Wednesday , 30 September 2026

SM Caen vs Toulouse FC, Ligue 1 2018-19 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2018-19
2 – 1
Full Time
Tue 18 Dec 2018 · 18:30 UTC Stade Michel d'Ornano HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

SM Caen vs Toulouse FC — Ligue 1 at Stade Michel d'Ornano.

Match Details

  • Referee Julien Aube
  • Referee Antony Gautier
  • Referee Mickael Annonier
  • Referee Franck Schneider
  • Referee Guillaume Paradis

Head-to-Head

3
2
1
SM Caen 6 games · Avg 3.7 goals Toulouse FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Dec Toulouse FC H 2–1 W
09 Dec RC Strasbourg Alsace A 2–2 D
05 Dec Nimes Olympique H 1–2 L
01 Dec Angers SCO A 1–1 D
24 Nov AS Monaco FC H 0–1 L
11 Nov FC Girondins de Bordeaux A 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Dec SM Caen A 1–2 L
05 Dec Stade de Reims A 1–0 W
02 Dec Dijon Football Cote d'Or H 2–2 D
24 Nov Paris Saint-Germain FC A 0–1 L
10 Nov Amiens SC H 0–1 L
03 Nov RC Strasbourg Alsace A 1–1 D

Key Stats

83% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
83% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Toulouse FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Toulouse FC
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/2
46-60
3/–
61-75
2/3
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds Stade Michel d'Ornano will turn into a battlefield for SM Caen and Toulouse FC.
  • 5' SM Caen currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 10' SM Caen seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 12' SM Caen manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Baissama Sankoh is hanging Prince Oniangue on the field on 12 minute.
  • 17' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 18' A stunning finish from Saif-Eddine Khaoui — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 23' Firmin Mubele has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 3 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 28' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 28 minutes.
  • 33' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 35' Yoel Armougom was booked on 35.
  • 40' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 44' Against the run of play, Max-Alain Gradel has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 49' The referee has no hesitation. Yannick Cahuzac is booked for Toulouse FC — Yellow card on 49.
  • 54' It’s high time Alain Casanova made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 58' Time for substitution for Toulouse FC. Firmin Mubele is replaced by Yaya Sanogo.
  • 63' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 67' It is a substitution in Toulouse FC team. Mathieu Dossevi is replaced by Corentin Jean on 67 minute.
  • 69' SM Caen ring the changes. Claudio Beauvue has done his job and it is now time for Evens Joseph to step up.
  • 74' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 79' SM Caen ring the changes. Saif-Eddine Khaoui has done his job and it is now time for Malik Tchokounte to step up.
  • 84' A moment of madness from Enzo Crivelli on 84 minutes earns him a Yellow card. SM Caen will be frustrated.
  • 86' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Kelvin Amian Adou.
  • 90' Sensational shot from Faycal Fajr. SM Caen is back in the lead.
  • 90' Toulouse FC ring the changes. Jimmy Durmaz has done his job and it is now time for Kalidou Sidibe to step up.
  • Toulouse FC will have plenty to reflect on. SM Caen were simply the better side today.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.41 SM Caen xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.07 Toulouse FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SM Caen47% Draw28% Toulouse FC25%
Actual: SM Caen win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.48
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 71%
29%
± 2.5 44%
56%
± 3.5 24%
76%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

SM Caen or Draw
74%
Draw or Toulouse FC
53%
SM Caen or Toulouse FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
SM Caen31% Draw49% Toulouse FC20%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.6%
1 – 0
10.8%
0 – 0
10.6%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
8.1%
0 – 1
7.9%
1 – 2
6.5%
2 – 2
4.6%
0 – 2
4.6%
3 – 1
4.1%
3 – 0
3.7%
1 – 3
2.3%

Asian Handicap — SM Caen

Handicap SM Caen covers Push Toulouse FC covers
-2.5 8% — 92%
-2 8% 13% 79%
-1.5 21% — 79%
-1 21% 22% 57%
-0.5 43% — 57%
+0.5 73% — 27%
+1 73% 16% 11%
+1.5 89% — 11%
+2 89% 8% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

SM Caen keeps clean sheet
35% ✓
Toulouse FC keeps clean sheet
25% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.