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AC Milan vs ACF Fiorentina, 2015

Serie A 2015/16 · 2015
Sat 9 Apr 2016 · 16:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

AC Milan vs ACF Fiorentina — Serie A .

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

AC Milan 2.00
Draw 3.30
ACF Fiorentina 3.80

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Apr ACF Fiorentina H 0–1 L
02 Apr Sporting Clube de Portugal A 3–1 W
20 Mar Genoa CFC H 1–1 D
11 Mar Indian Arrows A 0–1 L
06 Mar Bologna FC 1909 H 2–0 W
29 Feb Cagliari Calcio A 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Apr AC Milan A 1–0 W
03 Apr FK Orenburg H 4–0 W
20 Mar Churchill Brothers SC A 1–3 L
13 Mar Parma Calcio 1913 H 3–2 W
06 Mar RFK Akhmat Grozny H 1–0 W
28 Feb UC Sampdoria A 0–1 L

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at . The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 0-1 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

AC Milan Lineups

ACF Fiorentina Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 3
1.32 AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.13 ACF Fiorentina xG
I would bet for: AC Milan or ACF Fiorentina 70% + Under 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
AC Milan38% Draw30% ACF Fiorentina32%
Actual: ACF Fiorentina win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.45
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 70%
30%
± 2.5 44%
56%
± 3.5 23%
77%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

AC Milan or Draw
69%
Draw or ACF Fiorentina
62%
AC Milan or ACF Fiorentina
70%

Half-Time Result

AC Milan28% Draw49% ACF Fiorentina23%

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.8%
0 – 0
10.8%
1 – 0
10.3%
0 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
8.2%
2 – 0
7.3%
1 – 2
7%
0 – 2
5.3%
2 – 2
4.7%
3 – 1
3.6%
3 – 0
3.2%
1 – 3
2.6%

Asian Handicap — AC Milan

Handicap AC Milan covers Push ACF Fiorentina covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 12% 81%
-1.5 19% 81%
-1 19% 21% 60%
-0.5 40% 60%
+0.5 70% 30%
+1 70% 18% 12%
+1.5 88% 12%
+2 88% 9% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

AC Milan keeps clean sheet
33%
ACF Fiorentina keeps clean sheet
27%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.