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AC Milan vs ACF Fiorentina, 2014

Serie A 2014/15 · 2014
Sat 30 May 2015 · 22:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

AC Milan vs ACF Fiorentina — Serie A .

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

AC Milan 2.90
Draw 3.50
ACF Fiorentina 2.40

Head-to-Head

11
5
8
AC Milan 24 games · Avg 2.6 goals ACF Fiorentina

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
31 May ACF Fiorentina H 3–1 W
24 May Genoa CFC A 1–0 W
17 May Bologna FC 1909 H 3–2 W
10 May FK Dinamo Moskva A 3–2 W
02 May FK Ural H 0–0 D
29 Apr SS Lazio H 0–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
31 May AC Milan A 1–3 L
23 May Udinese Calcio H 3–2 W
17 May AC Chievo Verona A 4–1 W
11 May Parma Calcio 1913 H 5–1 W
03 May SS Lazio A 0–2 L
29 Apr Bologna FC 1909 A 3–1 W

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' AC Milan have kicked off against ACF Fiorentina. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
  • Game over. The scoreline of 3-1 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

AC Milan Lineups

ACF Fiorentina Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 3
1.86 AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.47 ACF Fiorentina xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 65% + Over 2.5 goals 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AC Milan48% Draw24% ACF Fiorentina28%
Actual: AC Milan win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes65% 0% No35%
Avg goals/match: 3.33
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 84%
16%
± 2.5 63%
37%
± 3.5 42%
58%
± 4.5 24%
76%

Double Chance

AC Milan or Draw
72%
Draw or ACF Fiorentina
52%
AC Milan or ACF Fiorentina
76%

Half-Time Result

AC Milan34% Draw42% ACF Fiorentina24%

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.7%
2 – 1
8.8%
1 – 2
6.9%
2 – 2
6.4%
2 – 0
6.2%
1 – 0
6%
3 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
5.1%
0 – 1
4.6%
3 – 2
4%
0 – 2
3.9%
3 – 0
3.8%

Asian Handicap — AC Milan

Handicap AC Milan covers Push ACF Fiorentina covers
-2.5 12% 88%
-2 12% 14% 74%
-1.5 26% 74%
-1 26% 20% 54%
-0.5 46% 54%
+0.5 70% 30%
+1 70% 16% 14%
+1.5 86% 14%
+2 86% 9% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

AC Milan keeps clean sheet
24%
ACF Fiorentina keeps clean sheet
16%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.