Thursday , 2 July 2026

America FC vs EC Bahia, Serie A 2023 REGULAR SEASON

3 2
Full Time
Sun 3 Dec 2023 · 21:30 UTC Independencia HT 45' · FT 45'
Marlon 51' Y
Jori 76' Y

Overview

Match Preview

America FC vs EC BahiaSerie A at Independencia.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Dec EC Bahia H 3–2 W
30 Nov SE Palmeiras A 0–4 L
26 Nov CR Flamengo H 0–3 L
12 Nov CR Vasco da Gama A 1–2 L
08 Nov Coritiba FBC H 0–3 L
04 Nov CA Mineiro H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Dec America FC A 2–3 L
29 Nov Sao Paulo FC H 0–1 L
25 Nov SC Corinthians Paulista A 5–1 W
12 Nov CA Paranaense H 1–1 D
09 Nov Cuiaba EC H 0–3 L
04 Nov Grêmio FBPA A 0–1 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
35% Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

EC Bahia
0-15
1/
16-30
1/3
31-45
1/3
46-60
1/
61-75
3/2
76+
5/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

EC Bahia
Luciano Juba 7 G 1 A
Everaldo 4 G
Willian Jose 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to Independencia that hosts another battle between America FC and EC Bahia.
  • 5' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Matheus Henrique suffering a number of foals already.
  • 10' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering America FC that had 161 games and scored 174 goals.
  • 15' America FC is showing some good football. However, America FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 20' EC Bahia seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 25' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 26' What a strike from Everaldo! The score is 0-1.
  • 29' What a strike from Ricardo Silva Potiguar! The score is 1-1.
  • 34' Supporters expect more eagerness from Everaldo, as he is very good at scoring at Independencia with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 37' Another change for America FC made on 37 minute. Ricardo Silva Potiguar leaves to be changed by Eder Ferreira.
  • 38' GOAL! Renato Marques scores on 38. Assisted by Lucas Kal
  • 43' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 46' The whistle greets Vitor Hugo as he departs to be replaced by Ademir Santos.
  • 47' What a strike from Renato Marques! The score is 3-1.
  • 51' A meaty challenge results in booking for Marlon on 51.
  • 56' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 57' Goal! Ademir Santos scores his 34 goal in 161 matches.
  • 62' It’s a booking for America FC player. Matheus Henrique gets a Red card.
  • 67' David Duarte has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 2 goals this season.
  • 72' It’s high time Fabian Bustos made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 74' The supporters are chanting for Adyson. He replaces Everaldo on 74 minute.
  • 76' A meaty challenge results in booking for Jori on 76.
  • 79' The America FC manager makes a substitution. Renato Marques departs to be replaced by Ighor Gabryel.
  • 84' It looks surprising EC Bahia does not make any changes. Vitor Hugo has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 86' Another substitution for EC Bahia to replace Gabriel Teixeira by Vitor Jacare on 86 minute.
  • Full Time. America FC beats EC Bahia

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.51 America FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.63 EC Bahia xG
I would bet for: America FC or EC Bahia 75% + Both teams to score 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct
America FC41% Draw25% EC Bahia34%
Actual: America FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes63% 0% No37%
Avg goals/match: 3.14
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 82%
18%
± 2.5 60%
40%
± 3.5 38%
62%
± 4.5 21%
79%

Double Chance

America FC or Draw
66%
Draw or EC Bahia
59%
America FC or EC Bahia
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
America FC27% Draw43% EC Bahia30%
Actual: America FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–2 not predicted
3 – 2
Actual
1 – 1
11.6%
1 – 2
8.3%
2 – 1
7.8%
2 – 2
6.3%
0 – 1
6.3%
0 – 0
6%
1 – 0
5.8%
0 – 2
5.7%
2 – 0
4.9%
1 – 3
4.5%
3 – 1
3.9%
2 – 3
3.5%

Asian Handicap — America FC

Handicap America FC covers Push EC Bahia covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 10% 83%
-1.5 17% 83%
-1 17% 18% 65%
-0.5 35% 65%
+0.5 61% 39%
+1 61% 19% 20%
+1.5 80% 20%
+2 80% 12% 8%
+2.5 92% 8%

Clean Sheet

America FC keeps clean sheet
20%
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
23%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.