Thursday , 2 July 2026

America FC vs Sao Paulo FC, Serie A 2023 REGULAR SEASON

Sun 27 Aug 2023 · 19:00 UTC Independencia HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

America FC vs Sao Paulo FCSerie A at Independencia.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Aug Sao Paulo FC H 2–1 W
19 Aug Fluminense FC A 1–3 L
13 Aug Goiás EC H 0–1 L
06 Aug EC Bahia A 1–3 L
30 Jul SE Palmeiras H 1–4 L
22 Jul CR Flamengo A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Aug America FC A 1–2 L
19 Aug Botafogo FR H 0–0 D
13 Aug CR Flamengo A 1–1 D
06 Aug CA Mineiro H 0–2 L
30 Jul EC Bahia H 0–0 D
22 Jul Cuiaba EC A 1–2 L

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)
56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
28% Clean Sheets
Sao Paulo FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Sao Paulo FC
0-15
3/
16-30
2/3
31-45
1/2
46-60
/3
61-75
2/2
76+
4/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Sao Paulo FC
Luciano 6 G 1 A
Jonathan Calleri 6 G 1 A
Ferreira 4 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to Independencia that hosts another battle between America FC and Sao Paulo FC.
  • 5' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 10' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 15' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering America FC that had 161 games and scored 174 goals.
  • 19' The referee calls foul for Leandro Martinez. He receives a Yellow card.
  • 24' Joao Moreira has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 18 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 29' It looks surprising America FC does not make any changes. Juan Santos has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 33' The referee shows America FC player a Yellow card on 33.
  • 36' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Matheus Belem.
  • 41' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 46' The whistle greets Juan Santos as he departs to be replaced by Lucas Moura.
  • 51' America FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 51.
  • 56' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Rodriguinho suffering a number of foals already.
  • 61' Gonzalo Mastriani puts America FC on the lead.
  • 64' Another change for Sao Paulo FC made on 64 minute. Luan leaves to be changed by Jonathan Calleri.
  • 65' The whistle greets Rodriguinho as he departs to be replaced by Breno.
  • 66' America FC player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
  • 71' The whistle greets Felipe Azevedo as he departs to be replaced by Rodrigo Varanda.
  • 73' It’s gonna be a Red card for Gonzalo Mastriani.
  • 75' Robert Arboleda was booked on 75.
  • 76' Eder Ferreira has so much to prove this time. He replaces Marlon on 76 minute.
  • 79' A meaty challenge results in booking for Iago Maidana on 79.
  • 80' The referee calls foul for Juninho. He receives a Yellow card.
  • 81' GOAL! Alexandre Pato scores on 81.
  • 86' It’s high time Vágner Mancini made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 90' Rodrigo Varanda puts America FC on the lead.
  • Another three points for America FC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.29 America FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.24 Sao Paulo FC xG
I would bet for: America FC or Sao Paulo FC 72%

Match Result

✓ Correct
America FC40% Draw28% Sao Paulo FC32%
Actual: America FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 2.53
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 72%
28%
± 2.5 46%
54%
± 3.5 25%
75%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

America FC or Draw
68%
Draw or Sao Paulo FC
60%
America FC or Sao Paulo FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
America FC26% Draw49% Sao Paulo FC25%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.7%
0 – 0
10%
1 – 0
9.2%
0 – 1
8.8%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
7.6%
2 – 0
6.4%
0 – 2
6%
2 – 2
5%
3 – 1
3.4%
1 – 3
3.2%
3 – 0
2.7%

Asian Handicap — America FC

Handicap America FC covers Push Sao Paulo FC covers
-2.5 6% 94%
-2 6% 11% 83%
-1.5 17% 83%
-1 17% 20% 64%
-0.5 36% 64%
+0.5 66% 34%
+1 66% 19% 15%
+1.5 85% 15%
+2 85% 10% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

America FC keeps clean sheet
30%
Sao Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
28%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.