Sunday , 16 August 2026

AFC Ajax vs PAOK FC, Champions League 2019-20 3RD QUALIFYING ROUND

3 2
Full Time
Tue 13 Aug 2019 · 18:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45+4'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Aug PAOK FC H 3–2 W
10 Aug FC Emmen H 5–0 W
06 Aug PAOK FC A 2–2 D
03 Aug SBV Vitesse A 2–2 D
15 May VBV De Graafschap A 4–1 W
12 May FC Utrecht H 4–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Aug AFC Ajax A 2–3 L
06 Aug AFC Ajax H 2–2 D
13 Dec FK BATE Barysau H 1–3 L
29 Nov Chelsea FC A 0–4 L
08 Nov MOL Fehervar FC A 0–1 L
25 Oct MOL Fehervar FC H 0–2 L

Key Stats

83% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
AFC Ajax this season

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The wait is over. AFC Ajax get us underway at .
  • 5' It’s high time Erik ten Hag made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 10' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 15' Chuba Akpom has been relatively quiet despite scoring 58 goals in his last 167 appearances.
  • 20' Supporters expect more eagerness from Leo Jaba, as he is very good at scoring at with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 23' The deadlock is broken! Diego Biseswar gets on the scoresheet on 23 minutes.
  • 26' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Lisandro Martinez.
  • 30' The referee shows PAOK FC player a Yellow card on 30.
  • 35' It is a cagey affair so far. AFC Ajax in their trying to find a way past PAOK FC's compact .
  • 40' Joel Veltman is a natural right-back and has been asked to do a very specific job for AFC Ajax tonight.
  • 43' What a moment for Dusan Tadic! That strike on 43 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 46' Time for substitution for AFC Ajax. Razvan Marin is replaced by Sergino Dest.
  • 50' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Omar El Kaddouri.
  • 55' Alexandros Paschalakis catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 55.
  • 60' Dimitris Limnios, a Greece midfielder, has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 61' That is a Yellow card for AFC Ajax. Sergino Dest will be fuming at that decision.
  • 63' PAOK FC make a change. Dimitris Pelkas trudges off to be replaced by Karol Swiderski on 63 minutes.
  • 65' PAOK FC player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
  • 70' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 71' Leo Jaba makes way for Dimitris Limnios at the 71 minute mark. A tactical switch from PAOK FC.
  • 76' PAOK FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 78' The supporters are chanting for Klaas-Jan Huntelaar. He replaces David Neres on 78 minute.
  • 79' The referee has no hesitation. Diego Biseswar is booked for PAOK FC — Yellow card on 79.
  • 79' What composure from Nicolas Tagliafico! The Argentina international strokes it home. 2-1.
  • 82' Another change for PAOK FC made on 82 minute. Anderson Esiti leaves to be changed by Josip Misic.
  • 85' A goal from the Serbia international Dusan Tadic! He fires home on 85 to make it 3-1!
  • 85' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Leo Matos on 85 minutes.
  • 89' Fresh legs for AFC Ajax! Dani de Wit comes on to replace Donny van de Beek.
  • 90' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Jose Crespo on 90 minutes.
  • Full Time. AFC Ajax beats PAOK FC

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.08 AFC Ajax xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.08 PAOK FC xG
I would bet for: AFC Ajax to win 61% + Over 2.5 goals 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AFC Ajax61% Draw22% PAOK FC17%
Actual: AFC Ajax win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes58% 0% No42%
Avg goals/match: 3.16
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 82%
18%
± 2.5 60%
40%
± 3.5 39%
61%
± 4.5 22%
78%

Double Chance

AFC Ajax or Draw
83%
Draw or PAOK FC
39%
AFC Ajax or PAOK FC
78%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
AFC Ajax43% Draw41% PAOK FC16%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.3%
2 – 1
9.5%
2 – 0
9.1%
1 – 0
8.2%
3 – 1
6.6%
3 – 0
6.1%
0 – 0
5.8%
2 – 2
5.2%
1 – 2
5%
0 – 1
3.9%
3 – 2
Actual
4 – 1
3.5%

Asian Handicap — AFC Ajax

Handicap AFC Ajax covers Push PAOK FC covers
-2.5 19% 81%
-2 19% 18% 63%
-1.5 37% 63%
-1 37% 22% 41%
-0.5 59% 41%
+0.5 82% 18%
+1 82% 11% 7%
+1.5 93% 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet
34%
PAOK FC keeps clean sheet
13%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.