Friday , 2 October 2026

UD Almería vs Real Zaragoza, Segunda Division 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Segunda Division · 2025-26
Sat 11 Oct 2025 · 16:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Oct Real Zaragoza H 4–2 W
04 Oct RC Deportivo La Coruña A 1–1 D
27 Sep UD Las Palmas A 1–0 W
20 Sep Real Sporting de Gijón H 2–1 W
13 Sep Real Valladolid CF A 1–3 L
07 Sep Real Racing Club de Santander H 2–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Oct UD Almería A 2–4 L
05 Oct Córdoba CF H 0–1 L
26 Sep CD Mirandés A 1–0 W
21 Sep AD Ceuta FC A 0–1 L
15 Sep Albacete Balompie H 0–0 D
06 Sep Real Valladolid CF H 1–1 D

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
57% Clean Sheets
UD Almería this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

UD Almería
0-15
3/–
16-30
1/1
31-45
5/1
46-60
1/1
61-75
1/–
76+
–/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

UD Almería
Javi Munoz 2 G 2 A
Nico Melamed 2 G 1 A
Miguel De la Fuente 2 G 1 A
Federico Bonini 1 G
Stefan Dzodic 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

UD Almería Lineups

Real Zaragoza Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.1 UD Almería xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.29 Real Zaragoza xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 65% + Both teams to score 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct
UD Almería57% Draw22% Real Zaragoza21%
Actual: UD Almería win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes63% 0% No37%
Avg goals/match: 3.39
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 85%
15%
± 2.5 65%
35%
± 3.5 43%
57%
± 4.5 26%
74%

Double Chance

UD Almería or Draw
79%
Draw or Real Zaragoza
43%
UD Almería or Real Zaragoza
78%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
UD Almería40% Draw40% Real Zaragoza20%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–2 not predicted
4 – 2
Actual
1 – 1
10%
2 – 1
9.3%
2 – 0
7.4%
1 – 0
6.6%
3 – 1
6.4%
2 – 2
5.9%
1 – 2
5.7%
3 – 0
5.1%
0 – 0
4.8%
3 – 2
4.2%
0 – 1
3.7%
4 – 1
3.4%

Asian Handicap — UD Almería

Handicap UD Almería covers Push Real Zaragoza covers
-2.5 17% — 83%
-2 17% 17% 66%
-1.5 34% — 66%
-1 34% 21% 45%
-0.5 55% — 45%
+0.5 78% — 22%
+1 78% 13% 10%
+1.5 90% — 10%
+2 90% 6% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

UD Almería keeps clean sheet
28% ✓
Real Zaragoza keeps clean sheet
13% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.