Wednesday , 30 September 2026

AFC Ajax vs PAOK FC, Champions League 2019-20 3RD QUALIFYING ROUND

3 – 2
Full Time
Tue 13 Aug 2019 · 18:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45+4'

Overview

Match Preview

AFC Ajax vs PAOK FC — Champions League .

Match Details

  • Referee Andy Madley
  • Referee Ian Hussin
  • Referee Craig Pawson
  • Referee Lee Betts
5 games this season 🟨 3.0/game ⚽ 11.4 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Aug PAOK FC H 3–2 W
10 Aug FC Emmen H 5–0 W
06 Aug PAOK FC A 2–2 D
03 Aug SBV Vitesse A 2–2 D
15 May VBV De Graafschap A 4–1 W
12 May FC Utrecht H 4–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Aug AFC Ajax A 2–3 L
06 Aug AFC Ajax H 2–2 D
13 Dec FK BATE Barysau H 1–3 L
29 Nov Chelsea FC A 0–4 L
08 Nov MOL Fehervar FC A 0–1 L
25 Oct MOL Fehervar FC H 0–2 L

Key Stats

83% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Three points are at stake. AFC Ajax host PAOK FC — let the battle begin!
  • 5' Serbia international Dusan Tadic has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 1 assists in the Array this season.
  • 10' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both AFC Ajax and PAOK FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 15' Leo Matos is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for AFC Ajax tonight.
  • 20' Over 20 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 23' Diego Biseswar has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 23 minutes.
  • 26' A meaty challenge results in booking for Lisandro Martinez on 26.
  • 30' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Dimitris Pelkas.
  • 35' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 40' Dimitris Limnios has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 43' Magnificent from Dusan Tadic! That is 110 goals in 487 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 46' Razvan Marin makes way for Sergino Dest at the 46 minute mark. A tactical switch from AFC Ajax.
  • 50' The referee shows PAOK FC player a Yellow card on 50.
  • 55' Alexandros Paschalakis is having his name booked by the referee on 55.
  • 60' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. PAOK FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 61' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Sergino Dest on 61 minutes.
  • 63' PAOK FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Karol Swiderski is hanging Dimitris Pelkas on the field on 63 minute.
  • 65' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Dimitris Giannoulis.
  • 70' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 71' PAOK FC make a change. Leo Jaba trudges off to be replaced by Dimitris Limnios on 71 minutes.
  • 76' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 78' Another substitution for AFC Ajax to replace David Neres by Klaas-Jan Huntelaar on 78 minute.
  • 79' Controversy at the stadium! Diego Biseswar argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
  • 79' What a strike from Nicolas Tagliafico! The score is 2-1.
  • 82' PAOK FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Josip Misic is hanging Anderson Esiti on the field on 82 minute.
  • 85' A stunning finish from Dusan Tadic — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 85' Leo Matos is having his name booked by the referee on 85.
  • 89' The crowd applauds Donny van de Beek as he leaves the pitch. Dani de Wit steps in for AFC Ajax.
  • 90' A meaty challenge results in booking for Jose Crespo on 90.
  • The points are shared — AFC Ajax 3-2 PAOK FC. Honours even.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.08 AFC Ajax xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.08 PAOK FC xG
I would bet for: AFC Ajax to win 61% + Over 2.5 goals 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AFC Ajax61% Draw22% PAOK FC17%
Actual: AFC Ajax win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes58% 0% No42%
Avg goals/match: 3.16
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 82%
18%
± 2.5 60%
40%
± 3.5 39%
61%
± 4.5 22%
78%

Double Chance

AFC Ajax or Draw
83%
Draw or PAOK FC
39%
AFC Ajax or PAOK FC
78%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
AFC Ajax43% Draw41% PAOK FC16%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.3%
2 – 1
9.5%
2 – 0
9.1%
1 – 0
8.2%
3 – 1
6.6%
3 – 0
6.1%
0 – 0
5.8%
2 – 2
5.2%
1 – 2
5%
0 – 1
3.9%
3 – 2
Actual
4 – 1
3.5%

Asian Handicap — AFC Ajax

Handicap AFC Ajax covers Push PAOK FC covers
-2.5 19% — 81%
-2 19% 18% 63%
-1.5 37% — 63%
-1 37% 22% 41%
-0.5 59% — 41%
+0.5 82% — 18%
+1 82% 11% 7%
+1.5 93% — 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet
34% ✓
PAOK FC keeps clean sheet
13% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.