Sunday , 16 August 2026

VfB Stuttgart vs SC Freiburg, DFB-Pokal 2020-21 ROUND OF 32

DFB-Pokal · 2020-21
Wed 23 Dec 2020 · 19:45 UTC Mercedes-Benz Arena HT 45+2' · FT 45+4'

Overview

Match Preview

VfB Stuttgart vs SC FreiburgDFB-Pokal at Mercedes-Benz Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Stefan Lupp
  • Referee Felix Brych
  • Referee Mark Borsch
  • Referee Michael Bacher

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Dec SC Freiburg H 1–0 W
20 Dec VfL Wolfsburg A 0–1 L
15 Dec 1. FC Union Berlin H 2–2 D
12 Dec Borussia Dortmund A 5–1 W
06 Dec SV Werder Bremen A 2–1 W
28 Nov FC Bayern München H 1–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Dec VfB Stuttgart A 0–1 L
20 Dec Hertha BSC H 4–1 W
16 Dec FC Schalke 04 A 2–0 W
12 Dec Arminia Bielefeld H 2–0 W
05 Dec Borussia Mönchengladbach H 2–2 D
28 Nov FC Augsburg A 1–1 D

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! VfB Stuttgart welcome SC Freiburg for this crunch clash at Mercedes-Benz Arena.
  • 5' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. VfB Stuttgart needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 10' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 15' Brilliant from the ! Sasa Kalajdzic makes it 1-0 with a superb finish on 15.
  • 20' Jonathan Schmid has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 25' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 30' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 35' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 40' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both VfB Stuttgart and SC Freiburg are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 44' VfB Stuttgart receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 44.
  • 46' Tanguy Coulibaly makes way for Darko Churlinov at the 46 minute mark. A tactical switch from VfB Stuttgart.
  • 51' It looks surprising SC Freiburg does not make any changes. Dominique Heintz has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 55' The referee has no hesitation. Mateo Klimowicz is booked for VfB Stuttgart — Yellow card on 55.
  • 55' Kwon Changhoon has so much to prove this time. He replaces Jeong Wooyeong on 55 minute.
  • 60' SC Freiburg seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 61' The VfB Stuttgart bench stirs into life. Nicolas Gonzalez is withdrawn and Borna Sosa gets his opportunity.
  • 62' A change in the VfB Stuttgart ranks — Gonzalo Castro exits the field as Philipp Forster enters on 62.
  • 67' Kwon Changhoon has been relatively quiet despite scoring 6 goals in his last 312 appearances.
  • 72' SC Freiburg come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 73' It is a substitution in VfB Stuttgart team. Mateo Klimowicz is replaced by Daniel Didavi on 73 minute.
  • 77' A tactical swap from SC FreiburgNils Petersen on, Vincenzo Grifo off on 77 minutes.
  • 82' The travelling SC Freiburg supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 87' Both keepers have barely been tested. VfB Stuttgart and SC Freiburg are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • The final score is 1-0.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.37 VfB Stuttgart xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.28 SC Freiburg xG
I would bet for: VfB Stuttgart or SC Freiburg 72%

Match Result

✓ Correct
VfB Stuttgart41% Draw28% SC Freiburg31%
Actual: VfB Stuttgart win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 2.65
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 74%
26%
± 2.5 49%
51%
± 3.5 28%
72%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

VfB Stuttgart or Draw
69%
Draw or SC Freiburg
59%
VfB Stuttgart or SC Freiburg
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
VfB Stuttgart28% Draw47% SC Freiburg25%
Actual: VfB Stuttgart win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.3%
0 – 0
9.1%
1 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
8.2%
0 – 1
8%
1 – 2
7.6%
2 – 0
6.5%
0 – 2
5.7%
2 – 2
5.3%
3 – 1
3.7%
1 – 3
3.3%
3 – 0
2.9%

Asian Handicap — VfB Stuttgart

Handicap VfB Stuttgart covers Push SC Freiburg covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 11% 82%
-1.5 18% 82%
-1 18% 20% 62%
-0.5 38% 62%
+0.5 67% 33%
+1 67% 18% 15%
+1.5 85% 15%
+2 85% 10% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

VfB Stuttgart keeps clean sheet
29%
SC Freiburg keeps clean sheet
26%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.