AFC Wimbledon vs Luton Town FC, League One 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
AFC Wimbledon vs Luton Town FC — League One at New Plough Lane.
- AFC Wimbledon 8 games · 12 pts (2026/27)
- Luton Town FC 7 games · 8 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Carl Brook
- Assistant 1
- Assistant 2 Rob Smith
5 games this season
🟨 2.2/game
⚽ 6.6 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bradford City AFC | 7 | 15 |
| 2 | Sheffield Wednesday FC | 7 | 14 |
| 3 | Stockport County FC | 8 | 13 |
| 4 | Plymouth Argyle FC | 8 | 13 |
| 5 | Cambridge United FC | 8 | 13 |
| 6 | Huddersfield Town AFC | 7 | 12 |
| 7 | Burton Albion FC | 8 | 12 |
| 8 | AFC Wimbledon | 8 | 12 |
| 9 | Reading FC | 7 | 11 |
| 10 | Oxford United FC | 6 | 11 |
| 11 | Leyton Orient FC | 7 | 10 |
| 12 | Wycombe Wanderers FC | 8 | 10 |
| 13 | Stevenage FC | 7 | 9 |
| 14 | Leicester City FC | 7 | 9 |
| 15 | Blackpool FC | 7 | 8 |
| 16 | Luton Town FC | 7 | 8 |
| 17 | Mansfield Town FC | 7 | 8 |
| 18 | Barnsley FC | 7 | 8 |
| 19 | Bromley FC | 7 | 8 |
| 20 | Notts County FC | 7 | 7 |
| 21 | Doncaster Rovers FC | 7 | 6 |
| 22 | Milton Keynes Dons FC | 7 | 6 |
| 23 | Peterborough United FC | 8 | 5 |
| 24 | Wigan Athletic FC | 7 | 4 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr | Luton Town FC | H | 0–3 | L |
| 03 Apr | Lincoln City FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 28 Mar | Stockport County FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 21 Mar | Peterborough United FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 17 Mar | Leyton Orient FC | H | 2–4 | L |
| 14 Mar | Stevenage FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr | AFC Wimbledon | A | 3–0 | W |
| 03 Apr | Peterborough United FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 21 Mar | Stockport County FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 17 Mar | Exeter City FC | H | 3–2 | W |
| 14 Mar | Wycombe Wanderers FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 10 Mar | Doncaster Rovers FC | A | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| AFC Wimbledon | Luton Town FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #8 | Position | #16 |
| 12 | Points | 8 |
| 8 | Played | 7 |
| 3 / 3 / 2 | W / D / L | 2 / 2 / 3 |
| 6 | Scored | 12 |
| 8 | Conceded | 14 |
| -2 | GD | -2 |
| 1.50 | PPG | 1.14 |
| 38% | Win % | 29% |
Key Stats
25%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
63%
Clean Sheets
AFC Wimbledon this season
AFC Wimbledon this season
14%
Clean Sheets
Luton Town FC this season
Luton Town FC this season
AFC Wimbledon are 8th (12 pts). Luton Town FC are 16th (8 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
AFC Wimbledon
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/2
31-45
1/–
46-60
–/1
61-75
1/–
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Luton Town FC
0-15
1/2
16-30
1/3
31-45
1/5
46-60
3/2
61-75
2/2
76+
4/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
AFC Wimbledon
| Myles Hippolyte | 3 G |
| Jayden Stockley | 2 G |
Luton Town FC
| Nahki Wells | 4 G | 1 A |
| Kasey Palmer | 2 G | 2 A |
| Callum Marshall | 2 G | |
| Jake Richards | 1 G | 1 A |
| Gideon Kodua | 1 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' That's the starting whistle at New Plough Lane. Ninety minutes of football awaits between AFC Wimbledon and Luton Town FC.
- 5' Shayden Morris, a England , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 10' named a 5-3-2 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 12' What a strike from Kasey Palmer! The score is 0-1.
- 17' The crowd applauds Nahki Wells as he leaves the pitch. Ali Al-Hamadi steps in for Luton Town FC.
- 22' It looks surprising AFC Wimbledon does not make any changes. Isaiah Jones has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 23' Time for substitution for AFC Wimbledon. Patrick Bauer is replaced by Nathan Asiimwe.
