1. FSV Mainz 05 vs MSV Duisburg, 2017

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1. Bundesliga 2017/18 · 2017

1. FSV Mainz 05

3 – 2

Full Time

MSV Duisburg

Wed 13 Dec 2017 · 20:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs MSV Duisburg — Bundesliga .

1. FSV Mainz 05 0 games · 0 pts
MSV Duisburg 0 games · 0 pts

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

1. FSV Mainz 05 1.83

Draw 3.60

MSV Duisburg 4.50

Head-to-Head

1. FSV Mainz 05 8 games · Avg 2.4 goals MSV Duisburg

Last 5 meetings

2017-12-13 1. FSV Mainz 05 3–2 MSV Duisburg 2017-03-12 1. FSV Mainz 05 3–0 MSV Duisburg 2016-10-15 MSV Duisburg 1–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 2016-05-07 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–1 MSV Duisburg 2015-12-13 MSV Duisburg 2–1 1. FSV Mainz 05

Recent Form

1. FSV Mainz 05

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
13 Dec	MSV Duisburg	H	3–2	W
09 Dec	VfB Stuttgart	A	1–1	D
02 Dec	Karlsruher SC	H	2–2	D
25 Nov	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	A	4–4	D
19 Nov	TuS Dassendorf	H	2–0	W
04 Nov	Hamburger SV	A	1–0	W

MSV Duisburg

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
13 Dec	1. FSV Mainz 05	A	2–3	L
10 Dec	SV Sandhausen 1916	H	1–1	D
02 Dec	SV Linx 1949	A	3–1	W
25 Nov	1. CfR Pforzheim	H	2–1	W
18 Nov	VfL Wolfsburg	A	0–3	L
04 Nov	SV Drochtersen/Assel	H	1–1	D

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

0' We are underway at . The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
MSV Duisburg will have plenty to reflect on. 1. FSV Mainz 05 were simply the better side today.

Lineups

1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups

MSV Duisburg Lineups

H2H

Head to Head

1. FSV Mainz 05 Form

2017-12-13 1. FSV Mainz 05 3–2 MSV Duisburg W 2017-12-09 VfB Stuttgart 1–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 D 2017-12-02 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–2 Karlsruher SC D 2017-11-25 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 4–4 1. FSV Mainz 05 D 2017-11-19 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–0 TuS Dassendorf W 2017-11-04 Hamburger SV 0–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 W

MSV Duisburg Form

2017-12-13 1. FSV Mainz 05 3–2 MSV Duisburg L 2017-12-10 MSV Duisburg 1–1 SV Sandhausen 1916 D 2017-12-02 SV Linx 1949 1–3 MSV Duisburg W 2017-11-25 MSV Duisburg 2–1 1. CfR Pforzheim W 2017-11-18 VfL Wolfsburg 3–0 MSV Duisburg L 2017-11-04 MSV Duisburg 1–1 SV Drochtersen/Assel D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.77 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.31 MSV Duisburg xG

I would bet for: Both teams to score 61% + Over 2.5 goals 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct

1. FSV Mainz 0550% Draw24% MSV Duisburg26%

Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes61% 0% No39%

Avg goals/match: 3.08

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	94%	6%
± 1.5	81%	19%
± 2.5	59%	41%
± 3.5	37%	63%
± 4.5	20%	80%

Double Chance

1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw

75%

Draw or MSV Duisburg

50%

1. FSV Mainz 05 or MSV Duisburg

76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

1. FSV Mainz 0535% Draw43% MSV Duisburg22%

Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

11.5%

2 – 1

9.1%

1 – 0

7.4%

2 – 0

7.2%

1 – 2

6.7%

0 – 0

6.3%

2 – 2

5.9%

3 – 1

5.4%

0 – 1

5.2%

3 – 0

4.2%

0 – 2

3.9%

3 – 2

Actual

Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05

Handicap	1. FSV Mainz 05 covers	Push	MSV Duisburg covers
-2.5	12%	—	88%
-2	12%	14%	74%
-1.5	26%	—	74%
-1	26%	21%	53%
-0.5	47%	—	53%
+0.5	73%	—	27%
+1	73%	15%	12%
+1.5	88%	—	12%
+2	88%	8%	4%
+2.5	96%	—	4%

Clean Sheet

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet

28% ✓

MSV Duisburg keeps clean sheet

18% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.