AFC Wimbledon vs Luton Town FC, League One 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
AFC Wimbledon vs Luton Town FC — League One at New Plough Lane.
- AFC Wimbledon 46 games · 53 pts (2026/27)
- Luton Town FC 46 games · 74 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Carl Brook
- Assistant 1
- Assistant 2 Rob Smith
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lincoln City FC | 46 | 103 |
| 2 | Cardiff City FC | 46 | 91 |
| 3 | Stockport County FC | 46 | 77 |
| 4 | Bradford City AFC | 46 | 77 |
| 5 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 46 | 75 |
| 6 | Stevenage FC | 46 | 75 |
| 7 | Luton Town FC | 46 | 74 |
| 8 | Plymouth Argyle FC | 46 | 73 |
| 9 | Huddersfield Town AFC | 46 | 67 |
| 10 | Mansfield Town FC | 46 | 65 |
| 11 | Wycombe Wanderers FC | 46 | 63 |
| 12 | Reading FC | 46 | 63 |
| 13 | Blackpool FC | 46 | 60 |
| 14 | Doncaster Rovers FC | 46 | 60 |
| 15 | Barnsley FC | 46 | 59 |
| 16 | Wigan Athletic FC | 46 | 56 |
| 17 | Burton Albion FC | 46 | 54 |
| 18 | Peterborough United FC | 46 | 53 |
| 19 | AFC Wimbledon | 46 | 53 |
| 20 | Leyton Orient FC | 46 | 52 |
| 21 | Exeter City FC | 46 | 49 |
| 22 | Port Vale FC | 46 | 42 |
| 23 | Rotherham United FC | 46 | 41 |
| 24 | Northampton Town FC | 46 | 35 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr | Luton Town FC | H | 0–3 | L |
| 03 Apr | Lincoln City FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 28 Mar | Stockport County FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 21 Mar | Peterborough United FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 17 Mar | Leyton Orient FC | H | 2–4 | L |
| 14 Mar | Stevenage FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr | AFC Wimbledon | A | 3–0 | W |
| 03 Apr | Peterborough United FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 21 Mar | Stockport County FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 17 Mar | Exeter City FC | H | 3–2 | W |
| 14 Mar | Wycombe Wanderers FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 10 Mar | Doncaster Rovers FC | A | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| AFC Wimbledon | Luton Town FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #19 | Position | #7 |
| 53 | Points | 74 |
| 46 | Played | 46 |
| 15 / 8 / 23 | W / D / L | 21 / 11 / 14 |
| 51 | Scored | 68 |
| 72 | Conceded | 56 |
| -21 | GD | +12 |
| 1.15 | PPG | 1.61 |
| 33% | Win % | 46% |
Key Stats
25%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
AFC Wimbledon are 19th (53 pts). Luton Town FC are 7th (74 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. AFC Wimbledon kicks off things out of here…
- 5' Luton Town FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 10' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Alistair Smith suffering a number of foals already.
- 12' Luton Town FC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Kasey Palmer on 12.
- 17' The supporters are chanting for Ali Al-Hamadi. He replaces Nahki Wells on 17 minute.
- 22' Luton Town FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 23' The whistle greets Patrick Bauer as he departs to be replaced by Nathan Asiimwe.
- 28' The referee calls foul for Joe Lewis. He receives a card.
- 30' Sam Hutchinson is replacing Joe Lewis for the AFC Wimbledon side.
- 35' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Luton Town FC that had 382 games and scored 465 goals.
- 40' Cohen Bramall needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 45' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 50' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 50 minutes.
- 55' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Nahki Wells made 378 appearances and scored 73 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 59' GOAL! Ali Al-Hamadi scores on 59. Assisted by Jake Richards
- 63' That looks like a foul for a card for Jake Richards.
- 67' Aron Sasu is replacing Antwoine Hackford for the AFC Wimbledon side.
- 72' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 77' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 79' GOAL! Jake Richards scores on 79. Assisted by Ali Al-Hamadi
- 81' Another substitution for Luton Town FC to replace Kasey Palmer by George Saville on 81 minute.
- 86' It’s high time Johnnie Jackson made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 87' Luton Town FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Davy van den Berg is hanging Jordan Clark on the field on 87 minute.
- The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for AFC Wimbledon.
Lineups
AFC Wimbledon Lineups
5-3-2Starting XI
- 9
-
4
Jake Reeves ↓ Kai Jennings 67'
-
15
Patrick Bauer ↓ Nathan Asiimwe 23'
- 1
- 3
- 8
-
31
Joe Lewis ↓ Sam Hutchinson 30'
-
16
Antwoine Hackford ↓ Aron Sasu 67'
- 33
- 12
- 30
Bench
- 20
-
5
Sam Hutchinson ↑ 30'
- 36
-
2
Nathan Asiimwe ↑ 23'
-
29
Aron Sasu ↑ 67'
-
32
Kai Jennings ↑ 67'
- 19
Coach
Johnnie Jackson
Luton Town FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 8
-
21
Nahki Wells ↓ Ali Al-Hamadi 17'
-
54
Kasey Palmer ↓ George Saville 81'
- 3
- 16
- 18
- 5
- 25
- 24
-
27
Jake Richards ↓ Shayden Morris 87'
-
32
Emilio Lawrence ↓ Cohen Bramall 81'
Bench
-
23
George Saville ↑ 81'
- 1
-
33
Cohen Bramall ↑ 81'
-
14
Shayden Morris ↑ 87'
- 17
-
6
Davy van den Berg ↑ 87'
-
12
Ali Al-Hamadi ↑ 17'
Coach
Jack Wilshere
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Elliot Lee | 2 |
| James Collins | 1 |
| Joe Pigott | 1 |
| Steve Seddon | 1 |
| Kasey Palmer | 1 |
| Ali Al-Hamadi | 1 |
| Jake Richards | 1 |
| Pelly Ruddock | 1 |
Head to Head
AFC Wimbledon Form
Luton Town FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.9
AFC Wimbledon xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.03
Luton Town FC xG
I would bet for:
Luton Town FC to win 58% + Over 2.5 goals 55%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Luton Town FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.93
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 79% |
|
21% |
| ± 2.5 | 55% |
|
45% |
| ± 3.5 | 34% |
|
66% |
| ± 4.5 | 18% |
|
82% |
Double Chance
AFC Wimbledon or Draw
42%
Draw or Luton Town FC
82%
AFC Wimbledon or Luton Town FC
77%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Luton Town FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 2
10.9%
1 – 1
10.5%
0 – 1
10.2%
1 – 2
9.5%
0 – 3
Actual
0 – 0
7%
1 – 3
6.5%
2 – 2
4.3%
2 – 1
4.2%
1 – 0
4%
0 – 4
3.7%
1 – 4
3.4%
Asian Handicap — AFC Wimbledon
| Handicap | AFC Wimbledon covers | Push | Luton Town FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 1% | — | 99% |
| -2 | 1% | 4% | 95% |
| -1.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -1 | 5% | 10% | 85% |
| -0.5 | 15% | — | 85% |
| +0.5 | 38% | — | 62% |
| +1 | 38% | 23% | 39% |
| +1.5 | 61% | — | 39% |
| +2 | 61% | 19% | 20% |
| +2.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
Clean Sheet
AFC Wimbledon keeps clean sheet
14%
✓
Luton Town FC keeps clean sheet
41%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.