Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Wrexham AFC vs Nottingham Forest FC, FA Cup 2025-26 ROUND 3

FA Cup · 2025-26
Wrexham AFC
7 – 6
4 – 3 pen
Full Time
Nottingham Forest FC
Fri 9 Jan 2026 · 19:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Wrexham AFC vs Nottingham Forest FC — FA Cup .

Match Details

  • Referee Paul Tierney
4 games this season 🟨 2.0/game ⚽ 8.5 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Head-to-Head

1
Wrexham AFC 1 games · Avg 13.0 goals Nottingham Forest FC
Last 5 meetings
2026-01-09 Wrexham AFC 7–6 Nottingham Forest FC

Recent Form

Wrexham AFC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Jan Nottingham Forest FC H 7–6 W
04 Jan Derby County FC A 2–1 W
01 Jan Blackburn Rovers FC A 2–0 W
29 Dec Preston North End FC H 2–1 W
26 Dec Sheffield United FC H 5–3 W
19 Dec Swansea City AFC A 1–2 L
Nottingham Forest FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Jan Wrexham AFC A 6–7 L
06 Jan West Ham United FC A 2–1 W
03 Jan Aston Villa FC A 1–3 L
30 Dec Everton FC H 0–2 L
27 Dec Manchester City FC H 1–2 L
22 Dec Fulham FC A 0–1 L

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (1 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
33% Clean Sheets
Wrexham AFC this season
0% Clean Sheets
Nottingham Forest FC this season

Top Scorers (This Season)

Nottingham Forest FC
Callum Hudson-Odoi 2 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Wrexham AFC and Nottingham Forest FC get this one started.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 7-6 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

Wrexham AFC Lineups

Nottingham Forest FC Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
3.4 Wrexham AFC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.77 Nottingham Forest FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 93% + Both teams to score 89%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Wrexham AFC54% Draw18% Nottingham Forest FC28%
Actual: Wrexham AFC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes89% 0% No11%
Avg goals/match: 6.17
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 99%
1%
± 1.5 98%
2%
± 2.5 93%
7%
± 3.5 84%
16%
± 4.5 71%
29%

Double Chance

Wrexham AFC or Draw
72%
Draw or Nottingham Forest FC
46%
Wrexham AFC or Nottingham Forest FC
82%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Wrexham AFC42% Draw29% Nottingham Forest FC29%
Actual: Wrexham AFC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 7–6 not predicted
7 – 6
Actual
3 – 2
5.2%
2 – 2
4.7%
3 – 3
4.7%
4 – 2
4.4%
2 – 3
4.3%
4 – 3
4%
3 – 1
3.9%
2 – 1
3.6%
3 – 4
3.3%
4 – 1
3.3%
5 – 2
3%
2 – 4
3%

Asian Handicap — Wrexham AFC

Handicap Wrexham AFC covers Push Nottingham Forest FC covers
-2.5 20% — 80%
-2 20% 14% 66%
-1.5 34% — 66%
-1 34% 16% 49%
-0.5 51% — 49%
+0.5 67% — 33%
+1 67% 13% 19%
+1.5 81% — 19%
+2 81% 9% 10%
+2.5 90% — 10%

Clean Sheet

Wrexham AFC keeps clean sheet
7% ✓
Nottingham Forest FC keeps clean sheet
4% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.