Thursday , 2 July 2026

Stevenage FC vs AFC Wimbledon, League One 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2025-26
Sat 14 Mar 2026 · 15:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Stevenage FC vs AFC WimbledonLeague One .

Match Details

  • Referee Declan Bourne

Head-to-Head

1
1
Stevenage FC 2 games · Avg 0.5 goals AFC Wimbledon

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Mar AFC Wimbledon H 1–0 W
10 Mar Leyton Orient FC H 1–2 L
07 Mar Burton Albion FC A 1–0 W
28 Feb Stockport County FC H 2–1 W
21 Feb Wycombe Wanderers FC A 1–3 L
17 Feb Port Vale FC H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Mar Stevenage FC A 0–1 L
11 Mar Blackpool FC H 4–1 W
08 Mar Northampton Town FC H 1–0 W
28 Feb Mansfield Town FC A 2–2 D
21 Feb Bradford City AFC H 3–1 W
17 Feb Cardiff City FC A 1–4 L

Season Stats

Stevenage FC AFC Wimbledon
#6 Position #19
75 Points 53
46 Played 46
21 / 12 / 13 W / D / L 15 / 8 / 23
49 Scored 51
46 Conceded 72
+3 GD -21
1.63 PPG 1.15
46% Win % 33%

Key Stats

0% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
0% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Stevenage FC are 6th (75 pts). AFC Wimbledon are 19th (53 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Stevenage FC Lineups

AFC Wimbledon Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.37 Stevenage FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.69 AFC Wimbledon xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 66% + Under — clean sheet likely 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Stevenage FC53% Draw29% AFC Wimbledon18%
Actual: Stevenage FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes38% 0% No62%
Avg goals/match: 2.06
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 85%
15%
± 1.5 61%
39%
± 2.5 34%
66%
± 3.5 16%
84%
± 4.5 6%
94%

Double Chance

Stevenage FC or Draw
81%
Draw or AFC Wimbledon
47%
Stevenage FC or AFC Wimbledon
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Stevenage FC34% Draw53% AFC Wimbledon13%
Actual: Stevenage FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
15.1%
1 – 1
12.9%
2 – 0
11.5%
2 – 1
8.1%
0 – 1
7.6%
3 – 0
5.1%
1 – 2
4%
3 – 1
3.8%
2 – 2
2.9%
0 – 2
2.8%
4 – 0
1.8%

Asian Handicap — Stevenage FC

Handicap Stevenage FC covers Push AFC Wimbledon covers
-2.5 10% 90%
-2 10% 16% 74%
-1.5 26% 74%
-1 26% 26% 49%
-0.5 51% 49%
+0.5 83% 17%
+1 83% 12% 5%
+1.5 95% 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Stevenage FC keeps clean sheet
51%
AFC Wimbledon keeps clean sheet
26%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.