Thursday , 2 July 2026

AFC Ajax vs PAOK FC, Champions League 2019-20 3RD QUALIFYING ROUND

3 2
Full Time
Tue 13 Aug 2019 · 18:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45+4'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Aug PAOK FC H 3–2 W
10 Aug FC Emmen H 5–0 W
06 Aug PAOK FC A 2–2 D
03 Aug SBV Vitesse A 2–2 D
15 May VBV De Graafschap A 4–1 W
12 May FC Utrecht H 4–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Aug AFC Ajax A 2–3 L
06 Aug AFC Ajax H 2–2 D
13 Dec FK BATE Barysau H 1–3 L
29 Nov Chelsea FC A 0–4 L
08 Nov MOL Fehervar FC A 0–1 L
25 Oct MOL Fehervar FC H 0–2 L

Key Stats

83% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
AFC Ajax this season

Events

Match Events

  • 0' It’s Showtime! The match between AFC Ajax and PAOK FC is underway.
  • 5' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 5 minutes.
  • 10' AFC Ajax seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 15' The travelling PAOK FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 20' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 23' What a strike from Diego Biseswar! The score is 0-1.
  • 26' Lisandro Martinez is having his name booked by the referee on 26.
  • 30' A meaty challenge results in booking for Dimitris Pelkas on 30.
  • 35' Jose Crespo has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 40' Dimitris Limnios needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 43' What an equalizer from Dusan Tadic!
  • 46' The whistle greets Razvan Marin as he departs to be replaced by Sergino Dest.
  • 50' Omar El Kaddouri is having his name booked by the referee on 50.
  • 55' PAOK FC player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
  • 60' PAOK FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 60.
  • 61' Sergino Dest is having his name booked by the referee on 61.
  • 63' Karol Swiderski has so much to prove this time. He replaces Dimitris Pelkas on 63 minute.
  • 65' It’s a booking for PAOK FC player. Dimitris Giannoulis gets a Yellow card.
  • 70' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 71' The supporters are chanting for Dimitris Limnios. He replaces Leo Jaba on 71 minute.
  • 76' It’s high time Abel Ferreira made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 78' The AFC Ajax manager makes a substitution. David Neres departs to be replaced by Klaas-Jan Huntelaar.
  • 79' Diego Biseswar was booked on 79.
  • 79' GOAL! Nicolas Tagliafico scores on 79. Assisted by Hakim Ziyech
  • 82' Josip Misic has so much to prove this time. He replaces Anderson Esiti on 82 minute.
  • 85' Goal! Dusan Tadic scores his 110 goal in 480 matches.
  • 85' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Leo Matos.
  • 89' Another substitution for AFC Ajax to replace Donny van de Beek by Dani de Wit on 89 minute.
  • 90' Jose Crespo was booked on 90.
  • The final score is 3-2.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.08 AFC Ajax xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.08 PAOK FC xG
I would bet for: AFC Ajax to win 61% + Over 2.5 goals 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AFC Ajax61% Draw22% PAOK FC17%
Actual: AFC Ajax win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes58% 0% No42%
Avg goals/match: 3.16
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 82%
18%
± 2.5 60%
40%
± 3.5 39%
61%
± 4.5 22%
78%

Double Chance

AFC Ajax or Draw
83%
Draw or PAOK FC
39%
AFC Ajax or PAOK FC
78%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
AFC Ajax43% Draw41% PAOK FC16%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.3%
2 – 1
9.5%
2 – 0
9.1%
1 – 0
8.2%
3 – 1
6.6%
3 – 0
6.1%
0 – 0
5.8%
2 – 2
5.2%
1 – 2
5%
0 – 1
3.9%
3 – 2
Actual
4 – 1
3.5%

Asian Handicap — AFC Ajax

Handicap AFC Ajax covers Push PAOK FC covers
-2.5 19% 81%
-2 19% 18% 63%
-1.5 37% 63%
-1 37% 22% 41%
-0.5 59% 41%
+0.5 82% 18%
+1 82% 11% 7%
+1.5 93% 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet
34%
PAOK FC keeps clean sheet
13%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.