Saturday , 22 August 2026

Tōkyō Verdy vs Shonan Bellmare, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2025
Sun 11 May 2025 · 06:00 UTC Ajinomoto Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
Koki Morita 54' Y
Y 88' Sho Fukuda

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 May Shonan Bellmare H 0–2 L
06 May Yokohama FC H 2–0 W
03 May Urawa Red Diamonds A 0–2 L
29 Apr Fagiano Okayama FC A 1–0 W
25 Apr Cerezo Osaka FC H 1–0 W
20 Apr Kawasaki Frontale A 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 May Tōkyō Verdy A 2–0 W
07 May Sanfrecce Hiroshima H 0–1 L
03 May Gamba Osaka A 0–4 L
29 Apr Avispa Fukuoka H 0–0 D
25 Apr FC Machida Zelvia A 1–0 W
20 Apr Kashiwa Reysol H 0–1 L

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Tōkyō Verdy this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Tōkyō Verdy
0-15
1/1
16-30
/
31-45
/
46-60
/
61-75
/1
76+
/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' That's the starting whistle at Ajinomoto Stadium. Ninety minutes of football awaits between Tōkyō Verdy and Shonan Bellmare.
  • 5' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Yuta Arai suffering a number of foals already.
  • 10' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 15' Itsuki Someno is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Tōkyō Verdy so far.
  • 20' Hijiri Onaga is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Tōkyō Verdy tonight.
  • 25' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 30' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 35' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 40' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 45' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Tōkyō Verdy needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 50' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 54' A meaty challenge results in booking for Koki Morita on 54.
  • 56' Shonan Bellmare manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Akito Suzuki is hanging Yutaro Oda on the field on 56 minute.
  • 58' Tokyo Verdy make a change. Kosuke Saito trudges off to be replaced by Yuan Matsuhashi on 58 minutes.
  • 62' What composure from Kohei Okuno! The Japan international strokes it home. 0-1.
  • 66' Time for substitution for Tokyo Verdy. Itsuki Someno is replaced by Yudai Kimura.
  • 71' A tactical swap from Shonan Bellmare — Hiroaki Okuno on, Masaki Ikeda off on 71 minutes.
  • 76' Luiz Phellype has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 14 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 81' It is a substitution in Tokyo Verdy team. Yuta Arai is replaced by Tetsuyuki Inami on 81 minute.
  • 86' Yuto Tsunashima has been relatively quiet despite scoring 5 goals in his last 96 appearances.
  • 88' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Sho Fukuda on 88 minutes.
  • 90' Another change for Shonan Bellmare made on 90 minute. Kohei Okuno leaves to be changed by Akimi Barada.
  • Tōkyō Verdy will have plenty to reflect on. Shonan Bellmare were simply the better side today.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.14 Tōkyō Verdy xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.17 Shonan Bellmare xG
I would bet for: Tōkyō Verdy or Shonan Bellmare 69% + Under 2.5 goals 60%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Tōkyō Verdy35% Draw31% Shonan Bellmare34%
Actual: Shonan Bellmare win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes48% 0% No52%
Avg goals/match: 2.31
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 67%
33%
± 2.5 40%
60%
± 3.5 21%
79%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

Tōkyō Verdy or Draw
66%
Draw or Shonan Bellmare
65%
Tōkyō Verdy or Shonan Bellmare
69%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Tōkyō Verdy24% Draw51% Shonan Bellmare25%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.2%
0 – 0
12.2%
0 – 1
10.4%
1 – 0
10.1%
1 – 2
7.5%
2 – 1
7.3%
0 – 2
Actual
2 – 0
6.2%
2 – 2
4.4%
1 – 3
3%
3 – 1
2.8%
0 – 3
2.5%

Asian Handicap — Tōkyō Verdy

Handicap Tōkyō Verdy covers Push Shonan Bellmare covers
-2.5 4% 96%
-2 4% 10% 86%
-1.5 14% 86%
-1 14% 19% 67%
-0.5 33% 67%
+0.5 65% 35%
+1 65% 20% 15%
+1.5 85% 15%
+2 85% 10% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

Tōkyō Verdy keeps clean sheet
32%
Shonan Bellmare keeps clean sheet
33%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.