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VfL Wolfsburg vs MSV Duisburg, 2014

1. Bundesliga 2014/15 · 2014
Sat 9 May 2015 · 13:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

VfL Wolfsburg vs MSV Duisburg — Bundesliga .

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

VfL Wolfsburg 1.53
Draw 4.33
MSV Duisburg 6.00

Head-to-Head

8
1
VfL Wolfsburg 9 games · Avg 3.8 goals MSV Duisburg

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 May MSV Duisburg H 0–1 L
02 May SV Drochtersen/Assel A 0–2 L
25 Apr SV Sandhausen 1916 H 1–0 W
18 Apr SC Rot-Weiss Oberhausen A 2–0 W
11 Apr FC Hansa Rostock H 3–0 W
04 Apr Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 May VfL Wolfsburg A 1–0 W
02 May Karlsruher SC H 0–0 D
25 Apr TuS Dassendorf A 2–3 L
18 Apr FC Erzgebirge Aue H 2–1 W
11 Apr CD Santa Clara A 1–2 L
05 Apr 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 0–0 D

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)
89% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

VfL Wolfsburg Lineups

MSV Duisburg Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 3
1.45 VfL Wolfsburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.91 MSV Duisburg xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
VfL Wolfsburg47% Draw29% MSV Duisburg24%
Actual: MSV Duisburg win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 2.36
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 68%
32%
± 2.5 42%
58%
± 3.5 22%
78%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

VfL Wolfsburg or Draw
75%
Draw or MSV Duisburg
53%
VfL Wolfsburg or MSV Duisburg
71%

Half-Time Result

VfL Wolfsburg33% Draw50% MSV Duisburg17%

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.4%
1 – 0
12.6%
0 – 0
11.6%
2 – 0
9.6%
2 – 1
8.7%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
5.4%
3 – 0
4.6%
3 – 1
4.3%
2 – 2
4.1%
0 – 2
3.8%
3 – 2
2.1%

Asian Handicap — VfL Wolfsburg

Handicap VfL Wolfsburg covers Push MSV Duisburg covers
-2.5 10% 90%
-2 10% 15% 76%
-1.5 24% 76%
-1 24% 24% 52%
-0.5 48% 52%
+0.5 78% 22%
+1 78% 14% 8%
+1.5 92% 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

VfL Wolfsburg keeps clean sheet
41%
MSV Duisburg keeps clean sheet
24%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.