Thursday , 2 July 2026

Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs Toulouse FC, Europe 2023-24 PLAYOFFS

UEFA Europa League · 2023-24
Thu 15 Feb 2024 · 20:00 UTC Estadio da Luz HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs Toulouse FCEurope at Estadio da Luz.

Match Details

  • Referee Donatas Rumsas
7 games this season 🟨 0.6/game 4.4 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Head-to-Head

1
1
Sport Lisboa e Benfica 2 games · Avg 1.5 goals Toulouse FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Feb Toulouse FC H 2–1 W
11 Feb Vitória SC A 2–2 D
04 Feb Gil Vicente FC H 3–0 W
29 Jan CF Estrela da Amadora A 4–1 W
19 Jan Boavista FC H 2–0 W
14 Jan Rio Ave FC H 4–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Feb Sport Lisboa e Benfica A 1–2 L
11 Feb FC Nantes H 1–2 L
04 Feb Stade de Reims A 3–2 W
28 Jan Racing Club de Lens H 0–2 L
14 Jan FC Metz A 1–0 W
20 Dec AS Monaco FC H 1–2 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Sport Lisboa e Benfica is hosting Toulouse FC for another epic battle.
  • 5' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Arthur Cabral made 238 appearances and scored 47 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 10' Supporters expect more eagerness from Rasmus Nicolaisen, as he is very good at scoring at Estadio da Luz with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 15' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 20' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Toulouse FC that had 420 games and scored 404 goals.
  • 25' It’s high time Carles Martínez made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 30' It looks like no one’s ball. Toulouse FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 35' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 35 minutes.
  • 37' It’s a booking for Toulouse FC player. Stijn Spierings gets a card.
  • 42' Yann Gboho has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 43' The referee shows Toulouse FC player a card on 43.
  • 48' Sport Lisboa e Benfica started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 48.
  • 53' Toulouse FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 58' The referee shows Toulouse FC player a card on 58.
  • 59' The Sport Lisboa e Benfica manager makes a substitution. Alvaro Carreras departs to be replaced by Alexander Bah.
  • 64' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 68' GOAL! Angel di Maria scores on 68.
  • 70' The Toulouse FC manager makes a substitution. Aron Donnum departs to be replaced by Shavy Warren Babicka.
  • 75' What an equalizer from Mikkel Desler!
  • 77' The Toulouse FC manager makes a substitution. Stijn Spierings departs to be replaced by Cristian Casseres Jr..
  • 82' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Anatolii Trubin suffering a number of foals already.
  • 86' The Toulouse FC manager makes a substitution. Yann Gboho departs to be replaced by Naatan Skytta.
  • 87' The supporters are chanting for Marcos Leonardo Almeida. He replaces Arthur Cabral on 87 minute.
  • 90' A meaty challenge results in booking for Naatan Skytta on 90.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Toulouse FC.

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.71 Sport Lisboa e Benfica xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.08 Toulouse FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Sport Lisboa e Benfica54% Draw25% Toulouse FC21%
Actual: Sport Lisboa e Benfica win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 2.79
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 52%
48%
± 3.5 31%
69%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

Sport Lisboa e Benfica or Draw
79%
Draw or Toulouse FC
46%
Sport Lisboa e Benfica or Toulouse FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Sport Lisboa e Benfica36% Draw45% Toulouse FC19%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.2%
1 – 0
9.7%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
8.8%
0 – 0
8%
1 – 2
5.9%
0 – 1
5.7%
3 – 1
5.3%
2 – 2
5.1%
3 – 0
4.9%
0 – 2
3.5%
3 – 2
3%

Asian Handicap — Sport Lisboa e Benfica

Handicap Sport Lisboa e Benfica covers Push Toulouse FC covers
-2.5 12% 88%
-2 12% 16% 72%
-1.5 28% 72%
-1 28% 23% 49%
-0.5 51% 49%
+0.5 77% 23%
+1 77% 14% 9%
+1.5 91% 9%
+2 91% 6% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Sport Lisboa e Benfica keeps clean sheet
35%
Toulouse FC keeps clean sheet
19%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.