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Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs Southampton FC, 2018-19 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2018-19
Sat 30 Mar 2019 · 15:00 UTC The American Express Community Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs Southampton FC — Premier League at The American Express Community Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Graham Scott
  • Referee Stuart Burt
  • Referee Michael Oliver
  • Referee Simon Bennett

Head-to-Head

4
5
3
Brighton & Hove Albion FC 12 games · Avg 2.9 goals Southampton FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Mar Southampton FC H 0–1 L
17 Mar Millwall FC A 2–2 D
09 Mar Crystal Palace FC A 2–1 W
02 Mar Huddersfield Town AFC H 1–0 W
26 Feb Leicester City FC A 1–2 L
16 Feb Derby County FC H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Mar Brighton & Hove Albion FC A 1–0 W
09 Mar Tottenham Hotspur FC H 2–1 W
02 Mar Manchester United FC A 2–3 L
27 Feb Fulham FC H 2–0 W
24 Feb Arsenal FC A 0–2 L
09 Feb Cardiff City FC H 1–2 L

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
58% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at The American Express Community Stadium. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Brighton & Hove Albion FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 10' Southampton FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 15' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Dale Stephens.
  • 20' Angus Gunn is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Brighton & Hove Albion FC so far.
  • 25' Over 25 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 30' Ryan Bertrand has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 35' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 40' The energy levels are beginning to show. Ralph Hasenhuttl might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 45' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 45 minutes.
  • 50' Nathan Redmond has been relatively quiet despite scoring 18 goals in his last 348 appearances.
  • 53' What composure from Pierre Emile Hojbjerg! The Denmark international strokes it home. 0-1.
  • 58' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 62' Brighton & Hove Albion FC ring the changes. Alireza Jahanbakhsh has done his job and it is now time for Solomon March to step up.
  • 67' A tactical swap from Southampton FCSam Gallagher on, Danny Ings off on 67 minutes.
  • 72' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Martin Montoya suffering a number of foals already.
  • 74' Brighton & Hove Albion FC ring the changes. Davy Propper has done his job and it is now time for Jurgen Locadia to step up.
  • 76' Jack Stephens has so much to prove this time. He replaces Stuart Armstrong on 76 minute.
  • 81' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Brighton & Hove Albion FC that had 336 games and scored 453 goals.
  • 83' That is a Yellow card for Southampton FC. Jan Bednarek will be fuming at that decision.
  • 88' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Brighton & Hove Albion FC and Southampton FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 89' Southampton FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Josh Sims is hanging Nathan Redmond on the field on 89 minute.
  • 90' James Ward-Prowse catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 90.
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Southampton FC players.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.2 Brighton & Hove Albion FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.11 Southampton FC xG
I would bet for: Brighton & Hove Albion FC or Southampton FC 69% + Under 2.5 goals 60%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Brighton & Hove Albion FC37% Draw31% Southampton FC32%
Actual: Southampton FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes48% 0% No52%
Avg goals/match: 2.31
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 67%
33%
± 2.5 40%
60%
± 3.5 21%
79%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

Brighton & Hove Albion FC or Draw
68%
Draw or Southampton FC
63%
Brighton & Hove Albion FC or Southampton FC
69%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Brighton & Hove Albion FC26% Draw51% Southampton FC23%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.2%
0 – 0
12.1%
1 – 0
10.7%
0 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
7.7%
1 – 2
7.1%
2 – 0
6.9%
0 – 2
5.9%
2 – 2
4.4%
3 – 1
3.1%
3 – 0
2.7%
1 – 3
2.7%

Asian Handicap — Brighton & Hove Albion FC

Handicap Brighton & Hove Albion FC covers Push Southampton FC covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 11% 84%
-1.5 16% 84%
-1 16% 20% 64%
-0.5 36% 64%
+0.5 68% 32%
+1 68% 19% 13%
+1.5 87% 13%
+2 87% 9% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

Brighton & Hove Albion FC keeps clean sheet
34%
Southampton FC keeps clean sheet
31%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.