Thursday , 2 July 2026

Spezia Calcio vs US Cremonese, Serie B 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Serie B · 2024-25
Fri 9 May 2025 · 18:30 UTC Stadio Alberto Picco 9,357 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 13' Tommaso Barbieri
0–2 17' Paulo Dentello
0–3 43' Jari Vandeputte
Francesco Esposito 69' 1–3
Gianluca Lapadula pen 75' 2–3

Overview

Match Preview

Spezia Calcio vs US CremoneseSerie B at Stadio Alberto Picco.

Match Details

  • Referee Daniele Rutella (Italy)
  • Assistant 1 Domenico Rocca
  • Assistant 2 Tiziana Trasciatti (Italy)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 May US Cremonese H 2–3 L
04 May AC Reggiana A 1–2 L
01 May US Salernitana 1919 H 2–0 W
25 Apr Frosinone Calcio A 2–2 D
13 Apr Mantova 1911 SSD A 2–2 D
06 Apr UC Sampdoria H 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 May Spezia Calcio A 3–2 W
04 May US Sassuolo Calcio H 1–1 D
01 May UC Sampdoria A 0–0 D
25 Apr Mantova 1911 SSD H 4–2 W
13 Apr SS Juve Stabia H 1–1 D
04 Apr AC Reggiana A 2–1 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
16% Clean Sheets
Spezia Calcio this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Spezia Calcio
0-15
1/2
16-30
1/4
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/
61-75
4/4
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.27 Spezia Calcio xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.43 US Cremonese xG
I would bet for: Spezia Calcio or US Cremonese 72% + Both teams to score 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Spezia Calcio32% Draw28% US Cremonese40%
Actual: US Cremonese win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 2.7
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 50%
50%
± 3.5 29%
71%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

Spezia Calcio or Draw
60%
Draw or US Cremonese
68%
Spezia Calcio or US Cremonese
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Spezia Calcio24% Draw47% US Cremonese29%
Actual: US Cremonese win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 2–3 not predicted
2 – 3
Actual
1 – 1
13.1%
0 – 0
8.7%
0 – 1
8.7%
1 – 2
8.4%
1 – 0
7.5%
2 – 1
7.4%
0 – 2
6.7%
2 – 2
5.4%
2 – 0
5.3%
1 – 3
4%
0 – 3
3.2%
3 – 1
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Spezia Calcio

Handicap Spezia Calcio covers Push US Cremonese covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 9% 86%
-1.5 14% 86%
-1 14% 18% 68%
-0.5 32% 68%
+0.5 61% 39%
+1 61% 20% 19%
+1.5 81% 19%
+2 81% 12% 7%
+2.5 93% 7%

Clean Sheet

Spezia Calcio keeps clean sheet
25%
US Cremonese keeps clean sheet
29%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.