Sunday , 16 August 2026

Wrexham AFC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2025-26
Wrexham AFC
1 – 1
Full Time
Derby County FC
Sat 27 Sep 2025 · 11:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Wrexham AFC vs Derby County FC — Championship .

Match Details

  • Referee Tom Nield

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Coventry City FC 46 95
2 Ipswich Town FC 46 84
3 Hull City AFC 46 73
4 Oxford United FC 46 47
5 Leicester City FC 46 46
6 Blackburn Rovers FC 1 1
7 Wolverhampton Wanderers FC 1 1
8 Queens Park Rangers FC 0 0
9 Millwall FC 0 0
10 Middlesbrough FC 0 0
11 Swansea City AFC 0 0
12 Charlton Athletic FC 0 0
13 West Bromwich Albion FC 0 0
14 Bolton Wanderers FC 0 0
15 Birmingham City FC 0 0
16 Sheffield United FC 0 0
17 Southampton FC 0 0
18 Wrexham AFC 0 0
19 Watford FC 0 0
20 Burnley FC 0 0
21 Cardiff City FC 0 0
22 West Ham United FC 0 0
23 Derby County FC 0 0
24 Norwich City FC 0 0
25 Preston North End FC 0 0
26 Stoke City FC 0 0
27 Lincoln City FC 0 0
28 Portsmouth FC 0 0
29 Bristol City FC 0 0
30 Sheffield Wednesday FC 46 0

Head-to-Head

1
1
Wrexham AFC 2 games · Avg 2.5 goals Derby County FC
Last 5 meetings
2025-09-27 Wrexham AFC 1–1 Derby County FC

Recent Form

Wrexham AFC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Sep Derby County FC H 1–1 D
20 Sep Norwich City FC A 3–2 W
13 Sep Queens Park Rangers FC H 1–3 L
30 Aug Millwall FC A 2–0 W
23 Aug Sheffield Wednesday FC H 2–2 D
16 Aug West Bromwich Albion FC H 2–3 L
Derby County FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Sep Wrexham AFC A 1–1 D
20 Sep Preston North End FC H 0–1 L
13 Sep West Bromwich Albion FC A 1–0 W
30 Aug Ipswich Town FC A 2–2 D
22 Aug Bristol City FC H 1–1 D
16 Aug Coventry City FC H 3–5 L

Season Stats

Wrexham AFC Derby County FC
#18 Position #23
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
– PPG –
– Win % –

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season

Wrexham AFC are 18th (0 pts). Derby County FC are 23rd (0 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Derby County FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
1/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
–/1
76+
–/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Wrexham AFC Lineups

Derby County FC Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.57 Wrexham AFC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.74 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 85% + Under — clean sheet likely 75%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Wrexham AFC30% Draw38% Derby County FC32%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes25% 0% No75%
Avg goals/match: 1.31
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 70%
30%
± 1.5 38%
62%
± 2.5 15%
85%
± 3.5 5%
95%
± 4.5 1%
99%

Double Chance

Wrexham AFC or Draw
68%
Draw or Derby County FC
70%
Wrexham AFC or Derby County FC
62%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Wrexham AFC14% Draw66% Derby County FC20%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
29.8%
0 – 1
18.2%
1 – 0
13.7%
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 2
6.7%
1 – 2
4.4%
2 – 0
4%
2 – 1
3.3%
0 – 3
1.6%
2 – 2
1.4%
1 – 3
1.1%
3 – 0
0.7%

Asian Handicap — Wrexham AFC

Handicap Wrexham AFC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 1% — 99%
-2 1% 5% 94%
-1.5 6% — 94%
-1 6% 17% 77%
-0.5 23% — 77%
+0.5 67% — 33%
+1 67% 23% 10%
+1.5 90% — 10%
+2 90% 8% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Wrexham AFC keeps clean sheet
48% ✓
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
57% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.