Sunday , 16 August 2026

AFC Ajax vs SK Sturm Graz, 2018-19 2ND QUALIFYING ROUND

UEFA Champions League · 2018-19
2 0
Full Time
Wed 25 Jul 2018 · 18:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

AFC Ajax vs SK Sturm Graz — Champions League .

Match Details

  • Referee Alejandro Hernandez
  • Referee Teodoro Sobrino
  • Referee Jose Naranjo
  • Referee Jose Luis Munuera

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Jul SK Sturm Graz H 2–0 W
06 May Sport Lisboa e Benfica A 1–5 L
28 Apr AS Monaco FC H 2–1 W
21 Apr FK Dynamo Kyiv A 0–0 D
14 Apr GNK Dinamo Zagreb H 0–2 L
10 Apr FC Midtjylland A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Jul AFC Ajax A 0–2 L
06 May PSV H 2–2 D
28 Apr CA Mineiro A 4–0 W
21 Apr BSC Young Boys H 0–4 L
14 Apr KF Valur A 1–2 L
10 Apr PAOK FC H 1–0 W

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
17% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
AFC Ajax this season

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Three points are at stake. AFC Ajax host SK Sturm Graz — let the battle begin!
  • 5' Carel Eiting has been relatively quiet despite scoring 11 goals in his last 480 appearances.
  • 10' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 15' Hakim Ziyech puts AFC Ajax on the lead.
  • 20' SK Sturm Graz started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 20.
  • 25' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 30' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Philipp Hosiner suffering a number of foals already.
  • 35' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 40' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Fabian Koch on 40 minutes.
  • 45' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 46' SK Sturm Graz ring the changes. Filipe Ferreira has done his job and it is now time for Sandi Lovric to step up.
  • 51' Dario Maresic has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 9 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 56' It’s high time Erik ten Hag made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 57' What a moment for Lasse Schone! That strike on 57 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 58' The crowd applauds Emeka Friday Eze as he leaves the pitch. Philipp Hosiner steps in for SK Sturm Graz.
  • 63' AFC Ajax have won 817 goals from 480 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 66' AFC Ajax manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Dusan Tadic is hanging Lasse Schone on the field on 66 minute.
  • 71' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Matthijs de Ligt made 480 appearances and scored 25 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 76' Fresh legs for SK Sturm Graz! Philipp Huspek comes on to replace Lukas Grozurek.
  • 79' The referee has no hesitation. Markus Lackner is booked for SK Sturm Graz — Yellow card on 79.
  • 84' Fresh legs for AFC Ajax! Daley Blind comes on to replace Carel Eiting.
  • 87' Another change for AFC Ajax made on 87 minute. Klaas-Jan Huntelaar leaves to be changed by Kaj Sierhuis.
  • Game over. The scoreline of 2-0 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.35 AFC Ajax xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.02 SK Sturm Graz xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AFC Ajax47% Draw28% SK Sturm Graz25%
Actual: AFC Ajax win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes48% 0% No52%
Avg goals/match: 2.37
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 69%
31%
± 2.5 42%
58%
± 3.5 22%
78%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

AFC Ajax or Draw
75%
Draw or SK Sturm Graz
53%
AFC Ajax or SK Sturm Graz
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
AFC Ajax30% Draw50% SK Sturm Graz20%
Actual: AFC Ajax win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.8%
0 – 0
11.5%
1 – 0
11.5%
0 – 1
8.4%
2 – 1
8.4%
2 – 0
Actual
1 – 2
6.3%
0 – 2
4.7%
2 – 2
4.4%
3 – 1
3.8%
3 – 0
3.6%
1 – 3
2.2%

Asian Handicap — AFC Ajax

Handicap AFC Ajax covers Push SK Sturm Graz covers
-2.5 8% 92%
-2 8% 13% 80%
-1.5 20% 80%
-1 20% 22% 57%
-0.5 43% 57%
+0.5 73% 27%
+1 73% 17% 10%
+1.5 90% 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet
37%
SK Sturm Graz keeps clean sheet
27%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.