Thursday , 2 July 2026

Southampton FC vs AFC Bournemouth, 2018-19 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2018-19
Sat 27 Apr 2019 · 14:00 UTC St. Mary's Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Southampton FC vs AFC Bournemouth — Premier League at St. Mary's Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Neil Davies
  • Referee David Coote
  • Referee Mick McDonough
  • Referee Graham Scott

Head-to-Head

3
2
4
Southampton FC 9 games · Avg 2.8 goals AFC Bournemouth

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Apr AFC Bournemouth H 3–3 D
23 Apr Watford FC A 1–1 D
20 Apr Newcastle United FC A 1–3 L
13 Apr Wolverhampton Wanderers FC H 3–1 W
05 Apr Liverpool FC H 1–3 L
30 Mar Brighton & Hove Albion FC A 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Apr Southampton FC A 3–3 D
20 Apr Fulham FC H 0–1 L
13 Apr Brighton & Hove Albion FC A 5–0 W
06 Apr Burnley FC H 1–3 L
30 Mar Leicester City FC A 0–2 L
16 Mar Newcastle United FC H 2–2 D

Key Stats

44% Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)
56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The wait is over. AFC Bournemouth get us underway at St. Mary's Stadium.
  • 5' The travelling AFC Bournemouth supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 10' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 12' Magnificent from Shane Long! That is 12 goals in 348 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 17' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 20' The deadlock is broken! Dan Gosling gets on the scoresheet on 20 minutes.
  • 23' Another change for AFC Bournemouth made on 23 minute. Chris Mepham leaves to be changed by Ryan Fraser.
  • 26' Oriol Romeu was booked on 26.
  • 31' The 29-year-old Jack Simpson has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 32' What composure from Callum Wilson! The England international strokes it home. 1-2.
  • 35' A moment of madness from Shane Long on 35 minutes earns him a Yellow card. Southampton FC will be frustrated.
  • 40' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 45' It’s a booking for AFC Bournemouth player. Dan Gosling gets a Yellow card.
  • 46' Fresh legs for Southampton FC! Matt Targett comes on to replace Oriol Romeu.
  • 51' A quiet spell here at St. Mary's Stadium. Southampton FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 53' The crowd applauds Dan Gosling as he leaves the pitch. Emerson Hyndman steps in for AFC Bournemouth.
  • 55' Assisted by Pierre Emile Hojbjerg with the perfectly-timed delivery and James Ward-Prowse makes no mistake. 2-2!
  • 60' Southampton FC is showing some good football. However, Southampton FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 65' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 67' What composure from Matt Targett! The England international strokes it home. 3-2.
  • 72' The AFC Bournemouth bench stirs into life. Nathaniel Clyne is withdrawn and Dominic Solanke gets his opportunity.
  • 77' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 81' Another substitution for Southampton FC to replace Danny Ings by Stuart Armstrong on 81 minute.
  • 86' Callum Wilson does the damage! The net is bulging and AFC Bournemouth surge ahead!
  • 88' Southampton FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Charlie Austin is hanging Shane Long on the field on 88 minute.
  • Game over. The scoreline of 3-3 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.63 Southampton FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.68 AFC Bournemouth xG
I would bet for: Southampton FC or AFC Bournemouth 75% + Both teams to score 65%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Southampton FC40% Draw25% AFC Bournemouth35%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes65% 0% No35%
Avg goals/match: 3.31
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 84%
16%
± 2.5 63%
37%
± 3.5 42%
58%
± 4.5 24%
76%

Double Chance

Southampton FC or Draw
65%
Draw or AFC Bournemouth
60%
Southampton FC or AFC Bournemouth
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Southampton FC28% Draw42% AFC Bournemouth30%
Actual: AFC Bournemouth win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–3 not predicted
3 – 3
Actual
1 – 1
10.9%
1 – 2
8.1%
2 – 1
7.9%
2 – 2
6.6%
0 – 1
5.4%
1 – 0
5.2%
0 – 0
5.2%
0 – 2
5.1%
2 – 0
4.8%
1 – 3
4.5%
3 – 1
4.3%
2 – 3
3.7%

Asian Handicap — Southampton FC

Handicap Southampton FC covers Push AFC Bournemouth covers
-2.5 8% 92%
-2 8% 11% 81%
-1.5 19% 81%
-1 19% 18% 64%
-0.5 36% 64%
+0.5 62% 38%
+1 62% 18% 20%
+1.5 80% 20%
+2 80% 12% 8%
+2.5 92% 8%

Clean Sheet

Southampton FC keeps clean sheet
19%
AFC Bournemouth keeps clean sheet
20%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.