Udinese Calcio vs ACF Fiorentina, 2016

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Serie A 2016/17 · 2016

Udinese Calcio

2 – 0

Full Time

ACF Fiorentina

Sun 11 Dec 2016 · 19:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Udinese Calcio vs ACF Fiorentina — Serie A .

Udinese Calcio 0 games · 0 pts
ACF Fiorentina 0 games · 0 pts

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

Udinese Calcio 1.67

Draw 3.75

ACF Fiorentina 5.50

Head-to-Head

Udinese Calcio 24 games · Avg 2.4 goals ACF Fiorentina

Last 5 meetings

2016-12-11 Udinese Calcio 2–0 ACF Fiorentina 2016-04-20 ACF Fiorentina 1–0 Udinese Calcio 2015-12-05 Udinese Calcio 1–0 ACF Fiorentina 2015-05-23 ACF Fiorentina 3–2 Udinese Calcio 2015-01-11 Udinese Calcio 3–1 ACF Fiorentina

Recent Form

Udinese Calcio

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
11 Dec	ACF Fiorentina	H	2–0	W
02 Dec	Churchill Brothers SC	A	0–3	L
28 Nov	Empoli FC	H	4–2	W
20 Nov	Bologna FC 1909	A	2–2	D
06 Nov	Torino FC	H	3–0	W
30 Oct	Atalanta BC	A	0–1	L

ACF Fiorentina

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
11 Dec	Udinese Calcio	A	0–2	L
05 Dec	UC Sampdoria	A	0–0	D
27 Nov	Indian Arrows	H	3–1	W
20 Nov	Cagliari Calcio	A	1–3	L
06 Nov	Genoa CFC	H	1–1	D
30 Oct	AC Chievo Verona	A	0–3	L

Key Stats

33% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)

38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Udinese Calcio to score. At the same time, ACF Fiorentina does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Udinese Calcio to claim maximum points.

Lineups

Udinese Calcio Lineups

ACF Fiorentina Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Gaetano Castrovilli	3
Moise Kean	2
Giacomo Bonaventura	2
Nikola Milenkovic	2
Stefano Okaka	2
Florian Thauvin	2
Lorenzo Lucca	2
Walace	1

Head to Head

Udinese Calcio Form

2016-12-11 Udinese Calcio 2–0 ACF Fiorentina W 2016-12-02 Churchill Brothers SC 3–0 Udinese Calcio L 2016-11-28 Udinese Calcio 4–2 Empoli FC W 2016-11-20 Bologna FC 1909 2–2 Udinese Calcio D 2016-11-06 Udinese Calcio 3–0 Torino FC W 2016-10-30 Atalanta BC 1–0 Udinese Calcio L

ACF Fiorentina Form

2016-12-11 Udinese Calcio 2–0 ACF Fiorentina L 2016-12-05 UC Sampdoria 0–0 ACF Fiorentina D 2016-11-27 ACF Fiorentina 3–1 Indian Arrows W 2016-11-20 Cagliari Calcio 3–1 ACF Fiorentina L 2016-11-06 ACF Fiorentina 1–1 Genoa CFC D 2016-10-30 AC Chievo Verona 3–0 ACF Fiorentina L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.72 Udinese Calcio xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.87 ACF Fiorentina xG

I would bet for: Udinese Calcio to win 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Udinese Calcio56% Draw25% ACF Fiorentina19%

Actual: Udinese Calcio win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes48% 0% No52%

Avg goals/match: 2.59

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	90%	10%
± 1.5	73%	27%
± 2.5	47%	53%
± 3.5	26%	74%
± 4.5	13%	87%

Double Chance

Udinese Calcio or Draw

81%

Draw or ACF Fiorentina

44%

Udinese Calcio or ACF Fiorentina

75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Udinese Calcio39% Draw46% ACF Fiorentina15%

Actual: Udinese Calcio win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 0

12.1%

1 – 1

12.1%

2 – 0

Actual

0 – 0

9.5%

2 – 1

9.3%

3 – 0

6.1%

0 – 1

5.6%

3 – 1

5.4%

1 – 2

4.7%

2 – 2

4.1%

0 – 2

2.7%

4 – 0

2.6%

Asian Handicap — Udinese Calcio

Handicap	Udinese Calcio covers	Push	ACF Fiorentina covers
-2.5	14%	—	86%
-2	14%	17%	68%
-1.5	32%	—	68%
-1	32%	24%	44%
-0.5	56%	—	44%
+0.5	82%	—	18%
+1	82%	12%	6%
+1.5	94%	—	6%
+2	94%	4%	1%
+2.5	99%	—	1%

Clean Sheet

Udinese Calcio keeps clean sheet

43% ✗

ACF Fiorentina keeps clean sheet

19% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.