Sydney FC vs Brisbane Roar FC, A League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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A League · 2025-26

Sydney FC

1 – 0

Full Time

Brisbane Roar FC

Sat 21 Feb 2026 · 06:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Sydney FC vs Brisbane Roar FC — A League .

Sydney FC 26 games · 39 pts (2026/27)
Brisbane Roar FC 26 games · 26 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Alex King
Referee Daniel Ilievski (Australia)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Newcastle United Jets FC	26	48
2	Adelaide United FC	26	43
3	Auckland FC	26	42
4	Melbourne Victory FC	26	40
5	Sydney FC	26	39
6	Melbourne City FC	26	38
7	Macarthur FC	26	34
8	Wellington Phoenix FC	26	33
9	Central Coast Mariners FC	26	32
10	Perth Glory FC	26	31
11	Brisbane Roar FC	26	26
12	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	26	21

Head-to-Head

Sydney FC 20 games · Avg 2.8 goals Brisbane Roar FC

Last 5 meetings

2026-02-21 Sydney FC 1–0 Brisbane Roar FC 2025-01-18 Sydney FC 3–4 Brisbane Roar FC 2024-11-01 Brisbane Roar FC 2–3 Sydney FC 2024-03-10 Sydney FC 1–1 Brisbane Roar FC 2024-01-06 Brisbane Roar FC 1–2 Sydney FC

Recent Form

Sydney FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
21 Feb	Brisbane Roar FC	H	1–0	W
17 Feb	Auckland FC	H	1–1	D
14 Feb	Adelaide United FC	H	1–2	L
07 Feb	Auckland FC	A	0–1	L
31 Jan	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	H	4–1	W
26 Jan	Melbourne Victory FC	A	0–4	L

Brisbane Roar FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
21 Feb	Sydney FC	A	0–1	L
14 Feb	Melbourne Victory FC	A	1–1	D
07 Feb	Central Coast Mariners FC	H	1–2	L
31 Jan	Newcastle United Jets FC	A	1–4	L
24 Jan	Adelaide United FC	H	2–3	L
16 Jan	Perth Glory FC	A	2–1	W

Season Stats

Sydney FC		Brisbane Roar FC
#5	Position	#11
39	Points	26
26	Played	26
11 / 6 / 9	W / D / L	6 / 8 / 12
33	Scored	27
25	Conceded	36
+8	GD	-9
1.50	PPG	1.00
42%	Win %	23%

Key Stats

65% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Sydney FC are 5th (39 pts). Brisbane Roar FC are 11th (26 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' Sydney FC have kicked off against Brisbane Roar FC. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
Brisbane Roar FC will have plenty to reflect on. Sydney FC were simply the better side today.

Lineups

Sydney FC Lineups

Brisbane Roar FC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Adam Le Fondre	8
Henry Hore	4
Nikola Mileusnic	3
Dylan Wenzel-Halls	3
Robert Mak	2
Fabio	2
Anthony Caceres	2
Kosta Barbarouses	1

Head to Head

Sydney FC Form

2026-02-21 Sydney FC 1–0 Brisbane Roar FC W 2026-02-17 Sydney FC 1–1 Auckland FC D 2026-02-14 Sydney FC 1–2 Adelaide United FC L 2026-02-07 Auckland FC 1–0 Sydney FC L 2026-01-31 Sydney FC 4–1 Western Sydney Wanderers FC W 2026-01-26 Melbourne Victory FC 4–0 Sydney FC L

Brisbane Roar FC Form

2026-02-21 Sydney FC 1–0 Brisbane Roar FC L 2026-02-14 Melbourne Victory FC 1–1 Brisbane Roar FC D 2026-02-07 Brisbane Roar FC 1–2 Central Coast Mariners FC L 2026-01-31 Newcastle United Jets FC 4–1 Brisbane Roar FC L 2026-01-24 Brisbane Roar FC 2–3 Adelaide United FC L 2026-01-16 Perth Glory FC 1–2 Brisbane Roar FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

1.61 Sydney FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.93 Brisbane Roar FC xG

I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct

Sydney FC53% Draw26% Brisbane Roar FC21%

Actual: Sydney FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes49% 0% No51%

Avg goals/match: 2.54

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	90%	10%
± 1.5	72%	28%
± 2.5	46%	54%
± 3.5	26%	74%
± 4.5	12%	88%

Double Chance

Sydney FC or Draw

79%

Draw or Brisbane Roar FC

47%

Sydney FC or Brisbane Roar FC

74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Sydney FC36% Draw47% Brisbane Roar FC17%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

12.7%

1 – 0

Actual

2 – 0

9.9%

0 – 0

9.9%

2 – 1

9.2%

0 – 1

6.3%

1 – 2

5.3%

3 – 0

5.2%

3 – 1

2 – 2

4.3%

0 – 2

3.3%

3 – 2

2.4%

Asian Handicap — Sydney FC

Handicap	Sydney FC covers	Push	Brisbane Roar FC covers
-2.5	12%	—	88%
-2	12%	16%	72%
-1.5	28%	—	72%
-1	28%	24%	48%
-0.5	52%	—	48%
+0.5	80%	—	20%
+1	80%	13%	7%
+1.5	93%	—	7%
+2	93%	5%	2%
+2.5	98%	—	2%

Clean Sheet

Sydney FC keeps clean sheet

40% ✗

Brisbane Roar FC keeps clean sheet

21% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.