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AC Milan vs ACF Fiorentina, 2015

Serie A 2015/16 · 2015
Sat 9 Apr 2016 · 16:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

AC Milan vs ACF Fiorentina — Serie A .

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

AC Milan 2.00
Draw 3.30
ACF Fiorentina 3.80

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Apr ACF Fiorentina H 0–1 L
02 Apr Sporting Clube de Portugal A 3–1 W
20 Mar Genoa CFC H 1–1 D
11 Mar Indian Arrows A 0–1 L
06 Mar Bologna FC 1909 H 2–0 W
29 Feb Cagliari Calcio A 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Apr AC Milan A 1–0 W
03 Apr FK Orenburg H 4–0 W
20 Mar Churchill Brothers SC A 1–3 L
13 Mar Parma Calcio 1913 H 3–2 W
06 Mar RFK Akhmat Grozny H 1–0 W
28 Feb UC Sampdoria A 0–1 L

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for AC Milan to score. At the same time, ACF Fiorentina does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • It finishes all square. AC Milan and ACF Fiorentina share the spoils 0-1.

Lineups

AC Milan Lineups

ACF Fiorentina Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 3
1.32 AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.13 ACF Fiorentina xG
I would bet for: AC Milan or ACF Fiorentina 70% + Under 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
AC Milan38% Draw30% ACF Fiorentina32%
Actual: ACF Fiorentina win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.45
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 70%
30%
± 2.5 44%
56%
± 3.5 23%
77%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

AC Milan or Draw
69%
Draw or ACF Fiorentina
62%
AC Milan or ACF Fiorentina
70%

Half-Time Result

AC Milan28% Draw49% ACF Fiorentina23%

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.8%
0 – 0
10.8%
1 – 0
10.3%
0 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
8.2%
2 – 0
7.3%
1 – 2
7%
0 – 2
5.3%
2 – 2
4.7%
3 – 1
3.6%
3 – 0
3.2%
1 – 3
2.6%

Asian Handicap — AC Milan

Handicap AC Milan covers Push ACF Fiorentina covers
-2.5 7% — 93%
-2 7% 12% 81%
-1.5 19% — 81%
-1 19% 21% 60%
-0.5 40% — 60%
+0.5 70% — 30%
+1 70% 18% 12%
+1.5 88% — 12%
+2 88% 9% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

AC Milan keeps clean sheet
33% ✓
ACF Fiorentina keeps clean sheet
27% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.