VfL Wolfsburg vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen, 2016

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DFB-Pokal 2016/17 · 2016

VfL Wolfsburg

2 – 3

Full Time

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Wed 26 Apr 2017 · 18:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

VfL Wolfsburg vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen — DFB-Pokal .

VfL Wolfsburg 0 games · 0 pts
Bayer 04 Leverkusen 0 games · 0 pts

Head-to-Head

VfL Wolfsburg 26 games · Avg 3.2 goals Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Last 5 meetings

2017-04-26 VfL Wolfsburg 2–3 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2017-04-08 VfL Wolfsburg 4–1 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2016-11-19 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1–0 VfL Wolfsburg 2016-03-05 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 0–0 VfL Wolfsburg 2015-10-04 VfL Wolfsburg 5–1 Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Recent Form

VfL Wolfsburg

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
26 Apr	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	H	2–3	L
22 Apr	SV Linx 1949	H	2–2	D
18 Apr	Mohun Bagan AC	A	2–4	L
15 Apr	SV Drochtersen/Assel	A	0–0	D
12 Apr	Mohun Bagan AC	H	1–2	L
08 Apr	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	H	4–1	W

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
26 Apr	VfL Wolfsburg	A	3–2	W
22 Apr	VfB Stuttgart	A	3–2	W
19 Apr	Nimes Olympique	A	1–3	L
15 Apr	FC Hansa Rostock	H	3–1	W
12 Apr	Nimes Olympique	H	2–3	L
08 Apr	VfL Wolfsburg	A	1–4	L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (26 games)

58% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — VfL Wolfsburg and Bayer 04 Leverkusen get this one started.
With this win, Bayer 04 Leverkusen is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

VfL Wolfsburg Lineups

Bayer 04 Leverkusen Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Alejandro Grimaldo	3
Renato Steffen	3
Paulinho	3
Maximilian Arnold	3
Jeremie Frimpong	2
Florian Wirtz	2
Marin Pongracic	2
Lukas Nmecha	1

Head to Head

VfL Wolfsburg Form

2017-04-26 VfL Wolfsburg 2–3 Bayer 04 Leverkusen L 2017-04-22 VfL Wolfsburg 2–2 SV Linx 1949 D 2017-04-18 Mohun Bagan AC 4–2 VfL Wolfsburg L 2017-04-15 SV Drochtersen/Assel 0–0 VfL Wolfsburg D 2017-04-12 VfL Wolfsburg 1–2 Mohun Bagan AC L 2017-04-08 VfL Wolfsburg 4–1 Bayer 04 Leverkusen W

Bayer 04 Leverkusen Form

2017-04-26 VfL Wolfsburg 2–3 Bayer 04 Leverkusen W 2017-04-22 VfB Stuttgart 2–3 Bayer 04 Leverkusen W 2017-04-19 Nimes Olympique 3–1 Bayer 04 Leverkusen L 2017-04-15 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 3–1 FC Hansa Rostock W 2017-04-12 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2–3 Nimes Olympique L 2017-04-08 VfL Wolfsburg 4–1 Bayer 04 Leverkusen L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.84 VfL Wolfsburg xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.47 Bayer 04 Leverkusen xG

I would bet for: VfL Wolfsburg or Bayer 04 Leverkusen 74% + Both teams to score 65%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

VfL Wolfsburg42% Draw26% Bayer 04 Leverkusen32%

Actual: Bayer 04 Leverkusen win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes65% 0% No35%

Avg goals/match: 3.31

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	95%	5%
± 1.5	84%	16%
± 2.5	63%	37%
± 3.5	42%	58%
± 4.5	24%	76%

Double Chance

VfL Wolfsburg or Draw

69%

Draw or Bayer 04 Leverkusen

58%

VfL Wolfsburg or Bayer 04 Leverkusen

74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

VfL Wolfsburg34% Draw42% Bayer 04 Leverkusen24%

Actual: VfL Wolfsburg win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 2–3 not predicted

2 – 3

Actual

1 – 1

10.8%

2 – 1

8.7%

1 – 2

2 – 2

6.4%

2 – 0

6.2%

1 – 0

3 – 1

5.3%

0 – 0

5.2%

0 – 1

4.7%

0 – 2

3 – 2

3 – 0

3.7%

Asian Handicap — VfL Wolfsburg

Handicap	VfL Wolfsburg covers	Push	Bayer 04 Leverkusen covers
-2.5	11%	—	89%
-2	11%	14%	75%
-1.5	25%	—	75%
-1	25%	20%	55%
-0.5	45%	—	55%
+0.5	70%	—	30%
+1	70%	16%	14%
+1.5	86%	—	14%
+2	86%	9%	5%
+2.5	95%	—	5%

Clean Sheet

VfL Wolfsburg keeps clean sheet

24% ✓

Bayer 04 Leverkusen keeps clean sheet

17% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.