Spain vs Ukraine, 2017
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Overview
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
Key Stats
75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history -
Events
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Lineups
Spain Lineups
Ukraine Lineups
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H2H
Head to Head
Spain Form
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Predictions
Prediction accuracy3 / 41.69 Spain xGExpected GoalsDixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo1.66 Ukraine xGI would bet for: Spain or Ukraine 74% + Both teams to score 66%Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Ukraine winBoth Teams to Score
✓ CorrectAvg goals/match: 3.35Actual: Yes — both scoredOver / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5Line Over Under ± 0.5 95% 5% ± 1.5 85% 15% ± 2.5 64% 36% ± 3.5 43% 57% ± 4.5 25% 75% Double Chance
Spain or Draw 63%Draw or Ukraine 63%Spain or Ukraine 74%Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Ukraine win at HTCorrect Score
✗ 3–4 not predicted3 – 4Actual1 – 1 10.7%2 – 1 8%1 – 2 7.9%2 – 2 6.6%1 – 0 5.2%0 – 1 5.1%2 – 0 5%0 – 0 5%0 – 2 4.8%3 – 1 4.5%1 – 3 4.3%3 – 2 3.8%Asian Handicap — Spain
Handicap Spain covers Push Ukraine covers -2.5 8% — 92% -2 8% 12% 80% -1.5 20% — 80% -1 20% 18% 62% -0.5 38% — 62% +0.5 63% — 37% +1 63% 18% 19% +1.5 81% — 19% +2 81% 11% 8% +2.5 92% — 8% Clean Sheet
Spain keeps clean sheet 20% ✓Ukraine keeps clean sheet 19% ✓Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.