Sweden vs Germany, 2017
Overview
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
Key Stats
67%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
H2H (3 games)
33%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Lineups
Sweden Lineups
Germany Lineups
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Marco Reus | 1 |
| Toni Kroos | 1 |
| Ola Toivonen | 1 |
| Marco Reus | 1 |
| Toni Kroos | 1 |
| Ola Toivonen | 1 |
Sweden Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.11
Sweden xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.89
Germany xG
I would bet for:
Sweden or Draw 72% + Under 2.5 goals 68%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Sweden win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 84% |
|
16% |
| ± 1.5 | 60% |
|
40% |
| ± 2.5 | 32% |
|
68% |
| ± 3.5 | 15% |
|
85% |
| ± 4.5 | 6% |
|
94% |
Double Chance
Sweden or Draw
72%
Draw or Germany
59%
Sweden or Germany
68%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
16%
1 – 1
14.3%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
10.7%
2 – 0
7.9%
2 – 1
7.2%
1 – 2
5.8%
0 – 2
5.1%
2 – 2
3.4%
3 – 0
2.9%
3 – 1
2.7%
1 – 3
1.8%
Asian Handicap — Sweden
| Handicap | Sweden covers | Push | Germany covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -2 | 5% | 11% | 84% |
| -1.5 | 16% | — | 84% |
| -1 | 16% | 22% | 62% |
| -0.5 | 38% | — | 62% |
| +0.5 | 73% | — | 27% |
| +1 | 73% | 18% | 10% |
| +1.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +2 | 90% | 7% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Sweden keeps clean sheet
41%
✗
Germany keeps clean sheet
34%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.