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Valenciennes FC vs ES Troyes AC, 2015

Ligue 1 2015/16 · 2015
Sun 13 Mar 2016 · 20:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Valenciennes FC vs ES Troyes AC — Ligue 1 .

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

Valenciennes FC 3.20
Draw 3.20
ES Troyes AC 2.38

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Mar ES Troyes AC H 2–2 D
06 Mar Red Star FC H 4–1 W
27 Feb Amiens SC A 2–1 W
21 Feb AS Nancy-Lorraine A 0–1 L
13 Feb Chamois Niortais FC H 1–0 W
07 Feb Paris FC A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Mar Valenciennes FC A 2–2 D
06 Mar AC Ajaccio H 5–1 W
28 Feb FC Girondins de Bordeaux H 2–1 W
21 Feb Paris FC A 0–1 L
14 Feb AS Nancy-Lorraine H 4–1 W
06 Feb Chamois Niortais FC A 3–0 W

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Valenciennes FC Lineups

ES Troyes AC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 3
1.45 Valenciennes FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.28 ES Troyes AC xG
I would bet for: Valenciennes FC or ES Troyes AC 72% + Both teams to score 56%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Valenciennes FC41% Draw28% ES Troyes AC31%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 2.73
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 51%
49%
± 3.5 29%
71%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

Valenciennes FC or Draw
69%
Draw or ES Troyes AC
59%
Valenciennes FC or ES Troyes AC
72%

Half-Time Result

Valenciennes FC29% Draw47% ES Troyes AC24%

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.1%
1 – 0
8.5%
0 – 0
8.5%
2 – 1
8.4%
1 – 2
7.4%
0 – 1
7.4%
2 – 0
6.7%
2 – 2
Actual
0 – 2
5.3%
3 – 1
4.1%
3 – 0
3.2%
1 – 3
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Valenciennes FC

Handicap Valenciennes FC covers Push ES Troyes AC covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 12% 81%
-1.5 19% 81%
-1 19% 20% 60%
-0.5 40% 60%
+0.5 68% 32%
+1 68% 18% 14%
+1.5 86% 14%
+2 86% 9% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

Valenciennes FC keeps clean sheet
29%
ES Troyes AC keeps clean sheet
24%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.