Thursday , 2 July 2026

SM Caen vs Rodez Aveyron Football, Ligue 2 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 2 · 2023-24
Sat 13 Apr 2024 · 17:00 UTC Michel-d'Ornano HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

SM Caen vs Rodez Aveyron FootballLigue 2 at Michel-d'Ornano.

Match Details

  • Referee Olivier Thual

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Apr Rodez Aveyron Football H 1–0 W
06 Apr FC Girondins de Bordeaux H 0–1 L
30 Mar US Quevilly-Rouen Metropole A 2–1 W
16 Mar AJ Auxerre A 1–2 L
09 Mar Paris FC H 0–1 L
02 Mar Pau FC A 3–2 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Apr SM Caen A 0–1 L
06 Apr US Quevilly-Rouen Metropole H 3–3 D
30 Mar ES Troyes AC A 3–2 W
16 Mar Grenoble Foot 38 H 3–1 W
09 Mar Amiens SC A 1–1 D
02 Mar FC Girondins de Bordeaux H 2–2 D

Key Stats

55% Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
73% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds Michel-d'Ornano will turn into a battlefield for SM Caen and Rodez Aveyron Football.
  • 5' Lorenzo Rajot has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 10' Wilitty Younoussa has been relatively quiet despite scoring 5 goals in his last 312 appearances.
  • 15' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both SM Caen and Rodez Aveyron Football are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 20' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 25' It is a cagey affair so far. SM Caen in their trying to find a way past Rodez Aveyron Football's compact .
  • 30' It’s high time Patrice Sauvaget made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 34' That is a card for SM Caen. Brahim Traore will be fuming at that decision.
  • 39' Anthony Mandrea is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for SM Caen so far.
  • 44' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 46' Goal! Dembo Sylla scores his 1 goal in 144 matches.
  • 51' Supporters expect more eagerness from Kilian Corredor, as he is very good at scoring at Michel-d'Ornano with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 56' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His SM Caen side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 61' The travelling Rodez Aveyron Football supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 66' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 68' SM Caen make a change. Mathias Autret trudges off to be replaced by Mickael Le Bihan on 68 minutes.
  • 73' Bilal Brahimi is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for SM Caen tonight.
  • 77' The Rodez Aveyron Football manager makes a substitution. Dembo Sylla departs to be replaced by Ahmad Ngouyamsa.
  • 82' SM Caen started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 82.
  • 83' That looks like a foul for a card for Valentin Henry.
  • 86' Tidiam Gomis gets the nod from SM Caen. He replaces Bilal Brahimi and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 89' Rodez Aveyron Football make a change. Waniss Taibi trudges off to be replaced by Yannis Verdier on 89 minutes.
  • With this win, SM Caen is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.25 SM Caen xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.22 Rodez Aveyron Football xG
I would bet for: SM Caen or Rodez Aveyron Football 71% + Under 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SM Caen40% Draw29% Rodez Aveyron Football31%
Actual: SM Caen win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 2.47
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 71%
29%
± 2.5 44%
56%
± 3.5 24%
76%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

SM Caen or Draw
68%
Draw or Rodez Aveyron Football
60%
SM Caen or Rodez Aveyron Football
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
SM Caen26% Draw49% Rodez Aveyron Football25%
Actual: SM Caen win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.9%
0 – 0
10.7%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
9.2%
2 – 1
7.8%
1 – 2
7.6%
2 – 0
6.4%
0 – 2
6.1%
2 – 2
4.8%
3 – 1
3.3%
1 – 3
3.1%
3 – 0
2.6%

Asian Handicap — SM Caen

Handicap SM Caen covers Push Rodez Aveyron Football covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 10% 84%
-1.5 16% 84%
-1 16% 20% 64%
-0.5 36% 64%
+0.5 66% 34%
+1 66% 19% 15%
+1.5 85% 15%
+2 85% 10% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

SM Caen keeps clean sheet
30%
Rodez Aveyron Football keeps clean sheet
29%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.