Saturday , 14 November 2026

Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs Toulouse FC, Europe 2023-24 PLAYOFFS

UEFA Europa League · 2023-24
Thu 15 Feb 2024 · 20:00 UTC Estadio da Luz HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Head-to-Head

1
1
Sport Lisboa e Benfica 2 games · Avg 1.5 goals Toulouse FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Feb Toulouse FC H 2–1 W
11 Feb Vitória SC A 2–2 D
04 Feb Gil Vicente FC H 3–0 W
29 Jan CF Estrela da Amadora A 4–1 W
19 Jan Boavista FC H 2–0 W
14 Jan Rio Ave FC H 4–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Feb Sport Lisboa e Benfica A 1–2 L
11 Feb FC Nantes H 1–2 L
04 Feb Stade de Reims A 3–2 W
28 Jan Racing Club de Lens H 0–2 L
14 Jan FC Metz A 1–0 W
20 Dec AS Monaco FC H 1–2 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
25% Clean Sheets
Sport Lisboa e Benfica this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Sport Lisboa e Benfica
0-15
2/–
16-30
2/–
31-45
1/1
46-60
2/–
61-75
1/2
76+
4/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Sport Lisboa e Benfica
Gianluca Prestianni 2 G 2 A
Vangelis Pavlidis 2 G
Jhon Duran 2 G
Dodi Lukebakio 1 G 1 A
Jakub Kaminski 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.71 Sport Lisboa e Benfica xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.08 Toulouse FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Sport Lisboa e Benfica54% Draw25% Toulouse FC21%
Actual: Sport Lisboa e Benfica win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 2.79
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 52%
48%
± 3.5 31%
69%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

Sport Lisboa e Benfica or Draw
79%
Draw or Toulouse FC
46%
Sport Lisboa e Benfica or Toulouse FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Sport Lisboa e Benfica36% Draw45% Toulouse FC19%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.2%
1 – 0
9.7%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
8.8%
0 – 0
8%
1 – 2
5.9%
0 – 1
5.7%
3 – 1
5.3%
2 – 2
5.1%
3 – 0
4.9%
0 – 2
3.5%
3 – 2
3%

Asian Handicap — Sport Lisboa e Benfica

Handicap Sport Lisboa e Benfica covers Push Toulouse FC covers
-2.5 12% — 88%
-2 12% 16% 72%
-1.5 28% — 72%
-1 28% 23% 49%
-0.5 51% — 49%
+0.5 77% — 23%
+1 77% 14% 9%
+1.5 91% — 9%
+2 91% 6% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Sport Lisboa e Benfica keeps clean sheet
35% ✓
Toulouse FC keeps clean sheet
19% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.