UC Sampdoria vs Atalanta BC, 2017

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Serie A 2017/18 · 2017

UC Sampdoria

2 – 1

Full Time

Atalanta BC

Sat 31 Mar 2018 · 16:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

UC Sampdoria vs Atalanta BC — Serie A .

UC Sampdoria 0 games · 0 pts
Atalanta BC 0 games · 0 pts

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

UC Sampdoria 2.29

Draw 3.29

Atalanta BC 3.10

Head-to-Head

UC Sampdoria 18 games · Avg 2.6 goals Atalanta BC

Last 5 meetings

2018-03-31 UC Sampdoria 2–1 Atalanta BC 2017-10-29 Atalanta BC 4–1 UC Sampdoria 2017-05-14 Atalanta BC 1–1 UC Sampdoria 2016-12-18 UC Sampdoria 2–1 Atalanta BC 2016-03-20 Atalanta BC 0–1 UC Sampdoria

Recent Form

UC Sampdoria

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
31 Mar	Atalanta BC	H	2–1	W
18 Mar	Bologna FC 1909	A	2–3	L
10 Mar	NEROCA FC	A	0–1	L
25 Feb	Empoli FC	A	0–1	L
17 Feb	Chennai City FC	H	2–1	W
11 Feb	ACF Fiorentina	H	0–1	L

Atalanta BC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
31 Mar	UC Sampdoria	A	1–2	L
18 Mar	Udinese Calcio	H	0–5	L
11 Mar	Torino FC	A	1–4	L
25 Feb	Genoa CFC	H	2–1	W
18 Feb	Bologna FC 1909	A	0–1	L
11 Feb	NEROCA FC	H	2–0	W

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

0' Welcome to that hosts another battle between UC Sampdoria and Atalanta BC.
The referee brings this contest to a close. UC Sampdoria take all three points.

Lineups

UC Sampdoria Lineups

Atalanta BC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Duvan Zapata	4
Teun Koopmeiners	4
Joakim Maehle	3
Ademola Lookman	3
Robin Gosens	2
Francesco Caputo	2
Fabio Quagliarella	2
Rafael Toloi	2

Head to Head

UC Sampdoria Form

2018-03-31 UC Sampdoria 2–1 Atalanta BC W 2018-03-18 Bologna FC 1909 3–2 UC Sampdoria L 2018-03-10 NEROCA FC 1–0 UC Sampdoria L 2018-02-25 Empoli FC 1–0 UC Sampdoria L 2018-02-17 UC Sampdoria 2–1 Chennai City FC W 2018-02-11 UC Sampdoria 0–1 ACF Fiorentina L

Atalanta BC Form

2018-03-31 UC Sampdoria 2–1 Atalanta BC L 2018-03-18 Atalanta BC 0–5 Udinese Calcio L 2018-03-11 Torino FC 4–1 Atalanta BC L 2018-02-25 Atalanta BC 2–1 Genoa CFC W 2018-02-18 Bologna FC 1909 1–0 Atalanta BC L 2018-02-11 Atalanta BC 2–0 NEROCA FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.56 UC Sampdoria xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.09 Atalanta BC xG

I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct

UC Sampdoria50% Draw26% Atalanta BC24%

Actual: UC Sampdoria win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes53% 0% No47%

Avg goals/match: 2.65

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	91%	9%
± 1.5	74%	26%
± 2.5	49%	51%
± 3.5	28%	72%
± 4.5	14%	86%

Double Chance

UC Sampdoria or Draw

76%

Draw or Atalanta BC

50%

UC Sampdoria or Atalanta BC

74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

UC Sampdoria33% Draw47% Atalanta BC20%

Actual: Atalanta BC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

12.9%

1 – 0

10.1%

0 – 0

9.1%

2 – 1

Actual

2 – 0

8.4%

0 – 1

6.7%

1 – 2

6.3%

2 – 2

3 – 1

4.7%

3 – 0

4.3%

0 – 2

4.1%

3 – 2

2.7%

Asian Handicap — UC Sampdoria

Handicap	UC Sampdoria covers	Push	Atalanta BC covers
-2.5	10%	—	90%
-2	10%	14%	76%
-1.5	24%	—	76%
-1	24%	22%	53%
-0.5	47%	—	53%
+0.5	75%	—	25%
+1	75%	15%	10%
+1.5	90%	—	10%
+2	90%	7%	3%
+2.5	97%	—	3%

Clean Sheet

UC Sampdoria keeps clean sheet

34% ✓

Atalanta BC keeps clean sheet

22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.