Sunday , 16 August 2026

SM Caen vs Toulouse FC, Ligue 1 2018-19 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2018-19
2 1
Full Time
Tue 18 Dec 2018 · 18:30 UTC Stade Michel d'Ornano HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

SM Caen vs Toulouse FCLigue 1 at Stade Michel d'Ornano.

Match Details

  • Referee Julien Aube
  • Referee Antony Gautier
  • Referee Mickael Annonier
  • Referee Franck Schneider
  • Referee Guillaume Paradis

Head-to-Head

3
2
1
SM Caen 6 games · Avg 3.7 goals Toulouse FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Dec Toulouse FC H 2–1 W
09 Dec RC Strasbourg Alsace A 2–2 D
05 Dec Nimes Olympique H 1–2 L
01 Dec Angers SCO A 1–1 D
24 Nov AS Monaco FC H 0–1 L
11 Nov FC Girondins de Bordeaux A 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Dec SM Caen A 1–2 L
05 Dec Stade de Reims A 1–0 W
02 Dec Dijon Football Cote d'Or H 2–2 D
24 Nov Paris Saint-Germain FC A 0–1 L
10 Nov Amiens SC H 0–1 L
03 Nov RC Strasbourg Alsace A 1–1 D

Key Stats

83% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
83% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Temperatures are rising at Stade Michel d'Ornano as SM Caen face off against Toulouse FC in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
  • 5' SM Caen are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 10' It looks like no one’s ball. SM Caen is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 12' The SM Caen bench stirs into life. Prince Oniangue is withdrawn and Baissama Sankoh gets his opportunity.
  • 17' Francois Moubandje has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 18' What composure from Saif-Eddine Khaoui! The Tunisia international strokes it home. 1-0.
  • 23' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Toulouse FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 28' Bafode Diakite is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Toulouse FC so far.
  • 33' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 35' A meaty challenge results in booking for Yoel Armougom on 35.
  • 40' Toulouse FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 44' What composure from Max-Alain Gradel! The Cote d'Ivoire international strokes it home. 1-1.
  • 49' Toulouse FC player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
  • 54' It looks surprising SM Caen does not make any changes. Claudio Beauvue has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 58' Firmin Mubele makes way for Yaya Sanogo at the 58 minute mark. A tactical switch from Toulouse FC.
  • 63' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 67' Corentin Jean is ready to make an impact after coming on for Mathieu Dossevi at the 67 minute mark.
  • 69' It is a substitution in SM Caen team. Claudio Beauvue is replaced by Evens Joseph on 69 minute.
  • 74' It is a cagey affair so far. SM Caen in their trying to find a way past Toulouse FC's compact .
  • 79' SM Caen ring the changes. Saif-Eddine Khaoui has done his job and it is now time for Malik Tchokounte to step up.
  • 84' That is a Yellow card for SM Caen. Enzo Crivelli will be fuming at that decision.
  • 86' The referee shows Toulouse FC player a Yellow card on 86.
  • 90' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Faycal Fajr makes it 2-1.
  • 90' Another substitution for Toulouse FC to replace Jimmy Durmaz by Kalidou Sidibe on 90 minute.
  • It finishes all square. SM Caen and Toulouse FC share the spoils 2-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.41 SM Caen xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.07 Toulouse FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SM Caen47% Draw28% Toulouse FC25%
Actual: SM Caen win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.48
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 71%
29%
± 2.5 44%
56%
± 3.5 24%
76%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

SM Caen or Draw
74%
Draw or Toulouse FC
53%
SM Caen or Toulouse FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
SM Caen31% Draw49% Toulouse FC20%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.6%
1 – 0
10.8%
0 – 0
10.6%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
8.1%
0 – 1
7.9%
1 – 2
6.5%
2 – 2
4.6%
0 – 2
4.6%
3 – 1
4.1%
3 – 0
3.7%
1 – 3
2.3%

Asian Handicap — SM Caen

Handicap SM Caen covers Push Toulouse FC covers
-2.5 8% 92%
-2 8% 13% 79%
-1.5 21% 79%
-1 21% 22% 57%
-0.5 43% 57%
+0.5 73% 27%
+1 73% 16% 11%
+1.5 89% 11%
+2 89% 8% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

SM Caen keeps clean sheet
35%
Toulouse FC keeps clean sheet
25%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.