- 28' Joe Lewis picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 30' Sam Hutchinson gets the nod from AFC Wimbledon. He replaces Joe Lewis and will look to change the dynamic.
- 35' It’s high time Johnnie Jackson made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 40' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both AFC Wimbledon and Luton Town FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 45' AFC Wimbledon started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 45.
- 50' The energy levels are beginning to show. Jack Wilshere might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 55' Luton Town FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 59' Ali Al-Hamadi does the damage! The net is bulging and Luton Town FC surge ahead!
- 63' The referee shows Luton Town FC player a card on 63.
- 67' AFC Wimbledon ring the changes. Antwoine Hackford has done his job and it is now time for Aron Sasu to step up.
- 72' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 77' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 79' Goal! Jake Richards scores his 3 goal in 198 matches.
- 81' Kasey Palmer makes way for George Saville at the 81 minute mark. A tactical switch from Luton Town FC.
- 86' Jordan Clark has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 2 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 87' Luton Town FC make a change. Jordan Clark trudges off to be replaced by Davy van den Berg on 87 minutes.
- The final score is 0-3.
Lineups
AFC Wimbledon Lineups
5-3-2Starting XI
- 9
-
4
Jake Reeves ↓ Kai Jennings 67'
-
15
Patrick Bauer ↓ Nathan Asiimwe 23'
- 1
- 3
- 8
-
31
Joe Lewis ↓ Sam Hutchinson 30'
-
16
Antwoine Hackford ↓ Aron Sasu 67'
- 33
- 12
- 30
Bench
- 20
-
5
Sam Hutchinson ↑ 30'
- 36
-
2
Nathan Asiimwe ↑ 23'
-
29
Aron Sasu ↑ 67'
-
32
Kai Jennings ↑ 67'
- 19
Coach
Johnnie Jackson
Luton Town FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 8
-
21
Nahki Wells ↓ Ali Al-Hamadi 17'
-
54
Kasey Palmer ↓ George Saville 81'
- 3
- 16
- 18
- 5
- 25
- 24
-
27
Jake Richards ↓ Shayden Morris 87'
-
32
Emilio Lawrence ↓ Cohen Bramall 81'
Bench
-
23
George Saville ↑ 81'
- 1
-
33
Cohen Bramall ↑ 81'
-
14
Shayden Morris ↑ 87'
- 17
-
6
Davy van den Berg ↑ 87'
-
12
Ali Al-Hamadi ↑ 17'
Coach
Jack Wilshere
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Elliot Lee | 2 |
| Kasey Palmer | 1 |
| Ali Al-Hamadi | 1 |
| Jake Richards | 1 |
| Pelly Ruddock | 1 |
| James Collins | 1 |
| Joe Pigott | 1 |
| Steve Seddon | 1 |
Head to Head
AFC Wimbledon Form
Luton Town FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.91
AFC Wimbledon xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.76
Luton Town FC xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Luton Town FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.67
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 74% |
|
26% |
| ± 2.5 | 49% |
|
51% |
| ± 3.5 | 28% |
|
72% |
| ± 4.5 | 14% |
|
86% |
Double Chance
AFC Wimbledon or Draw
46%
Draw or Luton Town FC
80%
AFC Wimbledon or Luton Town FC
74%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Luton Town FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.9%
0 – 1
11.4%
0 – 2
10.5%
1 – 2
9.4%
0 – 0
8.9%
0 – 3
Actual
1 – 3
5.6%
1 – 0
5.4%
2 – 1
4.8%
2 – 2
4.3%
2 – 0
2.8%
0 – 4
2.7%
Asian Handicap — AFC Wimbledon
| Handicap | AFC Wimbledon covers | Push | Luton Town FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 5% | 94% |
| -1.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -1 | 6% | 12% | 82% |
| -0.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| +0.5 | 44% | — | 56% |
| +1 | 44% | 24% | 32% |
| +1.5 | 68% | — | 32% |
| +2 | 68% | 17% | 15% |
| +2.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
Clean Sheet
AFC Wimbledon keeps clean sheet
18%
✓
Luton Town FC keeps clean sheet
41%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.