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Valenciennes FC vs AJ Auxerre, 2014

Ligue 1 2014/15 · 2014
Sat 7 Mar 2015 · 19:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Valenciennes FC vs AJ Auxerre — Ligue 1 .

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

Valenciennes FC 1.85
Draw 3.40
AJ Auxerre 4.75

Head-to-Head

3
8
4
Valenciennes FC 15 games · Avg 2.1 goals AJ Auxerre

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Mar AJ Auxerre H 1–0 W
28 Feb SV 07 Elversberg A 1–0 W
21 Feb Grenoble Foot 38 H 1–1 D
14 Feb Amiens SC A 1–2 L
07 Feb FC Sochaux-Montbeliard H 1–1 D
30 Jan FC Girondins de Bordeaux A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Mar Valenciennes FC A 0–1 L
28 Feb FK Partizani H 1–2 L
22 Feb SSV Ulm 1846 A 0–0 D
15 Feb AC Ajaccio H 0–2 L
07 Feb Senegal A 0–2 L
31 Jan GFC Ajaccio H 0–0 D

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. Valenciennes FC kicks off things out of here…
  • The final score is 1-0.

Lineups

Valenciennes FC Lineups

AJ Auxerre Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 3
1.05 Valenciennes FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.62 AJ Auxerre xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 76% + Under — clean sheet likely 68%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Valenciennes FC49% Draw32% AJ Auxerre19%
Actual: Valenciennes FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes32% 0% No68%
Avg goals/match: 1.67
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 79%
21%
± 1.5 50%
50%
± 2.5 24%
76%
± 3.5 10%
90%
± 4.5 3%
97%

Double Chance

Valenciennes FC or Draw
81%
Draw or AJ Auxerre
51%
Valenciennes FC or AJ Auxerre
68%

Half-Time Result

Valenciennes FC28% Draw59% AJ Auxerre13%

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
21.3%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
13.1%
0 – 1
10.1%
2 – 0
9.9%
2 – 1
6.5%
1 – 2
3.7%
3 – 0
3.4%
0 – 2
3.3%
3 – 1
2.4%
2 – 2
2.1%
4 – 0
0.9%

Asian Handicap — Valenciennes FC

Handicap Valenciennes FC covers Push AJ Auxerre covers
-2.5 6% 94%
-2 6% 12% 82%
-1.5 18% 82%
-1 18% 26% 56%
-0.5 44% 56%
+0.5 81% 19%
+1 81% 14% 5%
+1.5 95% 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Valenciennes FC keeps clean sheet
54%
AJ Auxerre keeps clean sheet
35%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.