Sunday , 16 August 2026

Southampton FC vs AFC Bournemouth, 2018-19 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2018-19
Sat 27 Apr 2019 · 14:00 UTC St. Mary's Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Southampton FC vs AFC Bournemouth — Premier League at St. Mary's Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Neil Davies
  • Referee David Coote
  • Referee Mick McDonough
  • Referee Graham Scott

Head-to-Head

3
2
4
Southampton FC 9 games · Avg 2.8 goals AFC Bournemouth

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Apr AFC Bournemouth H 3–3 D
23 Apr Watford FC A 1–1 D
20 Apr Newcastle United FC A 1–3 L
13 Apr Wolverhampton Wanderers FC H 3–1 W
05 Apr Liverpool FC H 1–3 L
30 Mar Brighton & Hove Albion FC A 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Apr Southampton FC A 3–3 D
20 Apr Fulham FC H 0–1 L
13 Apr Brighton & Hove Albion FC A 5–0 W
06 Apr Burnley FC H 1–3 L
30 Mar Leicester City FC A 0–2 L
16 Mar Newcastle United FC H 2–2 D

Key Stats

44% Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)
56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' It’s Showtime! The match between Southampton FC and AFC Bournemouth is underway.
  • 5' AFC Bournemouth have won 441 goals from 335 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 10' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Southampton FC and AFC Bournemouth are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 12' What a strike from Shane Long! The score is 1-0.
  • 17' Over 17 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 20' Assisted by Callum Wilson with the perfectly-timed delivery and Dan Gosling makes no mistake. 1-1!
  • 23' The supporters are chanting for Ryan Fraser. He replaces Chris Mepham on 23 minute.
  • 26' Southampton FC player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
  • 31' AFC Bournemouth fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 32' Callum Wilson is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the forward.
  • 35' Shane Long was booked on 35.
  • 40' Southampton FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against AFC Bournemouth's shape.
  • 45' That is a Yellow card for AFC Bournemouth. Dan Gosling will be fuming at that decision.
  • 46' The supporters are chanting for Matt Targett. He replaces Oriol Romeu on 46 minute.
  • 51' Southampton FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 53' AFC Bournemouth manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Emerson Hyndman is hanging Dan Gosling on the field on 53 minute.
  • 55' James Ward-Prowse is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the midfielder.
  • 60' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 65' Steve Cook, a England defender, has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 67' GOAL! Matt Targett scores on 67. Assisted by Yann Valery
  • 72' AFC Bournemouth make a change. Nathaniel Clyne trudges off to be replaced by Dominic Solanke on 72 minutes.
  • 77' Joshua King has been relatively quiet despite scoring 39 goals in his last 335 appearances.
  • 81' Southampton FC ring the changes. Danny Ings has done his job and it is now time for Stuart Armstrong to step up.
  • 86' Magnificent from Callum Wilson! That is 78 goals in 335 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 88' Time for substitution for Southampton FC. Shane Long is replaced by Charlie Austin.
  • The final whistle. It looks like we are having a draw.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.63 Southampton FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.68 AFC Bournemouth xG
I would bet for: Southampton FC or AFC Bournemouth 75% + Both teams to score 65%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Southampton FC40% Draw25% AFC Bournemouth35%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes65% 0% No35%
Avg goals/match: 3.31
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 84%
16%
± 2.5 63%
37%
± 3.5 42%
58%
± 4.5 24%
76%

Double Chance

Southampton FC or Draw
65%
Draw or AFC Bournemouth
60%
Southampton FC or AFC Bournemouth
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Southampton FC28% Draw42% AFC Bournemouth30%
Actual: AFC Bournemouth win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–3 not predicted
3 – 3
Actual
1 – 1
10.9%
1 – 2
8.1%
2 – 1
7.9%
2 – 2
6.6%
0 – 1
5.4%
1 – 0
5.2%
0 – 0
5.2%
0 – 2
5.1%
2 – 0
4.8%
1 – 3
4.5%
3 – 1
4.3%
2 – 3
3.7%

Asian Handicap — Southampton FC

Handicap Southampton FC covers Push AFC Bournemouth covers
-2.5 8% 92%
-2 8% 11% 81%
-1.5 19% 81%
-1 19% 18% 64%
-0.5 36% 64%
+0.5 62% 38%
+1 62% 18% 20%
+1.5 80% 20%
+2 80% 12% 8%
+2.5 92% 8%

Clean Sheet

Southampton FC keeps clean sheet
19%
AFC Bournemouth keeps clean sheet
20%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.