Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Manchester City FC vs Arsenal FC, Premier League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2024-25
Sun 22 Sep 2024 · 15:30 UTC Etihad Stadium 52,846 HT 45' · FT 45'
Erling Haaland 9' 1–0
1–1 22' Riccardo Calafiori
1–2 45+1' Gabriel Magalhaes
John Stones 90+8' 2–2

Overview

Match Preview

Manchester City FC vs Arsenal FC — Premier League at Etihad Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Michael Oliver
  • Assistant 1 Stuart Burt
  • Assistant 2 Dan Cook
17 games this season 🟨 3.5/game ⚽ 12.8 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Sep Arsenal FC H 2–2 D
18 Sep FC Internazionale Milano H 0–0 D
14 Sep Brentford FC H 2–1 W
31 Aug West Ham United FC A 3–1 W
24 Aug Ipswich Town FC H 4–1 W
18 Aug Chelsea FC A 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Sep Manchester City FC A 2–2 D
19 Sep Atalanta BC A 0–0 D
15 Sep Tottenham Hotspur FC A 1–0 W
31 Aug Brighton & Hove Albion FC H 1–1 D
24 Aug Aston Villa FC A 2–0 W
17 Aug Wolverhampton Wanderers FC H 2–0 W

Season Stats

Manchester City FC Arsenal FC
#1 Position #2
15 Points 12
5 Played 5
5 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 4 / 0 / 1
13 Scored 8
5 Conceded 4
+8 GD +4
3.00 PPG 2.40
100% Win % 80%

Key Stats

44% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
40% Clean Sheets
Manchester City FC this season
60% Clean Sheets
Arsenal FC this season

Manchester City FC are 1st (15 pts). Arsenal FC are 2nd (12 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Manchester City FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
3/1
31-45
1/1
46-60
4/1
61-75
–/–
76+
4/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Arsenal FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/–
31-45
–/2
46-60
4/1
61-75
–/–
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Manchester City FC
Erling Haaland 5 G
Rayan Cherki 3 G 2 A
Antoine Semenyo 2 G 3 A
Josko Gvardiol 1 G 2 A
Marc Guehi 1 G 1 A
Arsenal FC
Bukayo Saka 3 G
Martin Odegaard 2 G
Kai Havertz 2 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.6 Manchester City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.11 Arsenal FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Manchester City FC47% Draw27% Arsenal FC26%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 2.71
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 50%
50%
± 3.5 29%
71%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

Manchester City FC or Draw
74%
Draw or Arsenal FC
53%
Manchester City FC or Arsenal FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Manchester City FC34% Draw46% Arsenal FC20%
Actual: Arsenal FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.7%
1 – 0
9.8%
2 – 1
9.1%
0 – 0
8.6%
2 – 0
8.4%
0 – 1
6.4%
1 – 2
6.3%
2 – 2
Actual
3 – 1
4.9%
3 – 0
4.4%
0 – 2
4%
3 – 2
2.8%

Asian Handicap — Manchester City FC

Handicap Manchester City FC covers Push Arsenal FC covers
-2.5 11% — 89%
-2 11% 15% 75%
-1.5 25% — 75%
-1 25% 22% 53%
-0.5 47% — 53%
+0.5 75% — 25%
+1 75% 15% 10%
+1.5 90% — 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Manchester City FC keeps clean sheet
34% ✓
Arsenal FC keeps clean sheet
21% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.