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AC Milan vs Udinese Calcio, 2017

Serie A 2017/18 · 2017
Sun 18 Dec 2016 · 11:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

AC Milan vs Udinese Calcio — Serie A .

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

AC Milan 3.40
Draw 3.60
Udinese Calcio 2.05

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Dec Udinese Calcio H 0–1 L
12 Dec Empoli FC A 1–2 L
04 Dec RFK Akhmat Grozny H 3–0 W
28 Nov Churchill Brothers SC A 1–1 D
20 Nov Atalanta BC A 2–3 L
06 Nov AC Chievo Verona H 0–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Dec AC Milan A 1–0 W
11 Dec ACF Fiorentina H 2–0 W
02 Dec Churchill Brothers SC A 0–3 L
28 Nov Empoli FC H 4–2 W
20 Nov Bologna FC 1909 A 2–2 D
06 Nov Torino FC H 3–0 W

Key Stats

54% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
54% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' AC Milan have kicked off against Udinese Calcio. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
  • The final score is 0-1.

Lineups

AC Milan Lineups

Udinese Calcio Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.32 AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.25 Udinese Calcio xG
I would bet for: AC Milan or Udinese Calcio 70%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
AC Milan36% Draw30% Udinese Calcio34%
Actual: Udinese Calcio win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 2.57
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 47%
53%
± 3.5 26%
74%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

AC Milan or Draw
66%
Draw or Udinese Calcio
64%
AC Milan or Udinese Calcio
70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
AC Milan27% Draw48% Udinese Calcio25%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.6%
0 – 0
9.7%
1 – 0
9%
0 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
8%
1 – 2
7.6%
2 – 0
6.5%
0 – 2
5.8%
2 – 2
5.1%
3 – 1
3.6%
1 – 3
3.2%
3 – 0
2.8%

Asian Handicap — AC Milan

Handicap AC Milan covers Push Udinese Calcio covers
-2.5 6% 94%
-2 6% 11% 83%
-1.5 17% 83%
-1 17% 20% 63%
-0.5 37% 63%
+0.5 66% 34%
+1 66% 19% 15%
+1.5 85% 15%
+2 85% 10% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

AC Milan keeps clean sheet
29%
Udinese Calcio keeps clean sheet
27%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.