Wales vs Croatia, 2016

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FA-Cup 2016/17 · 2016

Wales

1 – 2

Full Time

Croatia

Fri 4 Nov 2016 · 23:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Wales vs Croatia — FA Cup .

Wales 0 games · 0 pts
Croatia 0 games · 0 pts

Head-to-Head

Wales 5 games · Avg 2.6 goals Croatia

Last 5 meetings

2016-11-04 Wales 1–2 Croatia 2016-02-16 Wales 1–1 Croatia 2015-09-11 Croatia 3–3 Wales

Recent Form

Wales

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
05 Nov	Croatia	H	1–2	L
29 Oct	Valencia CF	A	1–2	L
22 Oct	Hungary	H	2–2	D
15 Oct	Club Atlético de Madrid	A	0–1	L
08 Oct	Blyth Town FC	H	0–0	D
01 Oct	Russia	A	0–2	L

Croatia

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
05 Nov	Wales	A	2–1	W
01 Nov	Northern Ireland	A	0–2	L
29 Oct	Galatasaray SK	A	0–1	L
22 Oct	France	H	0–3	L
18 Oct	FC Bayern München	H	0–1	L
15 Oct	FK Shakhtar Donetsk	A	0–1	L

Key Stats

80% Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)

40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

0' That's the starting whistle at . Ninety minutes of football awaits between Wales and Croatia.
With this win, Croatia is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

Wales Lineups

Croatia Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

1 / 3

1.36 Wales xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.28 Croatia xG

I would bet for: Wales or Croatia 71%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Wales37% Draw29% Croatia34%

Actual: Croatia win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes54% 0% No46%

Avg goals/match: 2.64

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	91%	9%
± 1.5	74%	26%
± 2.5	48%	52%
± 3.5	27%	73%
± 4.5	13%	87%

Double Chance

Wales or Draw

66%

Draw or Croatia

63%

Wales or Croatia

71%

Half-Time Result

Wales27% Draw48% Croatia25%

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

13.4%

0 – 0

9.2%

1 – 0

8.7%

2 – 1

8.1%

0 – 1

8.1%

1 – 2

Actual

2 – 0

6.5%

0 – 2

5.7%

2 – 2

5.2%

3 – 1

3.7%

1 – 3

3.3%

3 – 0

2.9%

Asian Handicap — Wales

Handicap	Wales covers	Push	Croatia covers
-2.5	6%	—	94%
-2	6%	11%	82%
-1.5	18%	—	82%
-1	18%	20%	63%
-0.5	37%	—	63%
+0.5	66%	—	34%
+1	66%	18%	15%
+1.5	85%	—	15%
+2	85%	10%	5%
+2.5	95%	—	5%

Clean Sheet

Wales keeps clean sheet

29% ✓

Croatia keeps clean sheet

26% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.