Sweden vs Belgium, European Championship 2016 GROUP STAGE
Overview
Match Preview
Sweden vs Belgium — European Championship .
Match Details
- Referee Bastian Dankert
- Referee Matej Jug
- Referee Stefan Lupp
- Referee Felix Brych
- Referee Mark Borsch
- Referee Marco Fritz
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
Key Stats
33%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
H2H (3 games)
33%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
50%
Clean Sheets
Belgium this season
Belgium this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Belgium
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
–/–
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Sweden launch into their encounter with Belgium.
- 5' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Sweden side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 10' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 15' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 15 minutes.
- 20' Thomas Vermaelen has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 25' Romelu Lukaku has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 3 appearances with only 3 goals this season.
- 30' It’s a booking for Belgium player. Thomas Meunier gets a Yellow card.
- 33' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Albin Ekdal.
- 36' Erik Berg has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 36.
- 41' Sweden are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Belgium's shape.
- 45' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Axel Witsel.
- 50' Supporters expect more eagerness from Dries Mertens, as he is very good at scoring at with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 55' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 60' Over 60 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 63' Fresh legs for Sweden! John Guidetti comes on to replace Markus Berg.
- 68' Belgium have won 52 goals from 123 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 69' Jimmy Durmaz is replacing Sebastian Larsson for the Sweden side.
- 70' Belgium ring the changes. Yannick Carrasco has done his job and it is now time for Dries Mertens to step up.
- 75' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 80' It looks like no one’s ball. Sweden is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 82' Sweden manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Erkan Zengin is hanging Emil Forsberg on the field on 82 minute.
- 84' The deadlock is broken! Radja Nainggolan gets on the scoresheet on 84 minutes.
- 87' Belgium make a change. Romelu Lukaku trudges off to be replaced by Christian Benteke on 87 minutes.
- 90' The supporters are chanting for Divock Origi. He replaces Eden Hazard on 90 minute.
- Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 0-1 draw is a fair result on the day.
Lineups
Sweden Lineups
Starting XI
- 5
- 14
-
6
Emil Forsberg ↓ Erkan Zengin 82'
- 8
- 10
- 4
- 7
-
11
Markus Berg ↓ John Guidetti 63'
- 1
- 9
- 3
Bench
- 17
- 13
-
21
Jimmy Durmaz ↑ 69'
- 19
-
20
John Guidetti ↑ 63'
- 12
- 15
- 18
- 2
- 16
- 23
-
10
Erkan Zengin ↑ 82'
Coach
Erik Hamren
Belgium Lineups
Starting XI
-
10
Eden Hazard C ↓ Divock Origi 90'
- 7
- 5
- 2
- 9
- 16
- 6
- 3
- 1
- 4
- 11
Bench
- 18
- 12
-
17
Divock Origi ↑ 90'
-
20
Christian Benteke ↑ 87'
- 19
- 8
- 15
- 23
- 22
-
14
Dries Mertens ↑ 70'
- 21
- 13
Coach
Marc Wilmots
H2H
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
0.65
Sweden xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.05
Belgium xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 76% + Belgium or Draw 75%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Belgium win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 1.7
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 79% |
|
21% |
| ± 1.5 | 51% |
|
49% |
| ± 2.5 | 24% |
|
76% |
| ± 3.5 | 10% |
|
90% |
| ± 4.5 | 3% |
|
97% |
Double Chance
Sweden or Draw
59%
Draw or Belgium
75%
Sweden or Belgium
65%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
20.9%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 1
13.4%
1 – 0
10.4%
0 – 2
9.5%
1 – 2
6.5%
2 – 1
3.9%
2 – 0
3.5%
0 – 3
3.3%
1 – 3
2.4%
2 – 2
2.3%
0 – 4
0.9%
Asian Handicap — Sweden
| Handicap | Sweden covers | Push | Belgium covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 1% | — | 99% |
| -2 | 1% | 5% | 94% |
| -1.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -1 | 6% | 15% | 80% |
| -0.5 | 20% | — | 80% |
| +0.5 | 57% | — | 43% |
| +1 | 57% | 25% | 17% |
| +1.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
| +2 | 83% | 12% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
Sweden keeps clean sheet
36%
✓
Belgium keeps clean sheet
53%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.