frosinone Calcio W 2018-02-17 ACF Fiorentina 2–0 Udinese Calcio L 2018-02-11 Udinese Calcio 2–1 SPAL 2013 W 2018-02-03 Udinese Calcio 1–1 Torino FC D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.19 Atalanta BC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.86 Udinese Calcio xG

I would bet for: Both teams to score 59% + Over 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Atalanta BC27% Draw26% Udinese Calcio47%

Actual: Udinese Calcio win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes59% 0% No41%

Avg goals/match: 3.05

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	94%	6%
± 1.5	81%	19%
± 2.5	58%	42%
± 3.5	36%	64%
± 4.5	20%	80%

Double Chance

Atalanta BC or Draw

53%

Draw or Udinese Calcio

73%

Atalanta BC or Udinese Calcio

74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Atalanta BC19% Draw43% Udinese Calcio38%

Actual: Udinese Calcio win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 0–5 not predicted

0 – 5

Actual

1 – 1

11.4%

1 – 2

9.4%

0 – 1

8.1%

0 – 2

8.1%

0 – 0

6.4%

2 – 1

1 – 3

5.8%

2 – 2

5.6%

0 – 3

4.9%

1 – 0

4.9%

2 – 3

3.5%

2 – 0

3.4%

Asian Handicap — Atalanta BC

Handicap	Atalanta BC covers	Push	Udinese Calcio covers
-2.5	3%	—	97%
-2	3%	7%	90%
-1.5	10%	—	90%
-1	10%	14%	77%
-0.5	23%	—	77%
+0.5	48%	—	52%
+1	48%	22%	30%
+1.5	70%	—	30%
+2	70%	16%	14%
+2.5	86%	—	14%

Clean Sheet

Atalanta BC keeps clean sheet

16% ✓

Udinese Calcio keeps clean sheet

31% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.