Saturday , 14 November 2026

AFC Ajax vs FC Midtjylland, Champions League 2020-21 GROUP STAGE

Wed 25 Nov 2020 · 20:00 UTC Johan Cruyff ArenA HT 45+2' · FT 45+5'

Overview

Match Preview

AFC Ajax vs FC Midtjylland — Champions League at Johan Cruyff ArenA.

Match Details

  • Referee Maksim Gavrilin
  • Referee Sergey Karasev
  • Referee Igor Demeshko
  • Referee Kirill Levnikov

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Nov FC Midtjylland H 3–1 W
22 Nov Heracles Almelo H 5–0 W
08 Nov FC Utrecht A 3–0 W
03 Nov FC Midtjylland A 2–1 W
31 Oct Fortuna Sittard H 5–2 W
27 Oct Atalanta BC A 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Nov AFC Ajax A 1–3 L
03 Nov AFC Ajax H 1–2 L
27 Oct Liverpool FC A 0–2 L
21 Oct Atalanta BC H 0–4 L
30 Sep SK Slavia Praha H 4–1 W
22 Sep SK Slavia Praha A 0–0 D

Key Stats

83% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
83% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! AFC Ajax welcome FC Midtjylland for this crunch clash at Johan Cruyff ArenA.
  • 5' Alexander Scholz is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for AFC Ajax so far.
  • 10' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. FC Midtjylland needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 15' AFC Ajax started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 15.
  • 20' Paulinho has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 25' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Sory Kaba made 321 appearances and scored 24 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 26' The FC Midtjylland manager makes a substitution. Paulinho departs to be replaced by Joel Andersson.
  • 31' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Brian Priske will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 36' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 41' AFC Ajax receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 41.
  • 43' Nicolas Madsen catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 43.
  • 47' Against the run of play, Ryan Gravenberch has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 49' A stunning finish from Noussair Mazraoui — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 54' Both keepers have barely been tested. AFC Ajax and FC Midtjylland are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 59' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 64' Awer Mabil is a natural midfielder and has been asked to do a very specific job for FC Midtjylland tonight.
  • 66' It is a substitution in AFC Ajax team. Davy Klaassen is replaced by Edson Alvarez on 66 minute.
  • 66' David Neres doubles the advantage! 3-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 67' David Neres does the damage! The net is bulging and AFC Ajax surge ahead!
  • 69' The FC Midtjylland manager makes a substitution. Sory Kaba departs to be replaced by Bozhidar Kraev.
  • 74' FC Midtjylland are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 79' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 80' GOAL! Awer Mabil fires home to make it 4-1!
  • 82' It is a substitution in AFC Ajax team. Zakaria Labyad is replaced by Quincy Promes on 82 minute.
  • 87' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 90' Jurgen Ekkelenkamp has so much to prove this time. He replaces David Neres on 90 minute.
  • 90' Controversy at the stadium! Erik Sviatchenko argues furiously but the Red card stands.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 3-1 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.92 AFC Ajax xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.1 FC Midtjylland xG
I would bet for: AFC Ajax to win 58% + Over 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AFC Ajax58% Draw23% FC Midtjylland19%
Actual: AFC Ajax win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes57% 0% No43%
Avg goals/match: 3.02
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 57%
43%
± 3.5 36%
64%
± 4.5 19%
81%

Double Chance

AFC Ajax or Draw
81%
Draw or FC Midtjylland
42%
AFC Ajax or FC Midtjylland
77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
AFC Ajax40% Draw43% FC Midtjylland17%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.2%
2 – 1
9.5%
2 – 0
8.9%
1 – 0
8.7%
0 – 0
6.6%
3 – 1
Actual
3 – 0
5.6%
1 – 2
5.5%
2 – 2
5.2%
0 – 1
4.6%
3 – 2
3.4%
4 – 1
3%

Asian Handicap — AFC Ajax

Handicap AFC Ajax covers Push FC Midtjylland covers
-2.5 16% — 84%
-2 16% 17% 67%
-1.5 33% — 67%
-1 33% 22% 45%
-0.5 55% — 45%
+0.5 80% — 20%
+1 80% 12% 8%
+1.5 92% — 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet
34% ✓
FC Midtjylland keeps clean sheet
16% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.