Wednesday , 30 September 2026

America FC vs EC Bahia, Serie A 2023 REGULAR SEASON

3 – 2
Full Time
Sun 3 Dec 2023 · 21:30 UTC Independencia HT 45' · FT 45'
Marlon 51' Y
Jori 76' Y

Overview

Match Preview

America FC vs EC Bahia — Serie A at Independencia.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Dec EC Bahia H 3–2 W
30 Nov SE Palmeiras A 0–4 L
26 Nov CR Flamengo H 0–3 L
12 Nov CR Vasco da Gama A 1–2 L
08 Nov Coritiba FBC H 0–3 L
04 Nov CA Mineiro H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Dec America FC A 2–3 L
29 Nov Sao Paulo FC H 0–1 L
25 Nov SC Corinthians Paulista A 5–1 W
12 Nov CA Paranaense H 1–1 D
09 Nov Cuiaba EC H 0–3 L
04 Nov Gremio FBPA A 0–1 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
36% Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

EC Bahia
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/6
31-45
7/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
5/4
76+
7/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

EC Bahia
Luciano Juba 9 G 1 A
Jean Lucas 4 G 3 A
Erick 4 G
Everaldo 4 G
Willian Jose 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' It’s Showtime! The match between America FC and EC Bahia is underway.
  • 5' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 10' Thaciano has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 28 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
  • 15' America FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 20' Both keepers have barely been tested. America FC and EC Bahia are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 25' EC Bahia fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 26' Everaldo adds to his 2 season tally! EC Bahia lead 0-1 — and this changes everything.
  • 29' The deadlock is broken! Ricardo Silva Potiguar gets on the scoresheet on 29 minutes.
  • 34' It looks surprising EC Bahia does not make any changes. David Duarte has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 37' Eder Ferreira gets the nod from America FC. He replaces Ricardo Silva Potiguar and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 38' GOAL! Renato Marques fires home to make it 2-1!
  • 43' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Rogério Ceni will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 46' EC Bahia make a change. Vitor Hugo trudges off to be replaced by Ademir Santos on 46 minutes.
  • 47' A goal from the Brazil international Renato Marques! He fires home on 47 to make it 3-1!
  • 51' Marlon catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 51.
  • 56' EC Bahia started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 56.
  • 57' What composure from Ademir Santos! The Brazil international strokes it home. 3-2.
  • 62' The referee does not hesitate — a Red card for Matheus Henrique on 62 minutes.
  • 67' Lucas Kal is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for America FC tonight.
  • 72' Brazil international Vinicius Mingotti has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 74' The America FC manager makes a substitution. Everaldo departs to be replaced by Adyson.
  • 76' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Jori.
  • 79' Another substitution for America FC to replace Renato Marques by Ighor Gabryel on 79 minute.
  • 84' EC Bahia come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 86' The EC Bahia manager makes a substitution. Gabriel Teixeira departs to be replaced by Vitor Jacare.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. America FC take all three points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.51 America FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.63 EC Bahia xG
I would bet for: America FC or EC Bahia 75% + Both teams to score 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct
America FC41% Draw25% EC Bahia34%
Actual: America FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes63% 0% No37%
Avg goals/match: 3.14
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 82%
18%
± 2.5 60%
40%
± 3.5 38%
62%
± 4.5 21%
79%

Double Chance

America FC or Draw
66%
Draw or EC Bahia
59%
America FC or EC Bahia
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
America FC27% Draw43% EC Bahia30%
Actual: America FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–2 not predicted
3 – 2
Actual
1 – 1
11.6%
1 – 2
8.3%
2 – 1
7.8%
2 – 2
6.3%
0 – 1
6.3%
0 – 0
6%
1 – 0
5.8%
0 – 2
5.7%
2 – 0
4.9%
1 – 3
4.5%
3 – 1
3.9%
2 – 3
3.5%

Asian Handicap — America FC

Handicap America FC covers Push EC Bahia covers
-2.5 7% — 93%
-2 7% 10% 83%
-1.5 17% — 83%
-1 17% 18% 65%
-0.5 35% — 65%
+0.5 61% — 39%
+1 61% 19% 20%
+1.5 80% — 20%
+2 80% 12% 8%
+2.5 92% — 8%

Clean Sheet

America FC keeps clean sheet
20% ✓
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
23% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.