AC Milan vs Cagliari Calcio, 2016

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Serie A 2016/17 · 2016

AC Milan

1 – 2

Full Time

Cagliari Calcio

Sat 1 Apr 2017 · 16:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

AC Milan vs Cagliari Calcio — Serie A .

AC Milan 0 games · 0 pts
Cagliari Calcio 0 games · 0 pts

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

AC Milan 4.50

Draw 3.75

Cagliari Calcio 1.80

Head-to-Head

AC Milan 22 games · Avg 3.1 goals Cagliari Calcio

Last 5 meetings

2017-04-01 AC Milan 1–2 Cagliari Calcio 2016-10-30 Cagliari Calcio 2–1 AC Milan 2016-02-29 Cagliari Calcio 0–2 AC Milan 2015-10-18 AC Milan 2–1 Cagliari Calcio 2015-03-01 AC Milan 0–3 Cagliari Calcio

Recent Form

AC Milan

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
01 Apr	Cagliari Calcio	H	1–2	L
19 Mar	SS Lazio	A	1–3	L
12 Mar	SPAL 2013	H	0–1	L
05 Mar	Torino FC	A	0–0	D
26 Feb	Bologna FC 1909	H	0–1	L
19 Feb	Genoa CFC	A	2–1	W

Cagliari Calcio

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
01 Apr	AC Milan	A	2–1	W
19 Mar	Chennai City FC	A	0–0	D
13 Mar	Parma Calcio 1913	H	3–1	W
05 Mar	SPAL 2013	A	2–0	W
26 Feb	Genoa CFC	H	1–0	W
18 Feb	RFK Akhmat Grozny	A	2–1	W

Key Stats

55% Both Teams to Score
H2H (22 games)

64% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

0' Three points are at stake. AC Milan host Cagliari Calcio — let the battle begin!
Full Time. Cagliari Calcio beats AC Milan

Lineups

AC Milan Lineups

Cagliari Calcio Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Rafael Leao	4
Zlatan Ibrahimovic	4
Ismael Bennacer	3
Christian Pulisic	2
Olivier Giroud	2
Gabriele Zappa	2
Nadir Zortea	2
Ruben Loftus-Cheek	1

Head to Head

AC Milan Form

2017-04-01 AC Milan 1–2 Cagliari Calcio L 2017-03-19 SS Lazio 3–1 AC Milan L 2017-03-12 AC Milan 0–1 SPAL 2013 L 2017-03-05 Torino FC 0–0 AC Milan D 2017-02-26 AC Milan 0–1 Bologna FC 1909 L 2017-02-19 Genoa CFC 1–2 AC Milan W

Cagliari Calcio Form

2017-04-01 AC Milan 1–2 Cagliari Calcio W 2017-03-19 Chennai City FC 0–0 Cagliari Calcio D 2017-03-13 Cagliari Calcio 3–1 Parma Calcio 1913 W 2017-03-05 SPAL 2013 0–2 Cagliari Calcio W 2017-02-26 Cagliari Calcio 1–0 Genoa CFC W 2017-02-18 RFK Akhmat Grozny 1–2 Cagliari Calcio W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.04 AC Milan xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.31 Cagliari Calcio xG

I would bet for: Cagliari Calcio or Draw 72% + Under 2.5 goals 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct

AC Milan28% Draw29% Cagliari Calcio43%

Actual: Cagliari Calcio win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes48% 0% No52%

Avg goals/match: 2.35

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	88%	12%
± 1.5	68%	32%
± 2.5	41%	59%
± 3.5	21%	79%
± 4.5	10%	90%

Double Chance

AC Milan or Draw

58%

Draw or Cagliari Calcio

72%

AC Milan or Cagliari Calcio

71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

AC Milan21% Draw50% Cagliari Calcio29%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

13.9%

0 – 0

11.8%

0 – 1

11.4%

1 – 0

8.8%

1 – 2

Actual

0 – 2

7.9%

2 – 1

6.5%

2 – 0

2 – 2

4.4%

1 – 3

3.6%

0 – 3

3.4%

3 – 1

2.3%

Asian Handicap — AC Milan

Handicap	AC Milan covers	Push	Cagliari Calcio covers
-2.5	3%	—	97%
-2	3%	8%	89%
-1.5	11%	—	89%
-1	11%	17%	72%
-0.5	28%	—	72%
+0.5	59%	—	41%
+1	59%	22%	19%
+1.5	81%	—	19%
+2	81%	12%	7%
+2.5	93%	—	7%

Clean Sheet

AC Milan keeps clean sheet

28% ✓

Cagliari Calcio keeps clean sheet

36% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.