UD Almería vs Real Zaragoza, Segunda Division 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Segunda Division · 2025-26

UD Almería

4 – 2

Full Time

Real Zaragoza

Sat 11 Oct 2025 · 16:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

UD Almería vs Real Zaragoza — Segunda Division .

UD Almería 42 games · 75 pts (2026/27)
Real Zaragoza 42 games · 36 pts (2026/27)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Real Racing Club de Santander	42	82
2	RC Deportivo La Coruna	42	77
3	UD Almería	42	75
4	Malaga CF	42	73
5	UD Las Palmas	42	73
6	CD Castellon	42	72
7	Burgos CF	42	72
8	SD Eibar	42	67
9	Real Sporting de Gijon	42	61
10	Cordoba CF	42	61
11	Albacete Balompie	42	59
12	AD Ceuta FC	42	59
13	Andorra CF	42	58
14	Granada CF	42	48
15	Real Sociedad B	42	47
16	CD Leganes	42	46
17	Real Valladolid CF	42	46
18	Cadiz CF	42	43
19	CD Mirandes	42	40
20	SD Huesca	42	38
21	Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa	42	37
22	Real Zaragoza	42	36

Head-to-Head

UD Almería 4 games · Avg 4.0 goals Real Zaragoza

Last 5 meetings

2025-10-11 UD Almería 4–2 Real Zaragoza 2025-03-15 UD Almería 4–1 Real Zaragoza 2024-10-20 Real Zaragoza 1–2 UD Almería

Recent Form

UD Almería

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
11 Oct	Real Zaragoza	H	4–2	W
04 Oct	RC Deportivo La Coruna	A	1–1	D
27 Sep	UD Las Palmas	A	1–0	W
20 Sep	Real Sporting de Gijon	H	2–1	W
13 Sep	Real Valladolid CF	A	1–3	L
07 Sep	Real Racing Club de Santander	H	2–3	L

Real Zaragoza

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
11 Oct	UD Almería	A	2–4	L
05 Oct	Cordoba CF	H	0–1	L
26 Sep	CD Mirandes	A	1–0	W
21 Sep	AD Ceuta FC	A	0–1	L
15 Sep	Albacete Balompie	H	0–0	D
06 Sep	Real Valladolid CF	H	1–1	D

Season Stats

UD Almería		Real Zaragoza
#3	Position	#22
75	Points	36
42	Played	42
22 / 9 / 11	W / D / L	8 / 12 / 22
80	Scored	35
61	Conceded	59
+19	GD	-24
1.79	PPG	0.86
52%	Win %	19%

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)

75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

UD Almería are 3rd (75 pts). Real Zaragoza are 22nd (36 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' The game is set. UD Almería kicks off things out of here…
4-2 the final result. Real Zaragoza will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

UD Almería Lineups

Real Zaragoza Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Luis Suarez	3
Ivan Azon	1
Edgar Gonzalez	1
Marc Pubill	1
Nico Melamed	1

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

2.62 UD Almería xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.2 Real Zaragoza xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 72% + UD Almería to win 65%

Match Result

✓ Correct

UD Almería65% Draw19% Real Zaragoza16%

Actual: UD Almería win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes64% 0% No36%

Avg goals/match: 3.82

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	97%	3%
± 1.5	89%	11%
± 2.5	72%	28%
± 3.5	52%	48%
± 4.5	33%	67%

Double Chance

UD Almería or Draw

84%

Draw or Real Zaragoza

35%

UD Almería or Real Zaragoza

81%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

UD Almería50% Draw36% Real Zaragoza14%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–2 not predicted

4 – 2

Actual

2 – 1

8.8%

1 – 1

7.7%

2 – 0

7.6%

3 – 1

7.6%

3 – 0

6.5%

1 – 0

5.5%

2 – 2

5.2%

4 – 1

3 – 2

4.6%

4 – 0

4.2%

1 – 2

4.1%

0 – 0

3.3%

Asian Handicap — UD Almería

Handicap	UD Almería covers	Push	Real Zaragoza covers
-2.5	27%	—	73%
-2	27%	19%	54%
-1.5	46%	—	54%
-1	46%	20%	34%
-0.5	66%	—	34%
+0.5	85%	—	15%
+1	85%	9%	6%
+1.5	94%	—	6%
+2	94%	4%	2%
+2.5	98%	—	2%

Clean Sheet

UD Almería keeps clean sheet

31% ✓

Real Zaragoza keeps clean sheet

8% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.