Churchill Brothers SC vs ACF Fiorentina, 2015

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Serie A 2015/16 · 2015

Churchill Brothers SC

3 – 1

Full Time

ACF Fiorentina

Sun 20 Mar 2016 · 17:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Churchill Brothers SC vs ACF Fiorentina — Serie A .

Churchill Brothers SC 0 games · 0 pts
ACF Fiorentina 0 games · 0 pts

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

Churchill Brothers SC 1.29

Draw 5.50

ACF Fiorentina 11.00

Head-to-Head

Churchill Brothers SC 8 games · Avg 2.3 goals ACF Fiorentina

Last 5 meetings

2016-03-20 Churchill Brothers SC 3–1 ACF Fiorentina 2015-11-01 ACF Fiorentina 0–0 Churchill Brothers SC 2015-01-26 Churchill Brothers SC 2–1 ACF Fiorentina 2014-08-31 ACF Fiorentina 1–2 Churchill Brothers SC

Recent Form

Churchill Brothers SC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
20 Mar	ACF Fiorentina	H	3–1	W
13 Mar	FK Ural	A	1–0	W
05 Mar	UC Sampdoria	H	3–1	W
29 Feb	Empoli FC	A	1–1	D
22 Feb	Bologna FC 1909	H	1–1	D
13 Feb	Indian Arrows	A	0–1	L

ACF Fiorentina

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
20 Mar	Churchill Brothers SC	A	1–3	L
13 Mar	Parma Calcio 1913	H	3–2	W
06 Mar	RFK Akhmat Grozny	H	1–0	W
28 Feb	UC Sampdoria	A	0–1	L
21 Feb	Genoa CFC	H	2–1	W
14 Feb	Bologna FC 1909	A	1–2	L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

0' That's the starting whistle at . Ninety minutes of football awaits between Churchill Brothers SC and ACF Fiorentina.
With this win, Churchill Brothers SC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

Churchill Brothers SC Lineups

ACF Fiorentina Lineups

H2H

Head to Head

Churchill Brothers SC Form

2016-03-20 Churchill Brothers SC 3–1 ACF Fiorentina W 2016-03-13 FK Ural 0–1 Churchill Brothers SC W 2016-03-05 Churchill Brothers SC 3–1 UC Sampdoria W 2016-02-29 Empoli FC 1–1 Churchill Brothers SC D 2016-02-22 Churchill Brothers SC 1–1 Bologna FC 1909 D 2016-02-13 Indian Arrows 1–0 Churchill Brothers SC L

ACF Fiorentina Form

2016-03-20 Churchill Brothers SC 3–1 ACF Fiorentina L 2016-03-13 ACF Fiorentina 3–2 Parma Calcio 1913 W 2016-03-06 ACF Fiorentina 1–0 RFK Akhmat Grozny W 2016-02-28 UC Sampdoria 1–0 ACF Fiorentina L 2016-02-21 ACF Fiorentina 2–1 Genoa CFC W 2016-02-14 Bologna FC 1909 2–1 ACF Fiorentina L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 3

1.75 Churchill Brothers SC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.95 ACF Fiorentina xG

I would bet for: Churchill Brothers SC to win 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Churchill Brothers SC57% Draw24% ACF Fiorentina19%

Actual: Churchill Brothers SC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes51% 0% No49%

Avg goals/match: 2.7

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	91%	9%
± 1.5	75%	25%
± 2.5	50%	50%
± 3.5	29%	71%
± 4.5	14%	86%

Double Chance

Churchill Brothers SC or Draw

81%

Draw or ACF Fiorentina

43%

Churchill Brothers SC or ACF Fiorentina

76%

Half-Time Result

Churchill Brothers SC39% Draw46% ACF Fiorentina15%

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

12%

1 – 0

10.9%

2 – 0

10.1%

2 – 1

9.4%

0 – 0

8.6%

3 – 0

5.8%

3 – 1

Actual

0 – 1

5.5%

1 – 2

5.1%

2 – 2

4.5%

0 – 2

3 – 2

2.7%

Asian Handicap — Churchill Brothers SC

Handicap	Churchill Brothers SC covers	Push	ACF Fiorentina covers
-2.5	14%	—	86%
-2	14%	17%	69%
-1.5	31%	—	69%
-1	31%	24%	45%
-0.5	55%	—	45%
+0.5	81%	—	19%
+1	81%	12%	7%
+1.5	93%	—	7%
+2	93%	5%	2%
+2.5	98%	—	2%

Clean Sheet

Churchill Brothers SC keeps clean sheet

39% ✓

ACF Fiorentina keeps clean sheet

18% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.