Swansea City AFC vs Birmingham City FC, Championship 2018-19 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Swansea City AFC vs Birmingham City FC — Championship at Liberty Stadium.
- Swansea City AFC 46 games · 64 pts (2026/27)
- Birmingham City FC 46 games · 64 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Steve Martin
- Referee Gavin Ward
- Referee Mark Pottage
- Referee Dean Treleaven
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry City FC | 46 | 95 |
| 2 | Ipswich Town FC | 46 | 84 |
| 3 | Millwall FC | 46 | 83 |
| 4 | Southampton FC | 46 | 80 |
| 5 | Middlesbrough FC | 46 | 80 |
| 6 | Hull City AFC | 46 | 73 |
| 7 | Wrexham AFC | 46 | 71 |
| 8 | Derby County FC | 46 | 69 |
| 9 | Norwich City FC | 46 | 65 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 46 | 64 |
| 11 | Swansea City AFC | 46 | 64 |
| 12 | Bristol City FC | 46 | 62 |
| 13 | Sheffield United FC | 46 | 60 |
| 14 | Preston North End FC | 46 | 60 |
| 15 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 46 | 58 |
| 16 | Watford FC | 46 | 57 |
| 17 | Stoke City FC | 46 | 55 |
| 18 | Portsmouth FC | 46 | 55 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 46 | 53 |
| 20 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 46 | 52 |
| 21 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 46 | 51 |
| 22 | Oxford United FC | 46 | 47 |
| 23 | Leicester City FC | 46 | 46 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wednesday FC | 46 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan | Birmingham City FC | H | 3–3 | D |
| 26 Jan | Gillingham FC | H | 4–1 | W |
| 19 Jan | Sheffield United FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Jan | Preston North End FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 05 Jan | Aston Villa FC | A | 3–0 | W |
| 01 Jan | Reading FC | A | 4–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan | Swansea City AFC | A | 3–3 | D |
| 18 Jan | Norwich City FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 12 Jan | Middlesbrough FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 05 Jan | West Ham United FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 01 Jan | Sheffield Wednesday FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 29 Dec | Brentford FC | H | 0–0 | D |
Season Stats
| Swansea City AFC | Birmingham City FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #11 | Position | #10 |
| 64 | Points | 64 |
| 46 | Played | 46 |
| 18 / 10 / 18 | W / D / L | 17 / 13 / 16 |
| 57 | Scored | 57 |
| 59 | Conceded | 56 |
| -2 | GD | +1 |
| 1.39 | PPG | 1.39 |
| 39% | Win % | 37% |
Key Stats
57%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
H2H (14 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Swansea City AFC are 11th (64 pts). Birmingham City FC are 10th (64 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' In just a few seconds Liberty Stadium will turn into a battlefield for Swansea City AFC and Birmingham City FC.
- 5' The travelling Birmingham City FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 10' The 41-year-old Lee Camp has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 15' Swansea City AFC have won 472 goals from 383 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 16' Jay Fulton is ready to make an impact after coming on for Leroy Fer at the 16 minute mark.
- 21' It’s high time Graham Potter made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 22' The deadlock is broken! Daniel James gets on the scoresheet on 22 minutes.
- 27' Connor Roberts has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 1 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 30' It’s a booking for Swansea City AFC player. Connor Roberts gets a Yellow card.
- 31' Kristian Pedersen has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 31.
- 35' GOAL! Jacques Maghoma fires home to make it 1-1!
- 38' Maikel Kieftenbeld was booked on 38.
- 43' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Swansea City AFC and Birmingham City FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 45' The referee shows Birmingham City FC player a Red card on 45.
- 46' The Birmingham City FC manager makes a substitution. Craig Gardner departs to be replaced by Wes Harding.
- 51' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 56' Jefferson Montero is ready to make an impact after coming on for Nathan Dyer at the 56 minute mark.
- 60' Maxime Colin has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 60.
- 65' Sensational shot from Oliver McBurnie. Swansea City AFC is back in the lead.
- 67' Erwin Mulder does the damage! The net is bulging and Swansea City AFC surge ahead!
- 67' The supporters are chanting for Isaac Vassell. He replaces Lukas Jutkiewicz on 67 minute.
