Spain vs Sweden, Women World Cup 2023 SEMI FINALS
Overview
Match Preview
Spain vs Sweden — Women World Cup at Eden Park.
Match Details
- Referee Armando Villarreal
- Referee Edina Alves Batista
15 games this season
🟨 2.5/game
⚽ 8.9 goals/game
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug | Sweden | H | 2–1 | W |
| 11 Aug | Netherlands | H | 2–1 | W |
| 05 Aug | Switzerland | A | 5–1 | W |
| 31 Jul | Japan | A | 0–4 | L |
| 26 Jul | Zambia | H | 5–0 | W |
| 21 Jul | Costa Rica | H | 3–0 | W |
Key Stats
100%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (1 games)
H2H (1 games)
100%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
43%
Clean Sheets
Spain this season
Spain this season
43%
Clean Sheets
Sweden this season
Sweden this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Spain
0-15
4/1
16-30
4/2
31-45
2/1
46-60
–/–
61-75
3/–
76+
5/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Sweden
0-15
–/–
16-30
1/–
31-45
4/–
46-60
2/1
61-75
3/–
76+
4/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Spain
| Aitana Bonmati | 3 G | 2 A |
| Jenni Hermoso | 3 G | 2 A |
| Alba Redondo | 3 G | 1 A |
| Olga | 2 G | |
| Salma Paralluelo | 2 G |
Sweden
| Amanda Ilestedt | 4 G | |
| Rebecka Blomqvist | 3 G | 1 A |
| Fridolina Rolfo | 3 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The wait is over. Spain get us underway at Eden Park.
- 5' With 0 assists to his name this season, Elin Rubensson is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Sweden.
- 10' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Kosovare Asllani made 11 appearances and scored 3 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 15' Magdalena Eriksson needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 20' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 25' Spain seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 30' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 35' Irene Paredes, a , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 40' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 45' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Spain and Sweden are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 50' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 55' It looks surprising Sweden does not make any changes. Aitana Bonmati has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 57' Salma Paralluelo has so much to prove this time. He replaces Alexia Putellas on 57 minute.
- 62' Sweden have won 24 goals from 11 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 67' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Spain side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 72' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Spain and Sweden are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 73' Fresh legs for Spain! Eva Navarro comes on to replace Alba Redondo.
- 77' Stina Blackstenius makes way for Rebecka Blomqvist at the 77 minute mark. A tactical switch from Sweden.
- 81' Salma Paralluelo has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 81 minutes.
- 86' Sweden is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 87' The Sweden manager makes a substitution. Elin Rubensson departs to be replaced by Lina Hurtig.
- 88' Rebecka Blomqvist doubles the advantage! 1-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 89' Against the run of play, Olga has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 90' The supporters are chanting for Esther. He replaces Mariona Caldentey on 90 minute.
- 2-1 the final result. Sweden will be bitterly disappointed.
Lineups
Spain Lineups
Starting XI
- 6
- 2
- 4
- 19
- 3
- 10
- 23
- 14
-
17
Alba Redondo ↓ Eva Navarro 73'
-
8
Mariona Caldentey ↓ Esther 90'
- 11
Bench
-
9
Esther ↑ 90'
- 1
- 5
- 22
-
18
Salma Paralluelo ↑ 57'
- 13
- 20
- 21
- 7
- 16
-
15
Eva Navarro ↑ 73'
Sweden Lineups
Starting XI
- 18
- 19
- 13
- 9
- 1
- 2
- 14
- 6
- 16
-
23
Elin Rubensson ↓ Lina Hurtig 87'
- 11
Bench
- 21
- 12
- 5
- 3
-
8
Lina Hurtig ↑ 87'
- 7
-
22
Olivia Schough ↑ 77'
- 17
- 20
-
15
Rebecka Blomqvist ↑ 77'
- 10
- 4
H2H
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.67
Spain xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.09
Sweden xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Spain win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.76
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 76% |
|
24% |
| ± 2.5 | 51% |
|
49% |
| ± 3.5 | 30% |
|
70% |
| ± 4.5 | 15% |
|
85% |
Double Chance
Spain or Draw
76%
Draw or Sweden
49%
Spain or Sweden
74%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.4%
1 – 0
9.7%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
8.7%
0 – 0
8.2%
1 – 2
6%
0 – 1
6%
3 – 1
5.2%
2 – 2
5.1%
3 – 0
4.7%
0 – 2
3.7%
3 – 2
2.9%
Asian Handicap — Spain
| Handicap | Spain covers | Push | Sweden covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -2 | 12% | 15% | 73% |
| -1.5 | 27% | — | 73% |
| -1 | 27% | 22% | 51% |
| -0.5 | 49% | — | 51% |
| +0.5 | 76% | — | 24% |
| +1 | 76% | 14% | 9% |
| +1.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
| +2 | 91% | 7% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Spain keeps clean sheet
34%
✓
Sweden keeps clean sheet
20%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.