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Valenciennes FC vs SSV Ulm 1846, 2014

Ligue 1 2014/15 · 2014
Sat 20 Dec 2014 · 19:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Valenciennes FC vs SSV Ulm 1846 — Ligue 1 .

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

Valenciennes FC 1.83
Draw 3.40
SSV Ulm 1846 4.75

Head-to-Head

1
1
2
Valenciennes FC 4 games · Avg 3.3 goals SSV Ulm 1846

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Dec SSV Ulm 1846 H 1–3 L
13 Dec Senegal A 0–2 L
06 Dec SM Caen H 0–4 L
03 Dec GFC Ajaccio A 2–1 W
29 Nov Nimes Olympique H 2–0 W
22 Nov AC Ajaccio A 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Dec Valenciennes FC A 3–1 W
13 Dec FK Partizani H 3–2 W
07 Dec AC Ajaccio H 2–3 L
04 Dec ES Troyes AC A 1–2 L
29 Nov Senegal H 2–1 W
22 Nov GFC Ajaccio A 0–0 D

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Valenciennes FC Lineups

SSV Ulm 1846 Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 3
1.17 Valenciennes FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.82 SSV Ulm 1846 xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 58% + Over 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Valenciennes FC27% Draw27% SSV Ulm 184646%
Actual: SSV Ulm 1846 win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes58% 0% No42%
Avg goals/match: 2.99
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 57%
43%
± 3.5 35%
65%
± 4.5 19%
81%

Double Chance

Valenciennes FC or Draw
54%
Draw or SSV Ulm 1846
73%
Valenciennes FC or SSV Ulm 1846
73%

Half-Time Result

Valenciennes FC19% Draw44% SSV Ulm 184637%

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.6%
1 – 2
9.4%
0 – 1
8.4%
0 – 2
8.2%
0 – 0
6.8%
2 – 1
6%
1 – 3
Actual
2 – 2
5.5%
1 – 0
5.1%
0 – 3
4.9%
2 – 0
3.4%
2 – 3
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Valenciennes FC

Handicap Valenciennes FC covers Push SSV Ulm 1846 covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 7% 90%
-1.5 10% 90%
-1 10% 14% 77%
-0.5 23% 77%
+0.5 49% 51%
+1 49% 22% 29%
+1.5 71% 29%
+2 71% 16% 13%
+2.5 87% 13%

Clean Sheet

Valenciennes FC keeps clean sheet
17%
SSV Ulm 1846 keeps clean sheet
32%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.