1. FC Union Berlin vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2020-21 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
1. FC Union Berlin vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Bundesliga at Stadion An der Alten Forsterei.
- 1. FC Union Berlin 34 games · 39 pts (2025/26)
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 34 games · 40 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Harm Osmers
- Referee Sascha Stegemann
- Referee Frederick Assmuth
- Referee Thorben Siewer
- Referee Mike Pickel
19 games this season
🟨 0.9/game
⚽ 5.2 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München | 34 | 89 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 65 |
| 4 | VfB Stuttgart | 34 | 62 |
| 5 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 34 | 61 |
| 6 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 34 | 59 |
| 7 | SC Freiburg | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | 44 |
| 9 | FC Augsburg | 34 | 43 |
| 10 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 34 | 40 |
| 11 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 34 | 39 |
| 12 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 34 | 38 |
| 13 | Hamburger SV | 34 | 38 |
| 14 | 1. FC Koln | 34 | 32 |
| 15 | SV Werder Bremen | 34 | 32 |
| 16 | VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | 29 |
| 17 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 34 | 26 |
| 18 | FC St. Pauli 1910 | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | H | 4–0 | W |
| 26 Sep | Borussia Monchengladbach | A | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Sep | FC Augsburg | H | 1–3 | L |
| 12 Sep | Karlsruher SC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 27 Jun | TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf | H | 3–0 | W |
| 20 Jun | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | A | 0–4 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct | 1. FC Union Berlin | A | 0–4 | L |
| 26 Sep | VfB Stuttgart | H | 1–4 | L |
| 20 Sep | RB Leipzig | A | 1–3 | L |
| 11 Sep | TSV Havelse | A | 5–1 | W |
| 27 Jun | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | A | 0–1 | L |
| 20 Jun | SV Werder Bremen | H | 3–1 | W |
Season Stats
| 1. FC Union Berlin | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | |
|---|---|---|
| #11 | Position | #10 |
| 39 | Points | 40 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 10 / 9 / 15 | W / D / L | 10 / 10 / 14 |
| 44 | Scored | 44 |
| 58 | Conceded | 53 |
| -14 | GD | -9 |
| 1.15 | PPG | 1.18 |
| 29% | Win % | 29% |
Key Stats
79%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
H2H (14 games)
64%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
21%
Clean Sheets
1. FC Union Berlin this season
1. FC Union Berlin this season
12%
Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
1. FC Union Berlin are 11th (39 pts). 1. FSV Mainz 05 are 10th (40 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
1. FC Union Berlin
0-15
1/2
16-30
–/3
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/2
76+
6/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
4/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/1
76+
2/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at Stadion An der Alten Forsterei. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- 5' 1. FC Union Berlin are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined 1. FSV Mainz 05 backline.
- 10' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 13' Brilliant from the ! Max Kruse makes it 1-0 with a superb finish on 13.
- 18' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 23' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His 1. FC Union Berlin side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 28' Luca Kilian needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 32' The referee calls foul for Christopher Trimmel. He receives a Yellow card.
- 37' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Urs Fischer will be considering his options from the bench.
- 42' 1. FSV Mainz 05 come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 47' The energy levels are beginning to show. Jan-Moritz Lichte might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 49' Marcus Ingvartsen makes no mistake. The score reads 2-0 and 1. FC Union Berlin are in front.
- 53' The referee calls foul for Jean-Philippe Mateta. He receives a Yellow card.
- 58' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering 1. FSV Mainz 05 that had 436 games and scored 398 goals.
- 59' That is a Yellow card for 1. FSV Mainz 05. Danny Latza will be fuming at that decision.
- 60' The crowd applauds Jean-Philippe Mateta as he leaves the pitch. Jonathan Burkardt steps in for 1. FSV Mainz 05.
- 63' Marvin Friedrich makes no mistake. The score reads 3-0 and 1. FC Union Berlin are in front.
- 64' Magnificent from Joel Pohjanpalo! That is 48 goals in 541 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 64' Another change for 1. FC Union Berlin made on 64 minute. Max Kruse leaves to be changed by Joel Pohjanpalo.
- 67' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Jean-Paul Boetius.
- 69' A tactical swap from 1. FC Union Berlin — Julian Ryerson on, Christopher Trimmel off on 69 minutes.
