Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Southampton FC vs AFC Bournemouth, 2018-19 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2018-19
Sat 27 Apr 2019 · 14:00 UTC St. Mary's Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Southampton FC vs AFC Bournemouth — Premier League at St. Mary's Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Neil Davies
  • Referee David Coote
  • Referee Mick McDonough
  • Referee Graham Scott

Head-to-Head

3
2
4
Southampton FC 9 games · Avg 2.8 goals AFC Bournemouth

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Apr AFC Bournemouth H 3–3 D
23 Apr Watford FC A 1–1 D
20 Apr Newcastle United FC A 1–3 L
13 Apr Wolverhampton Wanderers FC H 3–1 W
05 Apr Liverpool FC H 1–3 L
30 Mar Brighton & Hove Albion FC A 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Apr Southampton FC A 3–3 D
20 Apr Fulham FC H 0–1 L
13 Apr Brighton & Hove Albion FC A 5–0 W
06 Apr Burnley FC H 1–3 L
30 Mar Leicester City FC A 0–2 L
16 Mar Newcastle United FC H 2–2 D

Key Stats

44% Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)
56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
AFC Bournemouth this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

AFC Bournemouth
0-15
1/–
16-30
1/–
31-45
2/2
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/–
76+
–/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

AFC Bournemouth
Marcus Tavernier 3 G
Alex Scott 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.63 Southampton FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.68 AFC Bournemouth xG
I would bet for: Southampton FC or AFC Bournemouth 75% + Both teams to score 65%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Southampton FC40% Draw25% AFC Bournemouth35%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes65% 0% No35%
Avg goals/match: 3.31
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 84%
16%
± 2.5 63%
37%
± 3.5 42%
58%
± 4.5 24%
76%

Double Chance

Southampton FC or Draw
65%
Draw or AFC Bournemouth
60%
Southampton FC or AFC Bournemouth
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Southampton FC28% Draw42% AFC Bournemouth30%
Actual: AFC Bournemouth win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–3 not predicted
3 – 3
Actual
1 – 1
10.9%
1 – 2
8.1%
2 – 1
7.9%
2 – 2
6.6%
0 – 1
5.4%
1 – 0
5.2%
0 – 0
5.2%
0 – 2
5.1%
2 – 0
4.8%
1 – 3
4.5%
3 – 1
4.3%
2 – 3
3.7%

Asian Handicap — Southampton FC

Handicap Southampton FC covers Push AFC Bournemouth covers
-2.5 8% — 92%
-2 8% 11% 81%
-1.5 19% — 81%
-1 19% 18% 64%
-0.5 36% — 64%
+0.5 62% — 38%
+1 62% 18% 20%
+1.5 80% — 20%
+2 80% 12% 8%
+2.5 92% — 8%

Clean Sheet

Southampton FC keeps clean sheet
19% ✓
AFC Bournemouth keeps clean sheet
20% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.