Thursday , 2 July 2026

Watford FC vs Newcastle United FC, Premier League 2021-22 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2021-22
Sat 25 Sep 2021 · 14:00 UTC Vicarage Road Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Watford FC vs Newcastle United FCPremier League at Vicarage Road Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Jarred Gillett
  • Referee Marc Perry
  • Referee Constantine Hatzidakis
  • Referee Craig Pawson
  • Referee Lee Betts
  • Referee Martin Atkinson

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Sep Newcastle United FC H 1–1 D
18 Sep Norwich City FC A 3–1 W
11 Sep Wolverhampton Wanderers FC H 0–2 L
29 Aug Tottenham Hotspur FC A 0–1 L
21 Aug Brighton & Hove Albion FC A 0–2 L
14 Aug Aston Villa FC H 3–2 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Sep Watford FC A 1–1 D
17 Sep Leeds United FC H 1–1 D
11 Sep Manchester United FC A 1–4 L
28 Aug Southampton FC H 2–2 D
21 Aug Aston Villa FC A 0–2 L
15 Aug West Ham United FC H 2–4 L

Key Stats

71% Both Teams to Score
H2H (7 games)
14% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.46 Watford FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.06 Newcastle United FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Watford FC47% Draw27% Newcastle United FC26%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 2.52
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 72%
28%
± 2.5 45%
55%
± 3.5 25%
75%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

Watford FC or Draw
75%
Draw or Newcastle United FC
53%
Watford FC or Newcastle United FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Watford FC32% Draw48% Newcastle United FC20%
Actual: Newcastle United FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
10.8%
0 – 0
10.2%
2 – 1
8.8%
2 – 0
8.4%
0 – 1
7.5%
1 – 2
6.3%
2 – 2
4.7%
0 – 2
4.4%
3 – 1
4.3%
3 – 0
4%
3 – 2
2.4%

Asian Handicap — Watford FC

Handicap Watford FC covers Push Newcastle United FC covers
-2.5 9% 91%
-2 9% 14% 78%
-1.5 22% 78%
-1 22% 22% 55%
-0.5 45% 55%
+0.5 74% 26%
+1 74% 16% 10%
+1.5 90% 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Watford FC keeps clean sheet
35%
Newcastle United FC keeps clean sheet
24%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.