- 71' A change in the 1. FSV Mainz 05 ranks — Robin Quaison exits the field as Luca Kilian enters on 71.
- 72' Aaron Martin has so much to prove this time. He replaces Philipp Mwene on 72 minute.
- 77' A moment of madness from Jerry St. Juste on 77 minutes earns him a Yellow card. 1. FSV Mainz 05 will be frustrated.
- 82' Another change for 1. FC Union Berlin made on 82 minute. Robert Andrich leaves to be changed by Sebastian Griesbeck.
- 87' The home supporters are growing impatient. 1. FC Union Berlin must find a spark to ignite this game.
- What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — 1. FC Union Berlin 4-0 1. FSV Mainz 05.
Lineups
1. FC Union Berlin Lineups
Starting XI
-
10
Max Kruse ↓ Joel Pohjanpalo 64'
-
27
Sheraldo Becker ↓ Marius Bulter 64'
- 1
- 31
- 25
- 5
- 28
- 21
- 30
-
32
Marcus Ingvartsen ↓ Keita Endo 82'
- 4
Bench
-
9
Joel Pohjanpalo ↑ 64'
- 36
-
6
Julian Ryerson ↑ 69'
-
33
Sebastian Griesbeck ↑ 82'
- 23
-
15
Marius Bulter ↑ 64'
- 20
-
18
Keita Endo ↑ 82'
- 14
Coach
Urs Fischer
1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups
Starting XI
- 4
- 9
-
23
Philipp Mwene ↓ Aaron Martin 71'
- 27
- 18
- 42
- 6
-
7
Robin Quaison ↓ Luca Kilian 71'
- 21
- 5
-
14
Pierre Kunde ↓ Paul Nebel 60'
Bench
- 37
- 8
-
3
Aaron Martin ↑ 71'
- 22
- 35
-
29
Jonathan Burkardt ↑ 60'
-
15
Luca Kilian ↑ 71'
- 25
-
26
Paul Nebel ↑ 60'
Coach
Jan-Moritz Lichte
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kevin Behrens | 4 |
| Taiwo Awoniyi | 4 |
| Marcus Ingvartsen | 3 |
| Marcus Ingvartsen | 2 |
| Nadiem Amiri | 2 |
| Daniel Brosinski | 2 |
| Sebastian Andersson | 2 |
| Oliver Burke | 1 |
Head to Head
1. FC Union Berlin Form
2020-10-02
1. FC Union Berlin
4–0
1. FSV Mainz 05
W
2020-09-26
Borussia Monchengladbach
1–1
1. FC Union Berlin
D
2020-09-19
1. FC Union Berlin
1–3
FC Augsburg
L
2020-09-12
Karlsruher SC
0–1
1. FC Union Berlin
W
2020-06-27
1. FC Union Berlin
3–0
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf
W
2020-06-20
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
4–0
1. FC Union Berlin
L
1. FSV Mainz 05 Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.1
1. FC Union Berlin xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.23
1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 64% + Both teams to score 62%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: 1. FC Union Berlin win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.33
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 84% |
|
16% |
| ± 2.5 | 64% |
|
36% |
| ± 3.5 | 42% |
|
58% |
| ± 4.5 | 24% |
|
76% |
Double Chance
1. FC Union Berlin or Draw
80%
Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05
43%
1. FC Union Berlin or 1. FSV Mainz 05
78%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: 1. FC Union Berlin win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 4–0 not predicted4 – 0Actual
1 – 1
10.1%
2 – 1
9.4%
2 – 0
7.9%
1 – 0
7%
3 – 1
6.5%
2 – 2
5.7%
1 – 2
5.5%
3 – 0
5.4%
0 – 0
5.1%
3 – 2
4%
0 – 1
3.7%
4 – 1
3.5%
Asian Handicap — 1. FC Union Berlin
| Handicap | 1. FC Union Berlin covers | Push | 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| -2 | 18% | 17% | 65% |
| -1.5 | 35% | — | 65% |
| -1 | 35% | 21% | 44% |
| -0.5 | 56% | — | 44% |
| +0.5 | 79% | — | 21% |
| +1 | 79% | 12% | 9% |
| +1.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
| +2 | 91% | 6% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
1. FC Union Berlin keeps clean sheet
30%
✗
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
13%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