- 71' Magnificent from Che Adams! That is 83 goals in 383 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 71' Another change for Swansea City AFC made on 71 minute. Connor Roberts leaves to be changed by Barry McKay.
- 76' Swansea City AFC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Birmingham City FC backline.
- 81' Birmingham City FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 84' Birmingham City FC ring the changes. Jacques Maghoma has done his job and it is now time for Gary Gardner to step up.
- 89' Birmingham City FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 90' Magnificent from Oliver McBurnie! That is 66 goals in 383 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 90' The referee shows Birmingham City FC player a Yellow card on 90.
- What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — Swansea City AFC 3-3 Birmingham City FC.
Lineups
Swansea City AFC Lineups
Starting XI
- 17
- 10
- 9
- 21
- 25
- 26
- 5
- 20
-
8
Leroy Fer C ↓ Jay Fulton 16'
-
12
Nathan Dyer ↓ Jefferson Montero 56'
-
23
Connor Roberts ↓ Barrie McKay 71'
Bench
- 1
-
27
Jay Fulton ↑ 16'
- 28
-
19
Barrie McKay ↑ 71'
-
7
Jefferson Montero ↑ 56'
- 24
- 50
Coach
Graham Potter
Birmingham City FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 1
- 28
- 5
- 6
-
19
Jacques Maghoma ↓ Gary Gardner 84'
- 9
-
8
Craig Gardner ↓ Wes Harding 46'
- 12
- 23
- 10
- 3
Bench
- 27
- 25
-
45
Wes Harding ↑ 46'
-
11
Isaac Vassell ↑ 67'
-
20
Gary Gardner ↑ 84'
- 7
- 18
Coach
Garry Monk
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Scott Hogan | 3 |
| Lukas Jutkiewicz | 2 |
| Joel Piroe | 2 |
| Siriki Dembele | 2 |
| Oliver McBurnie | 2 |
| Matt Grimes | 2 |
| Troy Deeney | 2 |
| Borja Baston | 1 |
Head to Head
Swansea City AFC Form
2019-01-29
Swansea City AFC
3–3
Birmingham City FC
D
2019-01-26
Swansea City AFC
4–1
Gillingham FC
W
2019-01-19
Swansea City AFC
1–0
Sheffield United FC
W
2019-01-12
Preston North End FC
1–1
Swansea City AFC
D
2019-01-05
Aston Villa FC
0–3
Swansea City AFC
W
2019-01-01
Reading FC
1–4
Swansea City AFC
W
Birmingham City FC Form
2019-01-29
Swansea City AFC
3–3
Birmingham City FC
D
2019-01-18
Norwich City FC
3–1
Birmingham City FC
L
2019-01-12
Birmingham City FC
1–2
Middlesbrough FC
L
2019-01-05
West Ham United FC
2–0
Birmingham City FC
L
2019-01-01
Sheffield Wednesday FC
1–1
Birmingham City FC
D
2018-12-29
Birmingham City FC
0–0
Brentford FC
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.8
Swansea City AFC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.35
Birmingham City FC xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 62% + Over 2.5 goals 60%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.15
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 82% |
|
18% |
| ± 2.5 | 60% |
|
40% |
| ± 3.5 | 38% |
|
62% |
| ± 4.5 | 22% |
|
78% |
Double Chance
Swansea City AFC or Draw
74%
Draw or Birmingham City FC
51%
Swansea City AFC or Birmingham City FC
76%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✗ 3–3 not predicted3 – 3Actual
1 – 1
11.3%
2 – 1
9%
1 – 0
7%
2 – 0
6.9%
1 – 2
6.8%
2 – 2
6.1%
0 – 0
5.9%
3 – 1
5.4%
0 – 1
5%
3 – 0
4%
0 – 2
3.9%
3 – 2
3.7%
Asian Handicap — Swansea City AFC
| Handicap | Swansea City AFC covers | Push | Birmingham City FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -2 | 12% | 14% | 74% |
| -1.5 | 26% | — | 74% |
| -1 | 26% | 21% | 53% |
| -0.5 | 47% | — | 53% |
| +0.5 | 72% | — | 28% |
| +1 | 72% | 15% | 13% |
| +1.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
| +2 | 87% | 8% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
Swansea City AFC keeps clean sheet
27%
✓
Birmingham City FC keeps clean sheet
17%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

